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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 13 Nov 2025 at 18:27:00

Take profit at 4.5243 (1.62 %) and Stop Loss at 4.6363 (0.81 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 13 Nov 2025 at 18:27:00

With 214.2478 AR at 4.599$ per unit.

Position size of 985.3254 $

Take profit at 4.5243 (1.62 %) and Stop Loss at 4.6363 (0.81 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 5.22
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.94
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.84
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.52
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.613449

15m : -0.045247

1H : 0.047983

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.09
  4. atr: 0.02489329871
Details
  1. score: 1.09
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.58172
  4. ema21 : 4.68629
  5. ema50 : 4.85886
  6. ema100 : 5.08468
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00377032
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0223144
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0355155
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0955197
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.45694
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.349213
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.256671
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.203534
  17. rsi : 0.407482
  18. adx : 0.318252
  19. kc_percentage : 0.333949
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.104624
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.322625
  22. volume_ema1 : 288675.88273118
  23. volume_ema2 : 426169.11357527
  24. chop : 50.3113
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.53941
  28. ema21 : 4.54273
  29. ema50 : 4.62336
  30. ema100 : 4.71365
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0131255
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.000730563
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0174398
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0243249
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0420463
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0843392
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.122155
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0972731
  41. rsi : 0.559961
  42. adx : 0.214668
  43. kc_percentage : 0.781195
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0452432
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.397989
  46. volume_ema1 : 60598.129793671
  47. volume_ema2 : 100659.64468484
  48. chop : 58.3595
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.57409
  52. ema21 : 4.54129
  53. ema50 : 4.52907
  54. ema100 : 4.57304
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00544475
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0072237
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00269784
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0056748
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.15578
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.117066
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0419736
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00440897
  65. rsi : 0.677293
  66. adx : 0.38338
  67. kc_percentage : 1.08956
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0205721
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.0695271
  70. volume_ema1 : 23950.927740405
  71. volume_ema2 : 25740.598151666
  72. chop : 39.8159
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    99815.2
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00480175
  78. 5m_price: 
    100294
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.613449
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    101025
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00658438
  83. 15m_price: 
    100359
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.045247
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103040
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.026653
  88. 1H_price: 
    100294
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.047983
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 15:00:00
                    [1] => 6.05
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 5.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 15:00:00
                    [1] => 5.767
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.674
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 02:00:00
                    [1] => 5.303
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 12:00:00
                    [1] => 4.751
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
                    [1] => 4.767
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 4.413
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 18:00:00
                    [1] => 4.62
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.58441558441559
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0788579197825
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6906866077498
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 03:30:00
                    [1] => 4.915
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 04:00:00
                    [1] => 4.782
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 05:45:00
                    [1] => 4.764
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 06:30:00
                    [1] => 4.874
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 08:15:00
                    [1] => 4.875
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 09:45:00
                    [1] => 4.87
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 10:45:00
                    [1] => 4.65
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 13:30:00
                    [1] => 4.444
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 16:15:00
                    [1] => 4.413
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 18:15:00
                    [1] => 4.62
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.58441558441559
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0788579197825
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6906866077498
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 10:15:00
                    [1] => 4.822
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 10:45:00
                    [1] => 4.65
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 11:10:00
                    [1] => 4.854
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 13:35:00
                    [1] => 4.444
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 14:25:00
                    [1] => 4.553
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 14:55:00
                    [1] => 4.445
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 15:45:00
                    [1] => 4.437
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 4.515
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 16:15:00
                    [1] => 4.413
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 18:20:00
                    [1] => 4.62
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.58441558441559
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.0788579197825
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 26
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6906866077498
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.58%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.08%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
26 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.69%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2177
4.70%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1113
2.46%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-13 10:15:00 4.822 ↑ High
2025-11-13 10:45:00 4.65 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 11:10:00 4.854 ↑ High
2025-11-13 13:35:00 4.444 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 14:25:00 4.553 ↑ High
2025-11-13 14:55:00 4.445 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 15:45:00 4.437 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 16:00:00 4.515 ↑ High
2025-11-13 16:15:00 4.413 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 18:20:00 4.62 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.58%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.08%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.69%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2787
6.01%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1113
2.46%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-13 03:30:00 4.915 ↑ High
2025-11-13 04:00:00 4.782 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 05:45:00 4.764 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 06:30:00 4.874 ↑ High
2025-11-13 08:15:00 4.875 ↑ High
2025-11-13 09:45:00 4.87 ↑ High
2025-11-13 10:45:00 4.65 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 13:30:00 4.444 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 16:15:00 4.413 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 18:15:00 4.62 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.58%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.08%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.69%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.4137
30.49%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1113
2.46%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 15:00:00 6.05 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 5.27 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 15:00:00 5.767 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:00:00 4.674 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 02:00:00 5.303 ↑ High
2025-11-12 12:00:00 4.751 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 22:00:00 4.767 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 16:00:00 4.413 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 18:00:00 4.62 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
13 Nov 2025
18:27:00		 13 Nov 2025
18:45:00		 18 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.599 4.6363 4.5243 2 1.513
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.599
  • Stop Loss: 4.6363
  • Take Profit: 4.5243

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.6363 - 4.599 = 0.0373

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.599 - 4.5243 = 0.0747

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0747 / 0.0373 = 2.0027

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
985.3254 100 214.2478 9.85
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0373

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0373 = 214.48

Taille de position USD = 214.48 x 4.599 = 986.39

Donc, tu peux acheter 214.48 avec un stoploss a 4.6363

Avec un position size USD de 986.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 214.48 x 0.0373 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 214.48 x 0.0747 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 214.48
  • Taille de position USD 986.39
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0027

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.62 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.81 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
-7.99 $ -0.81
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.8263 % 101.89 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.5243
            [entry_price] => 4.599
            [stop_loss] => 4.64003
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.5243
            [entry_price] => 4.599
            [stop_loss] => 4.64376
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.5243
            [entry_price] => 4.599
            [stop_loss] => 4.64749
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.5243
            [entry_price] => 4.599
            [stop_loss] => 4.65495
            [rr_ratio] => 1.34
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.047000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 0.061
            [rr_ratio] => 0.77
            [high] => 4.66000000
            [low] => 4.55200000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.02
            [mae_pct] => 1.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.77
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-13T18:27:00-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T20:27:00-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.265
            [max_drawdown] => 0.061
            [rr_ratio] => 4.34
            [high] => 4.66000000
            [low] => 4.33400000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.76
            [mae_pct] => 1.33
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 4.34
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-13T18:27:00-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-14T01:27:00-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.62000000
            [high_after] => 4.66000000
            [low_before] => 4.41300000
            [low_after] => 4.33400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)