Short Trade on XPL

The 13 Nov 2025 at 18:22:13

With 3792.91 XPL at 0.2455$ per unit.

Position size of 931.1594 $

Take profit at 0.2413 (1.71 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2476 (0.86 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 9.2
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.85
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.86
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.82
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.625185

15m : 0.092685

1H : -0.070709

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.2
  4. atr: 0.001406132301
Details
  1. score: 1.2
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.24438
  4. ema21 - 0.250816
  5. ema50 - 0.260828
  6. ema100 - 0.272919
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00457989
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0256587
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0383864
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.100467
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.593635
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.395396
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.276694
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.210645
  17. rsi - 0.421464
  18. adx - 0.249127
  19. kc_percentage - 0.311906
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.10588
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.333935
  22. volume_ema1 - 555441.6802235
  23. volume_ema2 - 833915.48535642
  24. chop - 38.8915
  25. regime - bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 - 0.241449
  29. ema21 - 0.241245
  30. ema50 - 0.246686
  31. ema100 - 0.25209
  32. price_ema9_diff - 0.0167774
  33. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.000842493
  34. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0220535
  35. price_ema100_diff - -0.0261439
  36. all_emas_in_trend - False
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  38. ema_slope_9 - 0.110594
  39. ema_slope_21 - -0.0808951
  40. ema_slope_50 - -0.149081
  41. ema_slope_100 - -0.114697
  42. rsi - 0.577024
  43. adx - 0.344189
  44. kc_percentage - 0.906271
  45. kc_width_percentage - 0.0440578
  46. volume_ema_diff - -0.323907
  47. volume_ema1 - 131176.71885606
  48. volume_ema2 - 194021.73313937
  49. chop - 48.2875
  50. regime - bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 - 0.243826
  54. ema21 - 0.241554
  55. ema50 - 0.240355
  56. ema100 - 0.243386
  57. price_ema9_diff - 0.00686427
  58. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.009407
  59. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00498537
  60. price_ema100_diff - 0.00868386
  61. all_emas_in_trend - True
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  63. ema_slope_9 - 0.226235
  64. ema_slope_21 - 0.174934
  65. ema_slope_50 - 0.0709946
  66. ema_slope_100 - 0.00164979
  67. rsi - 0.710856
  68. adx - 0.395016
  69. kc_percentage - 1.19764
  70. kc_width_percentage - 0.022188
  71. volume_ema_diff - -0.30882
  72. volume_ema1 - 41496.185240985
  73. volume_ema2 - 60036.801034891
  74. chop - 35.0068
  75. regime - bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100: 99771.3
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00579897
  81. 5m_price: 100349
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.625185
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100: 101025
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00658438
  86. 15m_price: 100359
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.092685
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100: 103041
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0261257
  91. 1H_price: 100349
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.070709
  93. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
13 Nov 2025
18:22:13
13 Nov 2025
19:15:00
52 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.2455 0.2476 0.2413 2 0.2481
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.2455
  • Stop Loss: 0.2476
  • Take Profit: 0.2413

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.2476 - 0.2455 = 0.0021

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.2455 - 0.2413 = 0.0042

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0042 / 0.0021 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
931.1594 100 3792.91 9.31
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0021

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0021 = 3809.52

Taille de position USD = 3809.52 x 0.2455 = 935.24

Donc, tu peux acheter 3809.52 avec un stoploss a 0.2476

Avec un position size USD de 935.24$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0021 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 3809.52 x 0.0042 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 3809.52
  • Taille de position USD 935.24
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.71 % 15.93 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.86 % 7.97 $
PNL PNL %
15.93 $ 1.71
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4481 % 52.38 % 8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

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    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2413
            [stop_loss] => 0.2476
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 19:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.24025
            [stop_loss] => 0.2476
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2392
            [stop_loss] => 0.2476
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 22:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
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            [take_profit] => 0.23815
            [stop_loss] => 0.2476
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
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            [take_profit] => 0.2371
            [stop_loss] => 0.2476
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.23605
            [stop_loss] => 0.2476
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.235
            [stop_loss] => 0.2476
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.23395
            [stop_loss] => 0.2476
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.2329
            [stop_loss] => 0.2476
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.23185
            [stop_loss] => 0.2476
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
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            [stop_loss] => 0.2476
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
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    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0044
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0011
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [high] => 0.24660000
            [low] => 0.24110000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.79
            [mae_pct] => 0.45
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-13T18:22:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T20:22:13-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
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            [max_gain] => 0.018
            [max_drawdown] => 0.0011
            [rr_ratio] => 16.36
            [high] => 0.24660000
            [low] => 0.22750000
            [mfe_pct] => 7.33
            [mae_pct] => 0.45
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 16.36
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-13T18:22:13-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-14T01:22:13-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.24570000
            [high_after] => 0.24660000
            [low_before] => 0.23310000
            [low_after] => 0.22750000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)