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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 13 Nov 2025 at 00:42:57

Take profit at 225.7158 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 226.8771 (0.17 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 13 Nov 2025 at 00:42:57

With 20.6654 MSTR at 226.49$ per unit.

Position size of 4680.5025 $

Take profit at 225.7158 (0.34 %) and Stop Loss at 226.8771 (0.17 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.37
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.58
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.62
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.400902

15m : -0.11809

1H : -0.041222

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.23
  4. atr: 0.2580805532
Details
  1. score: 1.23
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 225.792
  4. ema21 : 227.407
  5. ema50 : 231.32
  6. ema100 : 235.033
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00308705
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0071014
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0169163
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0363516
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.15583
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.174466
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.138862
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0963996
  17. rsi : 0.439509
  18. adx : 0.279644
  19. kc_percentage : 0.406451
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0359833
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.578325
  22. volume_ema1 : 225618.73084872
  23. volume_ema2 : 535053.87301038
  24. chop : 55.1783
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 225.616
  28. ema21 : 225.575
  29. ema50 : 226.158
  30. ema100 : 227.754
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00387282
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000182424
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00257755
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00555028
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.000143619
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.00545474
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0115596
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0208518
  41. rsi : 0.491322
  42. adx : 0.166755
  43. kc_percentage : 0.832226
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0121233
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.810345
  46. volume_ema1 : 14446.093829687
  47. volume_ema2 : 76170.774949165
  48. chop : 52.6471
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 225.913
  52. ema21 : 225.801
  53. ema50 : 225.702
  54. ema100 : 225.599
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00255286
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00049422
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000437901
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00394528
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00535265
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.000739712
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00143388
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0015091
  65. rsi : 0.620925
  66. adx : 0.114392
  67. kc_percentage : 1.23258
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00412223
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.903914
  70. volume_ema1 : 1818.1686174289
  71. volume_ema2 : 18922.471876422
  72. chop : 48.413
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    101971
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00462918
  78. 5m_price: 
    102444
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.400902
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    102493
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00123691
  83. 15m_price: 
    102366
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.11809
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103342
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0086929
  88. 1H_price: 
    102444
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.041222
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 20:00:00
                    [1] => 228.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
                    [1] => 223.53
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.70573795642835
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3376280588735
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0578893213439
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:00:00
                    [1] => 234.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:45:00
                    [1] => 236.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:30:00
                    [1] => 226.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:15:00
                    [1] => 225.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 19:45:00
                    [1] => 223.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 20:45:00
                    [1] => 228.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:15:00
                    [1] => 223.53
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:30:00
                    [1] => 226.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 00:30:00
                    [1] => 226.54
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0088284629645898
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.3376280588735
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.092698861128281
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 21:35:00
                    [1] => 226.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:15:00
                    [1] => 223.53
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:40:00
                    [1] => 226.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 23:05:00
                    [1] => 225.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 23:20:00
                    [1] => 226.38
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 23:35:00
                    [1] => 225.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 23:45:00
                    [1] => 225.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 00:20:00
                    [1] => 225.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 00:30:00
                    [1] => 225.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 00:35:00
                    [1] => 226.54
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0088284629645898
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.465693883887
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.47456424358007
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.47%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.47%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1271
0.06%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.1858
0.97%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 21:35:00 226.2 ↑ High
2025-11-12 22:15:00 223.53 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 22:40:00 226.75 ↑ High
2025-11-12 23:05:00 225.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 23:20:00 226.38 ↑ High
2025-11-12 23:35:00 225.4 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 23:45:00 225.4 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 00:20:00 225.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 00:30:00 225.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 00:35:00 226.54 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.34%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.09%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.4329
4.16%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.8558
2.15%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 08:00:00 234.76 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:45:00 236.31 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:30:00 226.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 18:15:00 225.77 ↑ High
2025-11-12 19:45:00 223.62 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 20:45:00 228.13 ↑ High
2025-11-12 22:15:00 223.53 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 22:30:00 226.75 ↑ High
2025-11-13 00:30:00 226.54 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.71%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.34%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.06%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
24.0129
10.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.8558
2.15%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 20:00:00 228.13 ↑ High
2025-11-12 22:00:00 223.53 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
13 Nov 2025
00:42:57		 13 Nov 2025
00:45:00		 2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
226.49 226.8771 225.7158 2 131.56
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 226.49
  • Stop Loss: 226.8771
  • Take Profit: 225.7158

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 226.8771 - 226.49 = 0.3871

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 226.49 - 225.7158 = 0.77420000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.77420000000001 / 0.3871 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
4680.5025 100 20.6654 46.81
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3871

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3871 = 20.67

Taille de position USD = 20.67 x 226.49 = 4681.55

Donc, tu peux acheter 20.67 avec un stoploss a 226.8771

Avec un position size USD de 4681.55$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 20.67 x 0.3871 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 20.67 x 0.77420000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 20.67
  • Taille de position USD 4681.55
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.34 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.17 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.17
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2649 % 155 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.7158
            [entry_price] => 226.49
            [stop_loss] => 226.91581
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.7158
            [entry_price] => 226.49
            [stop_loss] => 226.95452
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.7158
            [entry_price] => 226.49
            [stop_loss] => 226.99323
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.7158
            [entry_price] => 226.49
            [stop_loss] => 227.07065
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:45:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.030000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 2.72
            [rr_ratio] => -0.01
            [high] => 229.21000000
            [low] => 226.52000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.01
            [mae_pct] => 1.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.01
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-13T00:42:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T02:42:57-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.71
            [max_drawdown] => 2.72
            [rr_ratio] => 0.63
            [high] => 229.21000000
            [low] => 224.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.76
            [mae_pct] => 1.2
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.63
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-13T00:42:57-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T07:42:57-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 228.13000000
            [high_after] => 229.21000000
            [low_before] => 223.53000000
            [low_after] => 224.89000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)