Short Trade on AAVE 13 Nov 2025 at 18:35:46
Take profit at 197.41 (1.39 %) and Stop Loss at 201.595 (0.7 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 13 Nov 2025 at 18:35:46
Take profit at 197.41 (1.39 %) and Stop Loss at 201.595 (0.7 %)
Position size of 1148.0824 $
Take profit at 197.41 (1.39 %) and Stop Loss at 201.595 (0.7 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.87 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.68 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.61 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.767959 15m : -0.189553 1H : -0.102844 |
2 |
Indicators:
99757.4
0.00513323
100269
0.767959
101029
-0.00745883
100276
-0.189553
103040
-0.0268909
100269
-0.102844
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
[1] => 232.11
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
[1] => 219.87
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
[1] => 206.9
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 02:00:00
[1] => 207.74
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 08:00:00
[1] => 219.43
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 14:00:00
[1] => 202.69
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
[1] => 204.12
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 01:00:00
[1] => 216.49
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 15:00:00
[1] => 190.56
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 18:00:00
[1] => 200.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18962075848303
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.9643157010915
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1637279596977
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 20:45:00
[1] => 209.56
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 22:15:00
[1] => 204.12
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 22:45:00
[1] => 211.26
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 01:45:00
[1] => 216.49
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 04:00:00
[1] => 211.44
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 05:15:00
[1] => 214.53
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 07:45:00
[1] => 214.1
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 09:45:00
[1] => 213.67
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 15:45:00
[1] => 190.56
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 18:30:00
[1] => 200.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18962075848303
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.9643157010915
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.1637279596977
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 10:20:00
[1] => 210.06
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 14:05:00
[1] => 196.1
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 15:35:00
[1] => 193.16
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 15:50:00
[1] => 190.56
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 16:05:00
[1] => 193.6
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 17:40:00
[1] => 197.82
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 18:00:00
[1] => 195.75
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 18:35:00
[1] => 200.4
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.18962075848303
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1813537675607
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.3754789272031
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 10:20:00 | 210.06 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 14:05:00 | 196.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 15:35:00 | 193.16 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 15:50:00 | 190.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 16:05:00 | 193.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 17:40:00 | 197.82 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 18:00:00 | 195.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 18:35:00 | 200.4 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 20:45:00 | 209.56 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 22:15:00 | 204.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 22:45:00 | 211.26 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 01:45:00 | 216.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 04:00:00 | 211.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 05:15:00 | 214.53 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 07:45:00 | 214.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 09:45:00 | 213.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 15:45:00 | 190.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 18:30:00 | 200.4 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 20:00:00 | 232.11 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 07:00:00 | 219.87 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 19:00:00 | 206.9 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 02:00:00 | 207.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 08:00:00 | 219.43 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 14:00:00 | 202.69 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 22:00:00 | 204.12 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 01:00:00 | 216.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 15:00:00 | 190.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 18:00:00 | 200.4 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov 2025 18:35:46 |
13 Nov 2025 18:40:00 |
4 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 200.2 | 201.595 | 197.41 | 2 | 112.55 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 201.595 - 200.2 = 1.395
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 200.2 - 197.41 = 2.79
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.79 / 1.395 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1148.0824 | 100 | 5.7347 | 11.48 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.395 = 5.73
Taille de position USD = 5.73 x 200.2 = 1147.15
Donc, tu peux acheter 5.73 avec un stoploss a 201.595
Avec un position size USD de 1147.15$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 5.73 x 1.395 = 7.99
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 7.99$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 5.73 x 2.79 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.39 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.7 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.70 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.8791 % | 126.16 % | 1 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 197.41
[entry_price] => 200.2
[stop_loss] => 201.7345
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-13 18:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 197.41
[entry_price] => 200.2
[stop_loss] => 201.874
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-13 18:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 197.41
[entry_price] => 200.2
[stop_loss] => 202.0135
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-13 19:15:00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 197.41
[entry_price] => 200.2
[stop_loss] => 202.2925
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-13 19:15:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.94
[max_drawdown] => 1.76
[rr_ratio] => 2.81
[high] => 201.96000000
[low] => 195.26000000
[mfe_pct] => 2.47
[mae_pct] => 0.88
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.81
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-13T18:35:46-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-13T20:35:46-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 15.13
[max_drawdown] => 1.76
[rr_ratio] => 8.6
[high] => 201.96000000
[low] => 185.07000000
[mfe_pct] => 7.56
[mae_pct] => 0.88
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 8.6
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-13T18:35:46-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T01:35:46-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 200.40000000
[high_after] => 201.96000000
[low_before] => 190.56000000
[low_after] => 185.07000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)