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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 12 Nov 2025 at 20:42:02

Take profit at 226.0541 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 228.2529 (0.32 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Nov 2025 at 20:42:02

With 10.9149 MSTR at 227.52$ per unit.

Position size of 2483.3535 $

Take profit at 226.0541 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 228.2529 (0.32 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 100
ML Pullback Score: 7.42
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.54
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.86
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_low

5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.306545

15m : -0.066981

1H : -0.005943

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.37
  4. atr: 0.4886295843
Details
  1. score: 1.37
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 225.889
  4. ema21 : 228.256
  5. ema50 : 232.329
  6. ema100 : 235.829
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00721867
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0103691
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0175342
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.035236
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.312376
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.223158
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.149229
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0976501
  17. rsi : 0.453698
  18. adx : 0.317732
  19. kc_percentage : 0.4381
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.039253
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.536258
  22. volume_ema1 : 263828.23193205
  23. volume_ema2 : 568912.66513101
  24. chop : 25.0884
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 225.349
  28. ema21 : 225.199
  29. ema50 : 226.526
  30. ema100 : 228.283
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0096324
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000666423
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00585977
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00334567
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0107833
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0012702
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0306266
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0308276
  41. rsi : 0.551148
  42. adx : 0.241645
  43. kc_percentage : 1.21652
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0143275
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.156768
  46. volume_ema1 : 56519.646685523
  47. volume_ema2 : 67027.404949261
  48. chop : 44.2653
  49. regime : bear_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 226.18
  52. ema21 : 225.543
  53. ema50 : 225.11
  54. ema100 : 224.816
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00592094
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00282563
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00192548
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0120238
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0631824
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0304242
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0142671
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00850848
  65. rsi : 0.742113
  66. adx : 0.345171
  67. kc_percentage : 1.36975
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00984356
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.550611
  70. volume_ema1 : 36593.97455025
  71. volume_ema2 : 23599.711218511
  72. chop : 5.54102
  73. regime : bull_low_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    101733
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00575827
  78. 5m_price: 
    102319
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.306545
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    102602
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00384885
  83. 15m_price: 
    102207
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.066981
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103552
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0119142
  88. 1H_price: 
    102319
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.005943
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 20:00:00
                    [1] => 252.74
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 20:00:00
                    [1] => 227.87
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.065827006626588
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1060400253554
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1739563524405
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 03:00:00
                    [1] => 231.82
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 04:00:00
                    [1] => 235.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:00:00
                    [1] => 234.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:45:00
                    [1] => 236.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:30:00
                    [1] => 226.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:15:00
                    [1] => 225.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 19:45:00
                    [1] => 223.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 20:30:00
                    [1] => 227.87
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.065827006626588
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8334674894911
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.9005455683749
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 17:20:00
                    [1] => 225.73
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 17:50:00
                    [1] => 225.65
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:20:00
                    [1] => 225.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:30:00
                    [1] => 225.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:55:00
                    [1] => 223.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 19:20:00
                    [1] => 224.61
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 19:30:00
                    [1] => 224.61
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 19:55:00
                    [1] => 223.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 20:10:00
                    [1] => 226.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 20:40:00
                    [1] => 227.87
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.065827006626588
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8334674894911
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.42750110180696
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.83%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.43%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3829
0.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4341
1.08%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 17:20:00 225.73 ↑ High
2025-11-12 17:50:00 225.65 ↑ High
2025-11-12 18:20:00 225.77 ↑ High
2025-11-12 18:30:00 225.77 ↑ High
2025-11-12 18:55:00 223.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 19:20:00 224.61 ↑ High
2025-11-12 19:30:00 224.61 ↑ High
2025-11-12 19:55:00 223.62 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 20:10:00 226.9 ↑ High
2025-11-12 20:40:00 227.87 ↑ High
15M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.83%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.90%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.2971
3.64%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.1941
2.30%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 03:00:00 231.82 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 04:00:00 235.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 08:00:00 234.76 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:45:00 236.31 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:30:00 226.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 18:15:00 225.77 ↑ High
2025-11-12 19:45:00 223.62 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 20:30:00 227.87 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.07%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.11%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.17%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
24.4871
10.73%
TP to Pivot Distance
5.1941
2.30%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 20:00:00 252.74 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 20:00:00 227.87 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Nov 2025
20:42:02		 12 Nov 2025
20:55:00		 12 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
227.52 228.2529 226.0541 2 134.45
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 227.52
  • Stop Loss: 228.2529
  • Take Profit: 226.0541

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 228.2529 - 227.52 = 0.7329

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 227.52 - 226.0541 = 1.4659

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4659 / 0.7329 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2483.3535 100 10.9149 24.83
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.7329

Taille de position = 8 / 0.7329 = 10.92

Taille de position USD = 10.92 x 227.52 = 2484.52

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.92 avec un stoploss a 228.2529

Avec un position size USD de 2484.52$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.92 x 0.7329 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.92 x 1.4659 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.92
  • Taille de position USD 2484.52
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.64 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.32 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.64
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2681 % 83.24 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 226.0542
            [stop_loss] => 228.2529
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 20:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.68775
            [stop_loss] => 228.2529
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 20:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.3213
            [stop_loss] => 228.2529
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 21:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.95485
            [stop_loss] => 228.2529
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 22:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.5884
            [stop_loss] => 228.2529
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 224.22195
            [stop_loss] => 228.2529
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.8555
            [stop_loss] => 228.2529
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-12 22:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.48905
            [stop_loss] => 228.2529
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 223.1226
            [stop_loss] => 228.2529
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 222.75615
            [stop_loss] => 228.2529
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 222.3897
            [stop_loss] => 228.2529
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.99
            [max_drawdown] => 0.60999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 6.54
            [high] => 228.13000000
            [low] => 223.53000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.75
            [mae_pct] => 0.27
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.54
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T20:42:02-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-12T22:42:02-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.99
            [max_drawdown] => 1.69
            [rr_ratio] => 2.36
            [high] => 229.21000000
            [low] => 223.53000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.75
            [mae_pct] => 0.74
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T20:42:02-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T03:42:02-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 227.87000000
            [high_after] => 229.21000000
            [low_before] => 223.62000000
            [low_after] => 223.53000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)