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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 12 Nov 2025 at 18:35:52

Take profit at 225.4011 (0.16 %) and Stop Loss at 225.9544 (0.082 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Nov 2025 at 18:35:52

With 43.3763 MSTR at 225.77$ per unit.

Position size of 9793.0628 $

Take profit at 225.4011 (0.16 %) and Stop Loss at 225.9544 (0.082 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 1.99
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.78
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.81
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.46492

15m : -0.154272

1H : 0.033184

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.24
  4. atr: 0.1229550639
Details
  1. score: 1.24
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 226.207
  4. ema21 : 228.922
  5. ema50 : 232.943
  6. ema100 : 236.274
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00193252
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0118627
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0172584
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0444595
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.282396
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.19159
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.130417
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0863856
  17. rsi : 0.375443
  18. adx : 0.322128
  19. kc_percentage : 0.137804
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0362408
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.455619
  22. volume_ema1 : 326812.62814712
  23. volume_ema2 : 600339.1480765
  24. chop : 23.33
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 225.432
  28. ema21 : 225.328
  29. ema50 : 227.135
  30. ema100 : 229.017
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00149786
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000462201
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00795885
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0141787
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0889511
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0168452
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0366789
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.034638
  41. rsi : 0.511799
  42. adx : 0.291212
  43. kc_percentage : 0.724803
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.00941269
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.367735
  46. volume_ema1 : 48938.256932105
  47. volume_ema2 : 77401.611055761
  48. chop : 31.7816
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 225.689
  52. ema21 : 225.5
  53. ema50 : 225.116
  54. ema100 : 225.719
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.000355017
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000841436
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00170209
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.000225275
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00628137
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0138758
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0124993
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.000589299
  65. rsi : 0.716221
  66. adx : 0.481863
  67. kc_percentage : 1.24379
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00148272
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.976068
  70. volume_ema1 : 747.23098767444
  71. volume_ema2 : 31224.04314392
  72. chop : 71.9435
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    101936
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0014232
  78. 5m_price: 
    101791
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.46492
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    102748
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00936094
  83. 15m_price: 
    101787
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.154272
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103572
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0171982
  88. 1H_price: 
    101791
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.033184
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
                    [1] => 241.43
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.8065948002536
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9559902200489
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.1040478130943
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 01:15:00
                    [1] => 233.33
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 03:00:00
                    [1] => 231.82
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 04:00:00
                    [1] => 235.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:00:00
                    [1] => 234.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:45:00
                    [1] => 236.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:30:00
                    [1] => 226.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:15:00
                    [1] => 225.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:30:00
                    [1] => 225.18
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2613279000753
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.26201261213252
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 14:35:00
                    [1] => 222.95
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:35:00
                    [1] => 226.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 17:00:00
                    [1] => 225.31
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 17:10:00
                    [1] => 225.31
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 17:20:00
                    [1] => 225.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 17:50:00
                    [1] => 225.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:20:00
                    [1] => 225.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:30:00
                    [1] => 225.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:35:00
                    [1] => 225.18
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2613279000753
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.26201261213252
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.26%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.26%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.6256
0.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5411
2.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 14:35:00 222.95 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:35:00 226.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 17:00:00 225.31 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 17:10:00 225.31 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 17:20:00 225.73 ↑ High
2025-11-12 17:50:00 225.65 ↑ High
2025-11-12 18:20:00 225.77 ↑ High
2025-11-12 18:30:00 225.77 ↑ High
2025-11-12 18:35:00 225.18 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.26%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.00%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.26%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.5956
4.69%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5411
2.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 01:15:00 233.33 ↑ High
2025-11-12 03:00:00 231.82 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 04:00:00 235.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 08:00:00 234.76 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:45:00 236.31 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:30:00 226.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 18:15:00 225.77 ↑ High
2025-11-12 18:30:00 225.18 ↓ Low
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.81%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.96%
Bars Since Swing High
12 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.10%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
26.7856
11.85%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5411
2.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 19:00:00 241.43 ↓ Low
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Nov 2025
18:35:52		 12 Nov 2025
18:40:00		 4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
225.77 225.9544 225.4011 2 133.91
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 225.77
  • Stop Loss: 225.9544
  • Take Profit: 225.4011

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 225.9544 - 225.77 = 0.18439999999998

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 225.77 - 225.4011 = 0.3689

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.3689 / 0.18439999999998 = 2.0005

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
9793.0628 100 43.3763 97.93
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.18439999999998

Taille de position = 8 / 0.18439999999998 = 43.38

Taille de position USD = 43.38 x 225.77 = 9793.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 43.38 avec un stoploss a 225.9544

Avec un position size USD de 9793.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 43.38 x 0.18439999999998 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 43.38 x 0.3689 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 43.38
  • Taille de position USD 9793.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0005

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.16 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.082 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.16
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.4012
            [stop_loss] => 225.9544
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.309
            [stop_loss] => 225.9544
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.2168
            [stop_loss] => 225.9544
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.1246
            [stop_loss] => 225.9544
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.0324
            [stop_loss] => 225.9544
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.9402
            [stop_loss] => 225.9544
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.848
            [stop_loss] => 225.9544
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.7558
            [stop_loss] => 225.9544
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.6636
            [stop_loss] => 225.9544
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.5714
            [stop_loss] => 225.9544
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.4792
            [stop_loss] => 225.9544
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 18:50:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.15
            [max_drawdown] => 1.13
            [rr_ratio] => 1.9
            [high] => 226.90000000
            [low] => 223.62000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.95
            [mae_pct] => 0.5
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.9
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T18:35:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T20:35:52-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.24
            [max_drawdown] => 2.86
            [rr_ratio] => 0.78
            [high] => 228.63000000
            [low] => 223.53000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.99
            [mae_pct] => 1.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.78
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T18:35:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T01:35:52-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 226.58000000
            [high_after] => 228.13000000
            [low_before] => 220.86000000
            [low_after] => 223.53000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)