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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 12 Nov 2025 at 22:45:50

Take profit at 225.2857 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 227.4371 (0.32 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 12 Nov 2025 at 22:45:50

With 11.1555 MSTR at 226.72$ per unit.

Position size of 2529.1844 $

Take profit at 225.2857 (0.63 %) and Stop Loss at 227.4371 (0.32 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 3.17
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.61
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.370164

15m : 0.032533

1H : 0.033182

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.02
  4. atr: 0.4780882391
Details
  1. score: 1.02
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 225.744
  4. ema21 : 227.743
  5. ema50 : 231.782
  6. ema100 : 235.412
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00431956
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00877752
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.017426
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0369235
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.265654
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.218242
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.153085
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.101642
  17. rsi : 0.438634
  18. adx : 0.293293
  19. kc_percentage : 0.406356
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0401271
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.259681
  22. volume_ema1 : 424038.44761795
  23. volume_ema2 : 572778.06570249
  24. chop : 26.6755
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 225.873
  28. ema21 : 225.597
  29. ema50 : 226.354
  30. ema100 : 228.086
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00374706
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00122456
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00334639
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00599205
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0488955
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0269678
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00917363
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.021038
  41. rsi : 0.566843
  42. adx : 0.235177
  43. kc_percentage : 0.789619
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.016991
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.0875934
  46. volume_ema1 : 84048.727195251
  47. volume_ema2 : 92117.631015553
  48. chop : 38.2422
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 225.954
  52. ema21 : 225.711
  53. ema50 : 225.465
  54. ema100 : 224.98
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00338629
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00107631
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0010924
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00773343
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00827427
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.000692643
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00289982
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00578884
  65. rsi : 0.613476
  66. adx : 0.181293
  67. kc_percentage : 1.02484
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00839489
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.681969
  70. volume_ema1 : 12395.939648854
  71. volume_ema2 : 38977.233633014
  72. chop : 27.6308
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    101800
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.0059819
  78. 5m_price: 
    102409
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.370164
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    102553
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00140342
  83. 15m_price: 
    102409
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.032533
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103416
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00973677
  88. 1H_price: 
    102409
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.033182
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 20:00:00
                    [1] => 228.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
                    [1] => 223.53
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.70135449086047
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3421017313112
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0578893213439
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:00:00
                    [1] => 234.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:45:00
                    [1] => 236.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:30:00
                    [1] => 226.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:15:00
                    [1] => 225.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 19:45:00
                    [1] => 223.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 20:45:00
                    [1] => 228.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:15:00
                    [1] => 223.53
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:30:00
                    [1] => 226.75
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.09702315325248
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3421017313112
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4405225249407
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 1
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:30:00
                    [1] => 225.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:55:00
                    [1] => 223.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 19:20:00
                    [1] => 224.61
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 19:30:00
                    [1] => 224.61
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 19:55:00
                    [1] => 223.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 20:10:00
                    [1] => 226.9
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 20:45:00
                    [1] => 228.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 21:35:00
                    [1] => 226.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:15:00
                    [1] => 223.53
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:40:00
                    [1] => 226.75
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.09702315325248
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3421017313112
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4405225249407
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.34%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.44%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.6929
0.30%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.7557
0.78%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 18:30:00 225.77 ↑ High
2025-11-12 18:55:00 223.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 19:20:00 224.61 ↑ High
2025-11-12 19:30:00 224.61 ↑ High
2025-11-12 19:55:00 223.62 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 20:10:00 226.9 ↑ High
2025-11-12 20:45:00 228.13 ↑ High
2025-11-12 21:35:00 226.2 ↑ High
2025-11-12 22:15:00 223.53 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 22:40:00 226.75 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.10%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.34%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.44%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
1

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.1129
4.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.4257
1.96%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 08:00:00 234.76 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:45:00 236.31 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:30:00 226.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 18:15:00 225.77 ↑ High
2025-11-12 19:45:00 223.62 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 20:45:00 228.13 ↑ High
2025-11-12 22:15:00 223.53 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 22:30:00 226.75 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.70%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.34%
Bars Since Swing High
2 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.06%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
23.4529
10.31%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.4257
1.96%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 20:00:00 228.13 ↑ High
2025-11-12 22:00:00 223.53 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
12 Nov 2025
22:45:50		 13 Nov 2025
00:50:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
226.72 227.4371 225.2857 2 133.33
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 226.72
  • Stop Loss: 227.4371
  • Take Profit: 225.2857

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 227.4371 - 226.72 = 0.71709999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 226.72 - 225.2857 = 1.4343

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.4343 / 0.71709999999999 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2529.1844 100 11.1555 25.29
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.71709999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.71709999999999 = 11.16

Taille de position USD = 11.16 x 226.72 = 2530.2

Donc, tu peux acheter 11.16 avec un stoploss a 227.4371

Avec un position size USD de 2530.2$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11.16 x 0.71709999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11.16 x 1.4343 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11.16
  • Taille de position USD 2530.2
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.63 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.32 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.32
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.419 % 132.47 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.2857
            [entry_price] => 226.72
            [stop_loss] => 227.50881
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.2857
            [entry_price] => 226.72
            [stop_loss] => 227.58052
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.2857
            [entry_price] => 226.72
            [stop_loss] => 227.65223
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.2857
            [entry_price] => 226.72
            [stop_loss] => 227.79565
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:55:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.32
            [max_drawdown] => 0.37
            [rr_ratio] => 3.57
            [high] => 227.09000000
            [low] => 225.40000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.58
            [mae_pct] => 0.16
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 3.57
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T22:45:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T00:45:50-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.32
            [max_drawdown] => 2.49
            [rr_ratio] => 0.53
            [high] => 229.21000000
            [low] => 225.40000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.58
            [mae_pct] => 1.1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.53
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-12T22:45:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T05:45:50-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 228.13000000
            [high_after] => 229.21000000
            [low_before] => 223.53000000
            [low_after] => 225.40000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)