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Short Trade on AVAX

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Short Trade on AVAX 13 Nov 2025 at 18:26:18

Take profit at 16.0359 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 16.3391 (0.62 %)

Short Trade on AVAX

The 13 Nov 2025 at 18:26:18

With 79.1597 AVAX at 16.238$ per unit.

Position size of 1285.3954 $

Take profit at 16.0359 (1.24 %) and Stop Loss at 16.3391 (0.62 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 9.82
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.97
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.69
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.842925

15m : -0.056278

1H : 0.044881

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.08
  4. atr: 0.06737434141
Details
  1. score: 1.08
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 16.2973
  4. ema21 : 16.642
  5. ema50 : 16.9874
  6. ema100 : 17.2629
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00364439
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.020709
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0203337
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0593733
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.478632
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.290307
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.161845
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.102187
  17. rsi : 0.366135
  18. adx : 0.323671
  19. kc_percentage : 0.16383
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0703845
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0262001
  22. volume_ema1 : 1147167.9314223
  23. volume_ema2 : 1117879.3296357
  24. chop : 31.1279
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 16.0895
  28. ema21 : 16.1496
  29. ema50 : 16.4679
  30. ema100 : 16.714
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00922681
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00372425
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0193241
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0284817
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.00913218
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.125344
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.140517
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0953784
  41. rsi : 0.521929
  42. adx : 0.393047
  43. kc_percentage : 0.679894
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0340154
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.26302
  46. volume_ema1 : 252943.10793186
  47. volume_ema2 : 343216.07731585
  48. chop : 55.8606
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 16.1679
  52. ema21 : 16.0868
  53. ema50 : 16.0908
  54. ema100 : 16.2926
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00432968
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00504741
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000253524
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00335343
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.105479
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0792867
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0174785
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0209727
  65. rsi : 0.661401
  66. adx : 0.276407
  67. kc_percentage : 1.07868
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0156127
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.322471
  70. volume_ema1 : 74789.662395181
  71. volume_ema2 : 110385.93696548
  72. chop : 46.2286
  73. regime : range_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    99815.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00480175
  78. 5m_price: 
    100294
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.842925
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    101025
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00658438
  83. 15m_price: 
    100359
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.056278
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103040
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.026653
  88. 1H_price: 
    100294
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.044881
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 08:00:00
                    [1] => 18.326
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 11:00:00
                    [1] => 17.688
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
                    [1] => 18.596
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 03:00:00
                    [1] => 17.482
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
                    [1] => 17.884
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
                    [1] => 16.905
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 09:00:00
                    [1] => 17.759
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 12:00:00
                    [1] => 16.625
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 01:00:00
                    [1] => 17.681
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 15.745
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.3026978112098
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.972372181645
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 12.295966973642
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:45:00
                    [1] => 17.637
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 00:15:00
                    [1] => 17.273
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 01:15:00
                    [1] => 17.681
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 04:00:00
                    [1] => 17.211
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 05:45:00
                    [1] => 17.206
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 08:00:00
                    [1] => 17.427
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 09:30:00
                    [1] => 16.863
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 09:45:00
                    [1] => 17.369
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 16:30:00
                    [1] => 15.745
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 18:15:00
                    [1] => 16.268
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33808704204573
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.972372181645
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3216894252144
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 10:15:00
                    [1] => 17.307
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 15:20:00
                    [1] => 15.797
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 15:40:00
                    [1] => 16.021
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 16:35:00
                    [1] => 15.745
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 18:20:00
                    [1] => 16.268
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.33808704204573
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.972372181645
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3216894252144
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.97%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
22 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.32%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.9679
5.92%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2909
1.81%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-13 10:15:00 17.307 ↑ High
2025-11-13 15:20:00 15.797 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 15:40:00 16.021 ↑ High
2025-11-13 16:35:00 15.745 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 18:20:00 16.268 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.34%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.97%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.32%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.3419
8.21%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2909
1.81%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-12 22:45:00 17.637 ↑ High
2025-11-13 00:15:00 17.273 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 01:15:00 17.681 ↑ High
2025-11-13 04:00:00 17.211 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 05:45:00 17.206 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 08:00:00 17.427 ↑ High
2025-11-13 09:30:00 16.863 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 09:45:00 17.369 ↑ High
2025-11-13 16:30:00 15.745 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 18:15:00 16.268 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-8.30%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.97%
Bars Since Swing High
17 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
12.30%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.2569
13.81%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.2909
1.81%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-10 08:00:00 18.326 ↑ High
2025-11-10 11:00:00 17.688 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 20:00:00 18.596 ↑ High
2025-11-11 03:00:00 17.482 ↓ Low
2025-11-11 07:00:00 17.884 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:00:00 16.905 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 09:00:00 17.759 ↑ High
2025-11-12 12:00:00 16.625 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 01:00:00 17.681 ↑ High
2025-11-13 16:00:00 15.745 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
13 Nov 2025
18:26:18		 13 Nov 2025
19:05:00		 38 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
16.238 16.3391 16.0359 2 8.958
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 16.238
  • Stop Loss: 16.3391
  • Take Profit: 16.0359

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 16.3391 - 16.238 = 0.1011

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 16.238 - 16.0359 = 0.2021

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2021 / 0.1011 = 1.999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1285.3954 100 79.1597 12.85
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.1011

Taille de position = 8 / 0.1011 = 79.13

Taille de position USD = 79.13 x 16.238 = 1284.91

Donc, tu peux acheter 79.13 avec un stoploss a 16.3391

Avec un position size USD de 1284.91$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 79.13 x 0.1011 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 79.13 x 0.2021 = 15.99

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 79.13
  • Taille de position USD 1284.91
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.99
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.24 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.62 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 1.24
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4619 % 74.19 % 2

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 16.0358
            [stop_loss] => 16.3391
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 19:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 15.98525
            [stop_loss] => 16.3391
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 19:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 15.9347
            [stop_loss] => 16.3391
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 19:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 15.88415
            [stop_loss] => 16.3391
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 19:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 15.8336
            [stop_loss] => 16.3391
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 15.78305
            [stop_loss] => 16.3391
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 15.7325
            [stop_loss] => 16.3391
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 15.68195
            [stop_loss] => 16.3391
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 15.6314
            [stop_loss] => 16.3391
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 15.58085
            [stop_loss] => 16.3391
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 15.5303
            [stop_loss] => 16.3391
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 23:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.358
            [max_drawdown] => 0.074999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 4.77
            [high] => 16.31300000
            [low] => 15.88000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.2
            [mae_pct] => 0.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-13T18:26:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T20:26:18-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.89
            [max_drawdown] => 0.074999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 11.87
            [high] => 16.31300000
            [low] => 15.34800000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.48
            [mae_pct] => 0.46
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.87
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-13T18:26:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-14T01:26:18-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 16.26800000
            [high_after] => 16.31300000
            [low_before] => 15.74500000
            [low_after] => 15.34800000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)