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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 12 Nov 2025 at 16:27:42

Take profit at 224.4215 (0.56 %) and Stop Loss at 226.3093 (0.28 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Nov 2025 at 16:27:42

With 12.7131 MSTR at 225.68$ per unit.

Position size of 2869.0869 $

Take profit at 224.4215 (0.56 %) and Stop Loss at 226.3093 (0.28 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -90
ML Pullback Score: 0.9
Prediction Score: 6
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.88
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.45
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.409197

15m : -0.02703

1H : -0.092911

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.41
  4. atr: 0.4195155808
Details
  1. score: 1.41
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 226.577
  4. ema21 : 229.638
  5. ema50 : 233.563
  6. ema100 : 236.714
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00395913
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0133317
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0168035
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0466161
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.242201
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.157103
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.11176
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0755437
  17. rsi : 0.371199
  18. adx : 0.325913
  19. kc_percentage : 0.10765
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0425379
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.727669
  22. volume_ema1 : 163676.46539768
  23. volume_ema2 : 601020.40892862
  24. chop : 22.287
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 224.207
  28. ema21 : 225
  29. ema50 : 227.868
  30. ema100 : 230.02
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0065663
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00352099
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.012588
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0188713
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0330957
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.104148
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0977874
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0644294
  41. rsi : 0.498087
  42. adx : 0.48188
  43. kc_percentage : 0.687952
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0187817
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.518605
  46. volume_ema1 : 85388.634365288
  47. volume_ema2 : 56228.312221362
  48. chop : 39.3524
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 225.002
  52. ema21 : 224.144
  53. ema50 : 224.425
  54. ema100 : 226.528
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00300925
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00382808
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00124877
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0037473
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.116596
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0664493
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00956053
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0172843
  65. rsi : 0.7089
  66. adx : 0.359416
  67. kc_percentage : 1.40765
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00730311
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.354776
  70. volume_ema1 : 12172.68563324
  71. volume_ema2 : 18865.843665475
  72. chop : 10.6811
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    102322
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00618541
  78. 5m_price: 
    101689
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.409197
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    102919
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0108385
  83. 15m_price: 
    101804
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.02703
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103648
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0189042
  88. 1H_price: 
    101689
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.092911
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6797717184528
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.091822874219
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.1040478130943
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:30:00
                    [1] => 232.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
                    [1] => 231.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:15:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 03:00:00
                    [1] => 231.82
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 04:00:00
                    [1] => 235.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:00:00
                    [1] => 234.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:45:00
                    [1] => 236.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:15:00
                    [1] => 226.25
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34033149171271
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.091822874219
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4404600199221
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:10:00
                    [1] => 234.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:50:00
                    [1] => 236.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 09:45:00
                    [1] => 231.94
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 11:10:00
                    [1] => 224.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 12:40:00
                    [1] => 225.24
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:00:00
                    [1] => 223.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:05:00
                    [1] => 222.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:35:00
                    [1] => 222.95
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:15:00
                    [1] => 226.25
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.34033149171271
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.091822874219
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4404600199221
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.09%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
17 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.44%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.0007
4.42%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.5615
1.59%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 08:10:00 234.76 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:50:00 236.31 ↑ High
2025-11-12 09:45:00 231.94 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 11:10:00 224.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 12:40:00 225.24 ↑ High
2025-11-12 14:00:00 223.34 ↑ High
2025-11-12 14:05:00 222.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 14:35:00 222.95 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:15:00 226.25 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.09%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.44%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.2407
4.53%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.5615
1.59%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 23:30:00 232.7 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:45:00 231.63 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:15:00 233.33 ↑ High
2025-11-12 03:00:00 231.82 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 04:00:00 235.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 08:00:00 234.76 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:45:00 236.31 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:15:00 226.25 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.68%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.09%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.10%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
26.4307
11.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.5615
1.59%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 19:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Nov 2025
16:27:42		 12 Nov 2025
16:35:00		 7 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
225.68 226.3093 224.4215 2 128.38
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 225.68
  • Stop Loss: 226.3093
  • Take Profit: 224.4215

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 226.3093 - 225.68 = 0.6293

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 225.68 - 224.4215 = 1.2585

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.2585 / 0.6293 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2869.0869 100 12.7131 28.69
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.6293

Taille de position = 8 / 0.6293 = 12.71

Taille de position USD = 12.71 x 225.68 = 2868.39

Donc, tu peux acheter 12.71 avec un stoploss a 226.3093

Avec un position size USD de 2868.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 12.71 x 0.6293 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 12.71 x 1.2585 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 12.71
  • Taille de position USD 2868.39
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.56 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.28 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.28
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3988 % 143.04 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.4215
            [entry_price] => 225.68
            [stop_loss] => 226.37223
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 16:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.4215
            [entry_price] => 225.68
            [stop_loss] => 226.43516
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 16:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.4215
            [entry_price] => 225.68
            [stop_loss] => 226.49809
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 16:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.4215
            [entry_price] => 225.68
            [stop_loss] => 226.62395
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.42000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 0.90000000000001
            [rr_ratio] => 0.47
            [high] => 226.58000000
            [low] => 225.26000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.19
            [mae_pct] => 0.4
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T16:27:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T18:27:42-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.15
            [max_drawdown] => 2.45
            [rr_ratio] => 0.88
            [high] => 228.13000000
            [low] => 223.53000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.95
            [mae_pct] => 1.09
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.88
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T16:27:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T23:27:42-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 226.25000000
            [high_after] => 228.13000000
            [low_before] => 220.86000000
            [low_after] => 223.53000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)