Short Trade on AIA

The 13 Nov 2025 at 12:34:16

With 182.4139 AIA at 1.394$ per unit.

Position size of 254.2777 $

Take profit at 1.3062 (6.3 %) and Stop Loss at 1.4378 (3.14 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 4.2
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.92
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.66
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.72
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_high_confirmed

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.234928

15m : -0.103121

1H : 0.002683

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.13
  4. atr: 0.02923753775
Details
  1. score: 1.13
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 1.34274
  4. ema21 - 1.43618
  5. ema50 - 1.73781
  6. ema100 - 2.28857
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.0381442
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.065063
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.173567
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.390905
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -1.38416
  14. ema_slope_21 - -1.1207
  15. ema_slope_50 - -1.03023
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.839399
  17. rsi - 0.416889
  18. adx - 0.348436
  19. kc_percentage - 0.409012
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.268019
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.194734
  22. volume_ema1 - 2265517.9175815
  23. volume_ema2 - 2813380.7870561
  24. chop - 46.8742
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 1.31969
  29. ema21 - 1.30662
  30. ema50 - 1.35929
  31. ema100 - 1.42576
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.0562769
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00999709
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0387466
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.0223107
  36. all_emas_in_trend - False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - 0.312053
  39. ema_slope_21 - -0.00291121
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.221202
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.19987
  42. rsi - 0.664771
  43. adx - 0.300325
  44. kc_percentage - 1.00059
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.126117
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.100988
  47. volume_ema1 - 585506.25349941
  48. volume_ema2 - 651277.78160554
  49. chop - 36.283
  50. regime - bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 1.33875
  54. ema21 - 1.31331
  55. ema50 - 1.29568
  56. ema100 - 1.30316
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.0412371
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.0193735
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.0136038
  60. price_ema100_diff - 0.0696714
  61. all_emas_in_trend - True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.372312
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.253372
  65. ema_slope_50 - 0.122539
  66. ema_slope_100 - 0.0367518
  67. rsi - 0.748569
  68. adx - 0.297892
  69. kc_percentage - 1.13075
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.0901261
  71. volume_ema_diff - 0.413112
  72. volume_ema1 - 314943.9747014
  73. volume_ema2 - 222872.58065058
  74. chop - 22.0786
  75. regime - bull_high_confirmed
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 102009
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0151713
  81. 5m_price: 100461
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.234928
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 102111
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0161548
  86. 15m_price: 100461
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.103121
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 103335
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0278102
  91. 1H_price: 100461
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.002683
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
13 Nov 2025
12:34:16
13 Nov 2025
13:10:00
35 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
1.394 1.4378 1.3062 2 0.6174
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 1.394
  • Stop Loss: 1.4378
  • Take Profit: 1.3062

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 1.4378 - 1.394 = 0.0438

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 1.394 - 1.3062 = 0.0878

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0878 / 0.0438 = 2.0046

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
254.2777 100 182.4139 2.54
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0438

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0438 = 182.65

Taille de position USD = 182.65 x 1.394 = 254.61

Donc, tu peux acheter 182.65 avec un stoploss a 1.4378

Avec un position size USD de 254.61$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 182.65 x 0.0438 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 182.65 x 0.0878 = 16.04

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.04$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 182.65
  • Taille de position USD 254.61
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.04
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0046

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
6.3 % 16.02 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
3.14 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
16.02 $ 6.30
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-1.4053 % 44.73 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

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    [2] => Array
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            [take_profit] => 1.3064
            [stop_loss] => 1.4378
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 13:10:00
            [result] => win
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    [2.5] => Array
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            [result] => win
        )

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    [4.5] => Array
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    [5.5] => Array
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    [6] => Array
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    [6.5] => Array
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    [7] => Array
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Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
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    [short_term] => Array
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            [max_gain] => 0.11821
            [max_drawdown] => 0.01959
            [rr_ratio] => 6.03
            [high] => 1.41359000
            [low] => 1.27579000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.48
            [mae_pct] => 1.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-13T12:34:16-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T14:34:16-05:00
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    [long_term] => Array
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            [max_drawdown] => 0.34869
            [rr_ratio] => 0.34
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            [low] => 1.27579000
            [mfe_pct] => 8.48
            [mae_pct] => 25.01
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.34
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
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            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T19:34:16-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
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            [high_before] => 1.43815000
            [high_after] => 1.58762000
            [low_before] => 1.22900000
            [low_after] => 1.27579000
            [is_new_high] => 
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        )

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