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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 12 Nov 2025 at 17:21:01

Take profit at 224.8027 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 226.1487 (0.2 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Nov 2025 at 17:21:01

With 17.8309 MSTR at 225.7$ per unit.

Position size of 4024.4399 $

Take profit at 224.8027 (0.4 %) and Stop Loss at 226.1487 (0.2 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 90
ML Pullback Score: 4.53
Prediction Score: 4
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.58
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.5
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.57
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.413284

15m : 0.031854

1H : 0.078556

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.18
  4. atr: 0.2991058066
Details
  1. score: 1.18
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 226.342
  4. ema21 : 229.249
  5. ema50 : 233.24
  6. ema100 : 236.489
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00283835
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0126825
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0171111
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0456233
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.266829
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.176196
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.121707
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0812344
  17. rsi : 0.3727
  18. adx : 0.323213
  19. kc_percentage : 0.123845
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0395514
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.282366
  22. volume_ema1 : 444566.97142067
  23. volume_ema2 : 619490.50383784
  24. chop : 22.9144
  25. regime : bear_high_confirmed
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 224.9
  28. ema21 : 225.112
  29. ema50 : 227.446
  30. ema100 : 229.284
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00355647
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000941316
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0102633
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0156319
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0402437
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.043629
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0699335
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0495176
  41. rsi : 0.498634
  42. adx : 0.375188
  43. kc_percentage : 0.699034
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0147178
  45. volume_ema_diff : 1.58402
  46. volume_ema1 : 189324.64979067
  47. volume_ema2 : 73267.379377115
  48. chop : 34.9287
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 225.405
  52. ema21 : 224.956
  53. ema50 : 224.768
  54. ema100 : 226.347
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00130487
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00199629
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000836919
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00286165
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0212096
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0359164
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0143138
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00955577
  65. rsi : 0.70315
  66. adx : 0.424216
  67. kc_percentage : 1.18281
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00458467
  69. volume_ema_diff : 3.65547
  70. volume_ema1 : 237512.74393534
  71. volume_ema2 : 51017.930496166
  72. chop : 55.1715
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    102196
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00648597
  78. 5m_price: 
    101534
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.413284
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    102782
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0120836
  83. 15m_price: 
    101540
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.031854
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103588
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0198373
  88. 1H_price: 
    101534
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.078556
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 18:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6079053054323
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.168794711582
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.1040478130943
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:30:00
                    [1] => 232.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
                    [1] => 231.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:15:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 03:00:00
                    [1] => 231.82
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 04:00:00
                    [1] => 235.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:00:00
                    [1] => 234.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:45:00
                    [1] => 236.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:30:00
                    [1] => 226.58
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.41045105481508
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.168794711582
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5898759395092
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 11:10:00
                    [1] => 224.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 12:40:00
                    [1] => 225.24
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:00:00
                    [1] => 223.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:05:00
                    [1] => 222.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:35:00
                    [1] => 222.95
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:35:00
                    [1] => 226.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 17:00:00
                    [1] => 225.31
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 17:10:00
                    [1] => 225.31
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 17:20:00
                    [1] => 225.73
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.03544057059318
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15090320003551
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.18640983533797
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.15%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.19%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4313
0.19%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.9427
1.75%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 11:10:00 224.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 12:40:00 225.24 ↑ High
2025-11-12 14:00:00 223.34 ↑ High
2025-11-12 14:05:00 222.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 14:35:00 222.95 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:35:00 226.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 17:00:00 225.31 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 17:10:00 225.31 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 17:20:00 225.73 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.41%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.17%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.59%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.4013
4.60%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.9427
1.75%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 23:30:00 232.7 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:45:00 231.63 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:15:00 233.33 ↑ High
2025-11-12 03:00:00 231.82 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 04:00:00 235.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 08:00:00 234.76 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:45:00 236.31 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:30:00 226.58 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.61%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.17%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.10%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
26.5913
11.76%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.9427
1.75%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 18:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Nov 2025
17:21:01		 12 Nov 2025
18:45:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
225.7 226.1487 224.8027 2 129.35
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 225.7
  • Stop Loss: 226.1487
  • Take Profit: 224.8027

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 226.1487 - 225.7 = 0.4487

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 225.7 - 224.8027 = 0.8973

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.8973 / 0.4487 = 1.9998

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4024.4399 100 17.8309 40.24
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4487

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4487 = 17.83

Taille de position USD = 17.83 x 225.7 = 4024.23

Donc, tu peux acheter 17.83 avec un stoploss a 226.1487

Avec un position size USD de 4024.23$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 17.83 x 0.4487 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 17.83 x 0.8973 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 17.83
  • Taille de position USD 4024.23
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9998

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.4 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.2 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.031 % 15.59 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.8026
            [stop_loss] => 226.1487
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.57825
            [stop_loss] => 226.1487
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.3539
            [stop_loss] => 226.1487
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.12955
            [stop_loss] => 226.1487
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.9052
            [stop_loss] => 226.1487
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.68085
            [stop_loss] => 226.1487
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.4565
            [stop_loss] => 226.1487
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.23215
            [stop_loss] => 226.1487
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.0078
            [stop_loss] => 226.1487
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 222.78345
            [stop_loss] => 226.1487
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 222.5591
            [stop_loss] => 226.1487
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.84
            [max_drawdown] => 0.070000000000022
            [rr_ratio] => 26.29
            [high] => 225.77000000
            [low] => 223.86000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.82
            [mae_pct] => 0.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 26.29
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T17:21:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T19:21:01-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.17
            [max_drawdown] => 2.43
            [rr_ratio] => 0.89
            [high] => 228.13000000
            [low] => 223.53000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.96
            [mae_pct] => 1.08
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.89
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T17:21:01-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T00:21:01-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 226.58000000
            [high_after] => 228.13000000
            [low_before] => 220.86000000
            [low_after] => 223.53000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)