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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 12 Nov 2025 at 16:10:37

Take profit at 223.53 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 225.255 (0.26 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Nov 2025 at 16:10:37

With 13.9126 MSTR at 224.68$ per unit.

Position size of 3125.8797 $

Take profit at 223.53 (0.51 %) and Stop Loss at 225.255 (0.26 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: -0.05
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.58
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.4
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.63
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.393867

15m : -0.086429

1H : -0.120321

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.26
  4. atr: 0.3833459535
Details
  1. score: 1.26
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 226.377
  4. ema21 : 229.547
  5. ema50 : 233.524
  6. ema100 : 236.694
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00749655
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0138122
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0170277
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0507612
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.249343
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.16034
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.113141
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0762344
  17. rsi : 0.339581
  18. adx : 0.335514
  19. kc_percentage : -0.0206554
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0399321
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.727796
  22. volume_ema1 : 163597.46803101
  23. volume_ema2 : 601011.11512078
  24. chop : 22.1362
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 223.637
  28. ema21 : 224.84
  29. ema50 : 227.933
  30. ema100 : 230.203
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00466053
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00534836
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0135727
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0239922
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0646844
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.124005
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.105963
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0687263
  41. rsi : 0.448074
  42. adx : 0.5285
  43. kc_percentage : 0.494035
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0174029
  45. volume_ema_diff : 1.18667
  46. volume_ema1 : 127989.64818126
  47. volume_ema2 : 58531.564959559
  48. chop : 52.6605
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 224.155
  52. ema21 : 223.544
  53. ema50 : 224.221
  54. ema100 : 226.535
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00233964
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0027317
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00301895
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00819127
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0903681
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0395922
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00801136
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0271483
  65. rsi : 0.643325
  66. adx : 0.335573
  67. kc_percentage : 1.26374
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00650394
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.394582
  70. volume_ema1 : 40989.51064552
  71. volume_ema2 : 29391.961653082
  72. chop : 17.3864
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    102369
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00720205
  78. 5m_price: 
    101632
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.393867
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    102954
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0128424
  83. 15m_price: 
    101632
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.086429
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103647
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0194463
  88. 1H_price: 
    101632
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.120321
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.5909955611921
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.186905732138
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.1040478130943
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:30:00
                    [1] => 232.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
                    [1] => 231.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:15:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 03:00:00
                    [1] => 231.82
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 04:00:00
                    [1] => 235.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:00:00
                    [1] => 234.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:45:00
                    [1] => 236.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:00:00
                    [1] => 225.69
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.186905732138
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.186905732138
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:10:00
                    [1] => 234.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:50:00
                    [1] => 236.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 09:45:00
                    [1] => 231.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 11:10:00
                    [1] => 224.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 12:40:00
                    [1] => 225.24
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:00:00
                    [1] => 223.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:05:00
                    [1] => 222.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:35:00
                    [1] => 222.95
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:10:00
                    [1] => 225.69
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.186905732138
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.186905732138
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.19%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.19%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.0550
4.91%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6700
1.19%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 08:10:00 234.76 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:50:00 236.31 ↑ High
2025-11-12 09:45:00 231.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 11:10:00 224.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 12:40:00 225.24 ↑ High
2025-11-12 14:00:00 223.34 ↑ High
2025-11-12 14:05:00 222.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 14:35:00 222.95 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:10:00 225.69 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.19%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.19%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.2950
5.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6700
1.19%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 23:30:00 232.7 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:45:00 231.63 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:15:00 233.33 ↑ High
2025-11-12 03:00:00 231.82 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 04:00:00 235.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 08:00:00 234.76 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:45:00 236.31 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:00:00 225.69 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.59%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.19%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.10%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
27.4850
12.20%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.6700
1.19%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 19:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Nov 2025
16:10:37		 12 Nov 2025
16:15:00		 4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
224.68 225.255 223.53 2 129.07
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 224.68
  • Stop Loss: 225.255
  • Take Profit: 223.53

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 225.255 - 224.68 = 0.57499999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 224.68 - 223.53 = 1.15

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.15 / 0.57499999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3125.8797 100 13.9126 31.26
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.57499999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.57499999999999 = 13.91

Taille de position USD = 13.91 x 224.68 = 3125.3

Donc, tu peux acheter 13.91 avec un stoploss a 225.255

Avec un position size USD de 3125.3$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 13.91 x 0.57499999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 13.91 x 1.15 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 13.91
  • Taille de position USD 3125.3
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.51 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.26 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.26
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6988 % 273.08 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.53
            [entry_price] => 224.68
            [stop_loss] => 225.3125
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 16:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.53
            [entry_price] => 224.68
            [stop_loss] => 225.37
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 16:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.53
            [entry_price] => 224.68
            [stop_loss] => 225.4275
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 16:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.53
            [entry_price] => 224.68
            [stop_loss] => 225.5425
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 16:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.57999999999998
            [max_drawdown] => 1.9
            [rr_ratio] => -0.31
            [high] => 226.58000000
            [low] => 225.26000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.26
            [mae_pct] => 0.85
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.31
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T16:10:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T18:10:37-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.15
            [max_drawdown] => 3.45
            [rr_ratio] => 0.33
            [high] => 228.13000000
            [low] => 223.53000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.51
            [mae_pct] => 1.54
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.33
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T16:10:37-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T23:10:37-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 225.69000000
            [high_after] => 228.13000000
            [low_before] => 220.86000000
            [low_after] => 223.62000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)