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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 12 Nov 2025 at 15:27:16

Take profit at 4.848 (2.51 %) and Stop Loss at 5.0355 (1.26 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 12 Nov 2025 at 15:27:16

With 127.9863 AR at 4.973$ per unit.

Position size of 636.4759 $

Take profit at 4.848 (2.51 %) and Stop Loss at 5.0355 (1.26 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 2.12
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.69
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.45
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.5
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.730797

15m : -0.212633

1H : -0.353624

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.11
  4. atr: 0.04167112661
Details
  1. score: 1.11
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.9302
  4. ema21 : 4.98916
  5. ema50 : 5.1426
  6. ema100 : 5.42079
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00868081
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0118185
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0298358
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0826065
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.233141
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.13067
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.168052
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.18057
  17. rsi : 0.472653
  18. adx : 0.210626
  19. kc_percentage : 0.479083
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.113725
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.158865
  22. volume_ema1 : 430015.60585448
  23. volume_ema2 : 511233.04290346
  24. chop : 47.511
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.85778
  28. ema21 : 4.88489
  29. ema50 : 4.95109
  30. ema100 : 4.97914
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0237178
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00555007
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0133712
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00123416
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00642674
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.106742
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0988913
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0562589
  41. rsi : 0.503293
  42. adx : 0.28446
  43. kc_percentage : 0.841451
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0537414
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.349288
  46. volume_ema1 : 79964.453513504
  47. volume_ema2 : 122887.8036059
  48. chop : 62.7357
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.89525
  52. ema21 : 4.86915
  53. ema50 : 4.87719
  54. ema100 : 4.919
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0158813
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0053616
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00164857
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0109759
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0599893
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0102606
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0181697
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0290612
  65. rsi : 0.651635
  66. adx : 0.248029
  67. kc_percentage : 1.10713
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0341281
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.0172821
  70. volume_ema1 : 41156.603553544
  71. volume_ema2 : 41880.385895264
  72. chop : 32.9974
  73. regime : bull_high_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    102540
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00806003
  78. 5m_price: 
    101713
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.730797
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    103069
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0143364
  83. 15m_price: 
    101592
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.212633
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103670
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0188791
  88. 1H_price: 
    101713
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.353624
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-08 17:00:00
                    [1] => 6.699
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-08 23:00:00
                    [1] => 5.264
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 03:00:00
                    [1] => 5.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 05:00:00
                    [1] => 5.273
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 15:00:00
                    [1] => 6.05
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 5.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 15:00:00
                    [1] => 5.767
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.674
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 02:00:00
                    [1] => 5.303
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 12:00:00
                    [1] => 4.751
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.7703186875354
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.1778572932014
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 13
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.618606609135
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:30:00
                    [1] => 4.674
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 22:30:00
                    [1] => 5.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 02:30:00
                    [1] => 5.303
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 04:15:00
                    [1] => 5.295
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 07:30:00
                    [1] => 5.021
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:45:00
                    [1] => 5.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 12:15:00
                    [1] => 4.751
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 13:15:00
                    [1] => 4.932
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:30:00
                    [1] => 4.766
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:15:00
                    [1] => 5.009
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23956877620284
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.8468317247167
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.0986151909358
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:15:00
                    [1] => 5.057
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:50:00
                    [1] => 5.12
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 09:00:00
                    [1] => 5.057
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 09:45:00
                    [1] => 4.947
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 10:10:00
                    [1] => 5.107
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 11:10:00
                    [1] => 4.783
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 12:15:00
                    [1] => 4.751
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 13:15:00
                    [1] => 4.932
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:35:00
                    [1] => 4.766
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:25:00
                    [1] => 5.009
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23956877620284
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.8468317247167
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.0986151909358
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.85%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.10%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0845
1.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0970
2.00%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 08:15:00 5.057 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:50:00 5.12 ↑ High
2025-11-12 09:00:00 5.057 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 09:45:00 4.947 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 10:10:00 5.107 ↑ High
2025-11-12 11:10:00 4.783 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 12:15:00 4.751 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 13:15:00 4.932 ↑ High
2025-11-12 14:35:00 4.766 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 15:25:00 5.009 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.24%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.85%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.10%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2675
5.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1740
3.59%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 19:30:00 4.674 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 22:30:00 5.13 ↑ High
2025-11-12 02:30:00 5.303 ↑ High
2025-11-12 04:15:00 5.295 ↑ High
2025-11-12 07:30:00 5.021 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:45:00 5.12 ↑ High
2025-11-12 12:15:00 4.751 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 13:15:00 4.932 ↑ High
2025-11-12 14:30:00 4.766 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 15:15:00 5.009 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.77%
Dist From Last Low Pct
5.18%
Bars Since Swing High
13 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
11.62%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.6635
33.04%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1740
3.59%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-08 17:00:00 6.699 ↑ High
2025-11-08 23:00:00 5.264 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 03:00:00 5.79 ↑ High
2025-11-09 05:00:00 5.273 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 15:00:00 6.05 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 5.27 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 15:00:00 5.767 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:00:00 4.674 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 02:00:00 5.303 ↑ High
2025-11-12 12:00:00 4.751 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Nov 2025
15:27:16		 12 Nov 2025
15:40:00		 12 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.973 5.0355 4.848 2 1.611
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.973
  • Stop Loss: 5.0355
  • Take Profit: 4.848

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 5.0355 - 4.973 = 0.0625

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.973 - 4.848 = 0.125

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.125 / 0.0625 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
636.4759 100 127.9863 6.36
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0625

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0625 = 128

Taille de position USD = 128 x 4.973 = 636.54

Donc, tu peux acheter 128 avec un stoploss a 5.0355

Avec un position size USD de 636.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 128 x 0.0625 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 128 x 0.125 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 128
  • Taille de position USD 636.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.26 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -1.26
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.5081 % 120 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.848
            [entry_price] => 4.973
            [stop_loss] => 5.04175
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 15:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.848
            [entry_price] => 4.973
            [stop_loss] => 5.048
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 15:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.848
            [entry_price] => 4.973
            [stop_loss] => 5.05425
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 15:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.848
            [entry_price] => 4.973
            [stop_loss] => 5.06675
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 15:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.128
            [max_drawdown] => 0.107
            [rr_ratio] => 1.2
            [high] => 5.08000000
            [low] => 4.84500000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.57
            [mae_pct] => 2.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T15:27:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T17:27:16-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.206
            [max_drawdown] => 0.107
            [rr_ratio] => 1.93
            [high] => 5.08000000
            [low] => 4.76700000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.14
            [mae_pct] => 2.15
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.93
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T15:27:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T22:27:16-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 5.00900000
            [high_after] => 5.08000000
            [low_before] => 4.75100000
            [low_after] => 4.82900000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)