Short Trade on HYPE 12 Nov 2025 at 20:40:05
Take profit at 38.4089 (1.19 %) and Stop Loss at 39.1051 (0.6 %)
Short Trade on HYPE 12 Nov 2025 at 20:40:05
Take profit at 38.4089 (1.19 %) and Stop Loss at 39.1051 (0.6 %)
Position size of 1340.1203 $
Take profit at 38.4089 (1.19 %) and Stop Loss at 39.1051 (0.6 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.77 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.51 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.642426 15m : -0.054177 1H : -0.139609 |
1 |
Indicators:
101733
0.00575827
102319
0.642426
102602
-0.00384885
102207
-0.054177
103552
-0.0119142
102319
-0.139609
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-09 19:00:00
[1] => 41.433
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-10 02:00:00
[1] => 43.178
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-10 11:00:00
[1] => 40.782
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-10 15:00:00
[1] => 42.352
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 03:00:00
[1] => 39.67
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 06:00:00
[1] => 40.46
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
[1] => 38.38
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
[1] => 40.81
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 11:00:00
[1] => 37.45
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 20:00:00
[1] => 39.084
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16886705557262
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.1869158878505
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3631508678238
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 01:45:00
[1] => 39.668
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 02:45:00
[1] => 39.19
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
[1] => 40.81
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 11:00:00
[1] => 37.45
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 12:45:00
[1] => 39.019
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 14:30:00
[1] => 38.013
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 15:30:00
[1] => 38.96
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 17:15:00
[1] => 38.141
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 18:45:00
[1] => 38.131
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 20:30:00
[1] => 39.084
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16886705557262
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3261912879285
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.4992788020246
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 15:35:00
[1] => 38.96
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 16:05:00
[1] => 38.32
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 16:35:00
[1] => 38.701
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 17:15:00
[1] => 38.141
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 17:55:00
[1] => 38.449
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 18:05:00
[1] => 38.159
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 18:45:00
[1] => 38.131
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 19:25:00
[1] => 38.168
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 19:35:00
[1] => 38.606
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 20:40:00
[1] => 39.084
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.16886705557262
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.2269964368057
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2381495104388
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 15:35:00 | 38.96 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 16:05:00 | 38.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 16:35:00 | 38.701 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 17:15:00 | 38.141 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 17:55:00 | 38.449 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 18:05:00 | 38.159 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 18:45:00 | 38.131 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 19:25:00 | 38.168 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 19:35:00 | 38.606 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 20:40:00 | 39.084 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 01:45:00 | 39.668 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 02:45:00 | 39.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 06:00:00 | 40.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 11:00:00 | 37.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 12:45:00 | 39.019 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 14:30:00 | 38.013 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 15:30:00 | 38.96 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 17:15:00 | 38.141 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 18:45:00 | 38.131 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 20:30:00 | 39.084 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 19:00:00 | 41.433 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-10 02:00:00 | 43.178 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-10 11:00:00 | 40.782 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-10 15:00:00 | 42.352 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 03:00:00 | 39.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 06:00:00 | 40.46 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 19:00:00 | 38.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 06:00:00 | 40.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 11:00:00 | 37.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 20:00:00 | 39.084 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov 2025 20:40:05 |
12 Nov 2025 22:00:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38.873 | 39.1051 | 38.4089 | 2 | 29.512 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 39.1051 - 38.873 = 0.2321
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 38.873 - 38.4089 = 0.46409999999999
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.46409999999999 / 0.2321 = 1.9996
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1340.1203 | 100 | 34.4743 | 13.40 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2321 = 34.47
Taille de position USD = 34.47 x 38.873 = 1339.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 34.47 avec un stoploss a 39.1051
Avec un position size USD de 1339.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 34.47 x 0.2321 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 34.47 x 0.46409999999999 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.19 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.6 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.19 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.4116 % | 68.93 % | 1 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 38.4088
[stop_loss] => 39.1051
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 38.29275
[stop_loss] => 39.1051
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 22:10:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 38.1767
[stop_loss] => 39.1051
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 22:10:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 38.06065
[stop_loss] => 39.1051
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 22:10:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 37.9446
[stop_loss] => 39.1051
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-12 22:15:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 37.82855
[stop_loss] => 39.1051
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 37.7125
[stop_loss] => 39.1051
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 37.59645
[stop_loss] => 39.1051
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 37.4804
[stop_loss] => 39.1051
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 37.36435
[stop_loss] => 39.1051
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:45:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 37.2483
[stop_loss] => 39.1051
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:45:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.98
[max_drawdown] => 0.16
[rr_ratio] => 6.12
[high] => 39.03300000
[low] => 37.89300000
[mfe_pct] => 2.52
[mae_pct] => 0.41
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.12
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-12T20:40:05-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-12T22:40:05-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.98
[max_drawdown] => 0.963
[rr_ratio] => 1.02
[high] => 39.83600000
[low] => 37.89300000
[mfe_pct] => 2.52
[mae_pct] => 2.48
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.02
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-12T20:40:05-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-13T03:40:05-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 39.08400000
[high_after] => 39.83600000
[low_before] => 38.13100000
[low_after] => 37.89300000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)