Short Trade on XPL 12 Nov 2025 at 19:37:37
Take profit at 0.259 (1.52 %) and Stop Loss at 0.265 (0.76 %)
Short Trade on XPL 12 Nov 2025 at 19:37:37
Take profit at 0.259 (1.52 %) and Stop Loss at 0.265 (0.76 %)
Position size of 1045.744 $
Take profit at 0.259 (1.52 %) and Stop Loss at 0.265 (0.76 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.55 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.62 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.581543 15m : -0.045878 1H : 0.044288 |
2 |
Indicators:
101639
0.00228007
101871
0.581543
102664
-0.00956439
101683
-0.045878
103564
-0.0163477
101871
0.044288
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
[1] => 0.3303
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-10 01:00:00
[1] => 0.3322
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-10 11:00:00
[1] => 0.301
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-10 15:00:00
[1] => 0.3261
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
[1] => 0.2761
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
[1] => 0.2879
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
[1] => 0.2548
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
[1] => 0.2752
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 12:00:00
[1] => 0.2519
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
[1] => 0.2682
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.0879940343028
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.247717348154
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.4708217546645
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 00:00:00
[1] => 0.2581
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 01:45:00
[1] => 0.2685
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 03:00:00
[1] => 0.259
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
[1] => 0.2752
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 08:45:00
[1] => 0.2717
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 12:00:00
[1] => 0.2519
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 15:30:00
[1] => 0.2682
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 16:30:00
[1] => 0.2596
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 18:45:00
[1] => 0.2572
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 19:30:00
[1] => 0.2637
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.41714069017823
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.099533437014
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5272161741835
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 11:30:00
[1] => 0.2592
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 12:00:00
[1] => 0.2519
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 12:40:00
[1] => 0.2586
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 13:50:00
[1] => 0.2545
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 15:30:00
[1] => 0.2682
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 16:30:00
[1] => 0.2596
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 17:05:00
[1] => 0.2628
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 17:30:00
[1] => 0.2597
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 18:45:00
[1] => 0.2572
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 19:35:00
[1] => 0.2637
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.41714069017823
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.099533437014
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5272161741835
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 11:30:00 | 0.2592 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 12:00:00 | 0.2519 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 12:40:00 | 0.2586 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 13:50:00 | 0.2545 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 15:30:00 | 0.2682 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 16:30:00 | 0.2596 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 17:05:00 | 0.2628 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 17:30:00 | 0.2597 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 18:45:00 | 0.2572 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 19:35:00 | 0.2637 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 00:00:00 | 0.2581 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 01:45:00 | 0.2685 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 03:00:00 | 0.259 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 06:00:00 | 0.2752 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 08:45:00 | 0.2717 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 12:00:00 | 0.2519 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 15:30:00 | 0.2682 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 16:30:00 | 0.2596 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 18:45:00 | 0.2572 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 19:30:00 | 0.2637 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 19:00:00 | 0.3303 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-10 01:00:00 | 0.3322 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-10 11:00:00 | 0.301 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-10 15:00:00 | 0.3261 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 07:00:00 | 0.2761 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 11:00:00 | 0.2879 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 19:00:00 | 0.2548 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 06:00:00 | 0.2752 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 12:00:00 | 0.2519 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 15:00:00 | 0.2682 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 19:37:37 |
12 Nov 2025 21:00:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.263 | 0.265 | 0.259 | 2 | 0.0945 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.265 - 0.263 = 0.002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.263 - 0.259 = 0.004
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.004 / 0.002 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1045.744 | 100 | 3976.2127 | 10.46 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.002 = 4000
Taille de position USD = 4000 x 0.263 = 1052
Donc, tu peux acheter 4000 avec un stoploss a 0.265
Avec un position size USD de 1052$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4000 x 0.002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4000 x 0.004 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.52 % | 15.9 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.76 % | 7.95 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.95 $ | -0.76 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5475 % | 334.98 % | 8 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.259
[entry_price] => 0.263
[stop_loss] => 0.2652
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 21:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.259
[entry_price] => 0.263
[stop_loss] => 0.2654
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 21:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.259
[entry_price] => 0.263
[stop_loss] => 0.2656
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 21:00:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.259
[entry_price] => 0.263
[stop_loss] => 0.266
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 21:00:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.003
[max_drawdown] => 0.0077
[rr_ratio] => 0.39
[high] => 0.27070000
[low] => 0.26000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.14
[mae_pct] => 2.93
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.39
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-12T19:37:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-12T21:37:37-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0091
[max_drawdown] => 0.0077
[rr_ratio] => 1.18
[high] => 0.27070000
[low] => 0.25390000
[mfe_pct] => 3.46
[mae_pct] => 2.93
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.18
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-12T19:37:37-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-13T02:37:37-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.26760000
[high_after] => 0.27070000
[low_before] => 0.25720000
[low_after] => 0.25390000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)