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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 12 Nov 2025 at 15:54:42

Take profit at 223.0116 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 225.1242 (0.31 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Nov 2025 at 15:54:42

With 11.3603 MSTR at 224.42$ per unit.

Position size of 2549.4896 $

Take profit at 223.0116 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 225.1242 (0.31 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.27
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.49
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.52
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.39961

15m : -0.018064

1H : -0.029135

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.22
  4. atr: 0.4694691376
Details
  1. score: 1.22
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 226.749
  4. ema21 : 230.01
  5. ema50 : 233.874
  6. ema100 : 236.932
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0102726
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0141794
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0165218
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0528104
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.22249
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.140808
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.103373
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0707138
  17. rsi : 0.331465
  18. adx : 0.325777
  19. kc_percentage : -0.0439131
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0442244
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.678235
  22. volume_ema1 : 199541.69267985
  23. volume_ema2 : 620147.53288329
  24. chop : 21.4146
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 223.231
  28. ema21 : 224.789
  29. ema50 : 228.017
  30. ema100 : 230.151
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00532559
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0069339
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0141555
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0249014
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.098963
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.143622
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.112792
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0702003
  41. rsi : 0.416427
  42. adx : 0.554971
  43. kc_percentage : 0.44916
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0189491
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.719077
  46. volume_ema1 : 11110.778571897
  47. volume_ema2 : 39550.999629074
  48. chop : 48.0129
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 223.399
  52. ema21 : 223.018
  53. ema50 : 224.151
  54. ema100 : 226.758
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0045675
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00171053
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00505825
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0103115
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0364469
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.000529064
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0311341
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0401997
  65. rsi : 0.625425
  66. adx : 0.398291
  67. kc_percentage : 1.21686
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0087363
  69. volume_ema_diff : 6.06689
  70. volume_ema1 : 138727.63359294
  71. volume_ema2 : 19630.637096399
  72. chop : 15.6419
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    102425
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00750942
  78. 5m_price: 
    101656
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.39961
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    102991
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.013738
  83. 15m_price: 
    101576
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.018064
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103669
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0194249
  88. 1H_price: 
    101656
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.029135
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 18:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -5.1278799408159
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6118808294847
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.1040478130943
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:30:00
                    [1] => 232.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
                    [1] => 231.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:15:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 03:00:00
                    [1] => 231.82
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 04:00:00
                    [1] => 235.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:00:00
                    [1] => 234.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:45:00
                    [1] => 236.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:30:00
                    [1] => 224.57
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.066794318030015
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6118808294847
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6797971565698
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:10:00
                    [1] => 234.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:50:00
                    [1] => 236.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 09:45:00
                    [1] => 231.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 11:10:00
                    [1] => 224.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 12:40:00
                    [1] => 225.24
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:00:00
                    [1] => 223.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:05:00
                    [1] => 222.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:35:00
                    [1] => 222.95
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:35:00
                    [1] => 224.57
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.066794318030015
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.6118808294847
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.6797971565698
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.61%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.68%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.1858
4.97%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1516
0.96%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 08:10:00 234.76 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:50:00 236.31 ↑ High
2025-11-12 09:45:00 231.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 11:10:00 224.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 12:40:00 225.24 ↑ High
2025-11-12 14:00:00 223.34 ↑ High
2025-11-12 14:05:00 222.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 14:35:00 222.95 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 15:35:00 224.57 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.61%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.68%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.4258
5.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1516
0.96%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 23:30:00 232.7 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:45:00 231.63 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:15:00 233.33 ↑ High
2025-11-12 03:00:00 231.82 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 04:00:00 235.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 08:00:00 234.76 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:45:00 236.31 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 15:30:00 224.57 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-5.13%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.61%
Bars Since Swing High
9 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.10%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
27.6158
12.27%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1516
0.96%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 18:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Nov 2025
15:54:42		 12 Nov 2025
16:10:00		 15 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
224.42 225.1242 223.0116 2 135.59
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 224.42
  • Stop Loss: 225.1242
  • Take Profit: 223.0116

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 225.1242 - 224.42 = 0.70420000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 224.42 - 223.0116 = 1.4084

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4084 / 0.70420000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2549.4896 100 11.3603 25.49
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.70420000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.70420000000001 = 11.36

Taille de position USD = 11.36 x 224.42 = 2549.41

Donc, tu peux acheter 11.36 avec un stoploss a 225.1242

Avec un position size USD de 2549.41$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11.36 x 0.70420000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11.36 x 1.4084 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11.36
  • Taille de position USD 2549.41
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.63 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.31 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.31
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4367 % 139.17 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.0116
            [entry_price] => 224.42
            [stop_loss] => 225.19462
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.0116
            [entry_price] => 224.42
            [stop_loss] => 225.26504
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.0116
            [entry_price] => 224.42
            [stop_loss] => 225.33546
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.0116
            [entry_price] => 224.42
            [stop_loss] => 225.4763
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 16:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.33999999999997
            [max_drawdown] => 2.16
            [rr_ratio] => 0.16
            [high] => 226.58000000
            [low] => 224.08000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.15
            [mae_pct] => 0.96
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.16
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T15:54:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T17:54:42-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.88999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 3.71
            [rr_ratio] => 0.24
            [high] => 228.13000000
            [low] => 223.53000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.4
            [mae_pct] => 1.65
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.24
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T15:54:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T22:54:42-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 225.93000000
            [high_after] => 228.13000000
            [low_before] => 220.86000000
            [low_after] => 223.62000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)