Web3Way Logo

Short Trade on MSTR

Previous Trade Next Trade

Short Trade on MSTR 12 Nov 2025 at 17:31:44

Take profit at 224.8759 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 226.037 (0.17 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Nov 2025 at 17:31:44

With 20.6705 MSTR at 225.65$ per unit.

Position size of 4664.2952 $

Take profit at 224.8759 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 226.037 (0.17 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 4.51
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.74
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.62
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high_confirmed

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.414083

15m : -0.084858

1H : -0.077308

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.15
  4. atr: 0.2580168326
Details
  1. score: 1.15
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 226.332
  4. ema21 : 229.245
  5. ema50 : 233.238
  6. ema100 : 236.488
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.0030152
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0127065
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0171223
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0458307
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.267186
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.176358
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.121776
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.081269
  17. rsi : 0.371083
  18. adx : 0.323213
  19. kc_percentage : 0.118777
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0395602
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.216226
  22. volume_ema1 : 489701.97142067
  23. volume_ema2 : 624800.50383784
  24. chop : 22.9144
  25. regime : bear_high_confirmed
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 225.058
  28. ema21 : 225.165
  29. ema50 : 227.378
  30. ema100 : 229.215
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0026299
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000475071
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00973324
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0155568
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0541393
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0298448
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0630703
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0464846
  41. rsi : 0.50167
  42. adx : 0.355658
  43. kc_percentage : 0.682853
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0132968
  45. volume_ema_diff : 1.71598
  46. volume_ema1 : 246588.43319378
  47. volume_ema2 : 90791.541541834
  48. chop : 34.2478
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 225.487
  52. ema21 : 225.073
  53. ema50 : 224.831
  54. ema100 : 226.298
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000721286
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0018395
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00107418
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00286433
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0164053
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0309794
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0138513
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00868191
  65. rsi : 0.696995
  66. adx : 0.439162
  67. kc_percentage : 1.14586
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00371453
  69. volume_ema_diff : 1.42027
  70. volume_ema1 : 125621.21952682
  71. volume_ema2 : 51903.688720517
  72. chop : 52.3871
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    102186
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00489601
  78. 5m_price: 
    101686
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.414083
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    102773
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0105759
  83. 15m_price: 
    101686
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.084858
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103591
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0183937
  88. 1H_price: 
    101686
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.077308
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 18:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.6079053054323
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.168794711582
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.1040478130943
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:30:00
                    [1] => 232.7
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 23:45:00
                    [1] => 231.63
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:15:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 03:00:00
                    [1] => 231.82
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 04:00:00
                    [1] => 235.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:00:00
                    [1] => 234.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:45:00
                    [1] => 236.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:30:00
                    [1] => 226.58
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.41045105481508
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.168794711582
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5898759395092
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 11:10:00
                    [1] => 224.58
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 12:40:00
                    [1] => 225.24
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:00:00
                    [1] => 223.34
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:05:00
                    [1] => 222.71
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:35:00
                    [1] => 222.95
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:35:00
                    [1] => 226.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 17:00:00
                    [1] => 225.31
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 17:10:00
                    [1] => 225.31
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 17:20:00
                    [1] => 225.73
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.03544057059318
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.15090320003551
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.18640983533797
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.04%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.15%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.19%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.5430
0.24%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.0159
1.79%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 11:10:00 224.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 12:40:00 225.24 ↑ High
2025-11-12 14:00:00 223.34 ↑ High
2025-11-12 14:05:00 222.71 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 14:35:00 222.95 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:35:00 226.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 17:00:00 225.31 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 17:10:00 225.31 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 17:20:00 225.73 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.41%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.17%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.59%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.5130
4.65%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.0159
1.79%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-11 23:30:00 232.7 ↑ High
2025-11-11 23:45:00 231.63 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 01:15:00 233.33 ↑ High
2025-11-12 03:00:00 231.82 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 04:00:00 235.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 08:00:00 234.76 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:45:00 236.31 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:30:00 226.58 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.61%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.17%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.10%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
26.7030
11.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.0159
1.79%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 18:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Nov 2025
17:31:44		 12 Nov 2025
18:45:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
225.65 226.037 224.8759 2 128.11
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 225.65
  • Stop Loss: 226.037
  • Take Profit: 224.8759

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 226.037 - 225.65 = 0.387

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 225.65 - 224.8759 = 0.7741

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.7741 / 0.387 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4664.2952 100 20.6705 46.64
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.387

Taille de position = 8 / 0.387 = 20.67

Taille de position USD = 20.67 x 225.65 = 4664.19

Donc, tu peux acheter 20.67 avec un stoploss a 226.037

Avec un position size USD de 4664.19$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 20.67 x 0.387 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 20.67 x 0.7741 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 20.67
  • Taille de position USD 4664.19
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.34 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.17 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.34
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.0532 % 31.02 % 7

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.876
            [stop_loss] => 226.037
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.6825
            [stop_loss] => 226.037
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.489
            [stop_loss] => 226.037
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.2955
            [stop_loss] => 226.037
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.102
            [stop_loss] => 226.037
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.9085
            [stop_loss] => 226.037
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.715
            [stop_loss] => 226.037
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.5215
            [stop_loss] => 226.037
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.328
            [stop_loss] => 226.037
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.1345
            [stop_loss] => 226.037
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 222.941
            [stop_loss] => 226.037
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 20:10:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.79
            [max_drawdown] => 0.12
            [rr_ratio] => 14.92
            [high] => 225.77000000
            [low] => 223.86000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.79
            [mae_pct] => 0.05
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 14.92
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T17:31:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T19:31:44-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.12
            [max_drawdown] => 2.48
            [rr_ratio] => 0.85
            [high] => 228.13000000
            [low] => 223.53000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.94
            [mae_pct] => 1.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.85
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T17:31:44-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T00:31:44-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 226.58000000
            [high_after] => 228.13000000
            [low_before] => 220.86000000
            [low_after] => 223.53000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)