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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 13 Nov 2025 at 00:48:15

Take profit at 225.8089 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 226.8905 (0.16 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 13 Nov 2025 at 00:48:15

With 22.1889 MSTR at 226.53$ per unit.

Position size of 5026.4623 $

Take profit at 225.8089 (0.32 %) and Stop Loss at 226.8905 (0.16 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.22
Prediction Score: 1
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.54
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.59
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.74
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : neutral

rules_regime : bear_medium

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_low

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.404113

15m : -0.11705

1H : 0.094809

 1

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.27
  4. atr: 0.2403599042
Details
  1. score: 1.27
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 225.8
  4. ema21 : 227.411
  5. ema50 : 231.322
  6. ema100 : 235.034
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00322866
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0070821
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0169072
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0361847
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.155541
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.174335
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.138806
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0963719
  17. rsi : 0.440876
  18. adx : 0.279644
  19. kc_percentage : 0.410892
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.035977
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.576135
  22. volume_ema1 : 226851.80848205
  23. volume_ema2 : 535198.94096724
  24. chop : 55.1783
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 225.966
  28. ema21 : 225.748
  29. ema50 : 226.21
  30. ema100 : 227.736
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00249159
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000967111
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00204089
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00529869
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0142923
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0118976
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.00800895
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.018765
  41. rsi : 0.552956
  42. adx : 0.176692
  43. kc_percentage : 0.769565
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0126271
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.827582
  46. volume_ema1 : 11969.70340868
  47. volume_ema2 : 69422.639908576
  48. chop : 52.2885
  49. regime : range_low
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 226.041
  52. ema21 : 225.87
  53. ema50 : 225.734
  54. ema100 : 225.604
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00216146
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000757331
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.000602318
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00410428
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0118439
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.00412037
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00291348
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0023817
  65. rsi : 0.628156
  66. adx : 0.12588
  67. kc_percentage : 1.27278
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00372702
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.877925
  70. volume_ema1 : 2440.1562671748
  71. volume_ema2 : 19989.036327544
  72. chop : 46.8523
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    102010
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00650379
  78. 5m_price: 
    102673
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.404113
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    102505
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00164052
  83. 15m_price: 
    102673
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.11705
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103346
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00651392
  88. 1H_price: 
    102673
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.094809
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 250.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 10:00:00
                    [1] => 233.3
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 243.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 234.1
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
                    [1] => 238.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 17:00:00
                    [1] => 230.22
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
                    [1] => 236.55
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 20:00:00
                    [1] => 228.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
                    [1] => 223.53
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.4558804190593
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5926273878227
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 4
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0578893213439
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:00:00
                    [1] => 234.76
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 08:45:00
                    [1] => 236.31
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
                    [1] => 220.86
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 16:30:00
                    [1] => 226.58
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 18:15:00
                    [1] => 225.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 19:45:00
                    [1] => 223.62
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 20:45:00
                    [1] => 228.13
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:15:00
                    [1] => 223.53
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:30:00
                    [1] => 226.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 00:45:00
                    [1] => 227.09
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5926273878227
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.14994487320838
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 21:35:00
                    [1] => 226.2
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:15:00
                    [1] => 223.53
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:40:00
                    [1] => 226.75
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 23:05:00
                    [1] => 225.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 23:20:00
                    [1] => 226.38
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 23:35:00
                    [1] => 225.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 23:45:00
                    [1] => 225.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 00:20:00
                    [1] => 225.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 00:30:00
                    [1] => 225.47
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 00:45:00
                    [1] => 227.09
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.71849913513993
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.71849913513993
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 0

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.72%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.72%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.1995
0.09%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.2789
1.01%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 21:35:00 226.2 ↑ High
2025-11-12 22:15:00 223.53 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 22:40:00 226.75 ↑ High
2025-11-12 23:05:00 225.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 23:20:00 226.38 ↑ High
2025-11-12 23:35:00 225.4 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 23:45:00 225.4 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 00:20:00 225.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 00:30:00 225.47 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 00:45:00 227.09 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.59%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.15%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.4195
4.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.9489
2.19%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 08:00:00 234.76 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 08:45:00 236.31 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 16:30:00 226.58 ↑ High
2025-11-12 18:15:00 225.77 ↑ High
2025-11-12 19:45:00 223.62 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 20:45:00 228.13 ↑ High
2025-11-12 22:15:00 223.53 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 22:30:00 226.75 ↑ High
2025-11-13 00:45:00 227.09 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.46%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.59%
Bars Since Swing High
4 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.06%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
23.9995
10.58%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.9489
2.19%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-10 09:00:00 250.89 ↑ High
2025-11-10 10:00:00 233.3 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 243.91 ↑ High
2025-11-11 07:00:00 234.1 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 11:00:00 238.55 ↑ High
2025-11-11 17:00:00 230.22 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 06:00:00 236.55 ↑ High
2025-11-12 15:00:00 220.86 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 20:00:00 228.13 ↑ High
2025-11-12 22:00:00 223.53 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
13 Nov 2025
00:48:15		 13 Nov 2025
00:50:00		 1 minute

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
226.53 226.8905 225.8089 2 130.67
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 226.53
  • Stop Loss: 226.8905
  • Take Profit: 225.8089

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 226.8905 - 226.53 = 0.3605

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 226.53 - 225.8089 = 0.72110000000001

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.72110000000001 / 0.3605 = 2.0003

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
5026.4623 100 22.1889 50.26
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.3605

Taille de position = 8 / 0.3605 = 22.19

Taille de position USD = 22.19 x 226.53 = 5026.7

Donc, tu peux acheter 22.19 avec un stoploss a 226.8905

Avec un position size USD de 5026.7$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 22.19 x 0.3605 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 22.19 x 0.72110000000001 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 22.19
  • Taille de position USD 5026.7
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0003

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.32 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.16 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.16
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2472 % 155.37 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.8089
            [entry_price] => 226.53
            [stop_loss] => 226.92655
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.8089
            [entry_price] => 226.53
            [stop_loss] => 226.9626
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.8089
            [entry_price] => 226.53
            [stop_loss] => 226.99865
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 225.8089
            [entry_price] => 226.53
            [stop_loss] => 227.07075
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 00:50:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.56
            [max_drawdown] => 2.68
            [rr_ratio] => -0.21
            [high] => 229.21000000
            [low] => 227.09000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.25
            [mae_pct] => 1.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.21
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-13T00:48:15-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T02:48:15-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.75
            [max_drawdown] => 2.68
            [rr_ratio] => 0.65
            [high] => 229.21000000
            [low] => 224.78000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.77
            [mae_pct] => 1.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.65
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-13T00:48:15-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T07:48:15-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 227.09000000
            [high_after] => 229.21000000
            [low_before] => 223.53000000
            [low_after] => 224.89000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)