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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 13 Nov 2025 at 18:36:43

Take profit at 4.5416 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 4.6502 (0.78 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 13 Nov 2025 at 18:36:43

With 221.0401 AR at 4.614$ per unit.

Position size of 1019.8789 $

Take profit at 4.5416 (1.57 %) and Stop Loss at 4.6502 (0.78 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -80
ML Pullback Score: 6.3
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.74
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.92
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.9
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.597931

15m : -0.093412

1H : -0.136643

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.14
  4. atr: 0.02412835524
Details
  1. score: 1.14
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.58472
  4. ema21 : 4.68766
  5. ema50 : 4.85945
  6. ema100 : 5.08498
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00638524
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0219589
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0353516
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0926227
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.451783
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.34689
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.255693
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.203059
  17. rsi : 0.419162
  18. adx : 0.318252
  19. kc_percentage : 0.362154
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.104284
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.295043
  22. volume_ema1 : 301493.94206452
  23. volume_ema2 : 427677.12055566
  24. chop : 50.3113
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.55401
  28. ema21 : 4.549
  29. ema50 : 4.62333
  30. ema100 : 4.71487
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.013172
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00110185
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0160772
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0213955
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.0897256
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0519437
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.10757
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0917295
  41. rsi : 0.582375
  42. adx : 0.216924
  43. kc_percentage : 0.825596
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0444183
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.415925
  46. volume_ema1 : 57914.418651336
  47. volume_ema2 : 99155.907176991
  48. chop : 54.265
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.58833
  52. ema21 : 4.55378
  53. ema50 : 4.53455
  54. ema100 : 4.56729
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00559398
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00758655
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00423985
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0102269
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.155617
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.123904
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0519314
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.00546496
  65. rsi : 0.689937
  66. adx : 0.422052
  67. kc_percentage : 1.13713
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0197517
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.210186
  70. volume_ema1 : 19976.465754995
  71. volume_ema2 : 25292.638361466
  72. chop : 45.4823
  73. regime : bull_medium
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    99761
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00695763
  78. 5m_price: 
    100455
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.597931
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    101029
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00745883
  83. 15m_price: 
    100276
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.093412
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    103044
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0251235
  88. 1H_price: 
    100455
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.136643
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 15:00:00
                    [1] => 6.05
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 5.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 15:00:00
                    [1] => 5.767
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.674
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 02:00:00
                    [1] => 5.303
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 12:00:00
                    [1] => 4.751
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
                    [1] => 4.767
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 4.413
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 18:00:00
                    [1] => 4.62
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17316017316017
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5094040335373
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6906866077498
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 03:30:00
                    [1] => 4.915
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 04:00:00
                    [1] => 4.782
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 05:45:00
                    [1] => 4.764
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 06:30:00
                    [1] => 4.874
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 08:15:00
                    [1] => 4.875
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 09:45:00
                    [1] => 4.87
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 10:45:00
                    [1] => 4.65
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 13:30:00
                    [1] => 4.444
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 16:15:00
                    [1] => 4.413
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 18:15:00
                    [1] => 4.62
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17316017316017
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5094040335373
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6906866077498
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 10:20:00
                    [1] => 4.772
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 10:45:00
                    [1] => 4.65
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 11:10:00
                    [1] => 4.854
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 13:35:00
                    [1] => 4.444
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 14:25:00
                    [1] => 4.553
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 14:55:00
                    [1] => 4.445
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 15:45:00
                    [1] => 4.437
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 4.515
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 16:15:00
                    [1] => 4.413
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 18:20:00
                    [1] => 4.62
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.17316017316017
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5094040335373
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 28
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.6906866077498
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.51%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
28 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.69%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2038
4.38%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1286
2.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-13 10:20:00 4.772 ↑ High
2025-11-13 10:45:00 4.65 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 11:10:00 4.854 ↑ High
2025-11-13 13:35:00 4.444 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 14:25:00 4.553 ↑ High
2025-11-13 14:55:00 4.445 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 15:45:00 4.437 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 16:00:00 4.515 ↑ High
2025-11-13 16:15:00 4.413 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 18:20:00 4.62 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.51%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
9 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.69%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2648
5.69%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1286
2.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-13 03:30:00 4.915 ↑ High
2025-11-13 04:00:00 4.782 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 05:45:00 4.764 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 06:30:00 4.874 ↑ High
2025-11-13 08:15:00 4.875 ↑ High
2025-11-13 09:45:00 4.87 ↑ High
2025-11-13 10:45:00 4.65 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 13:30:00 4.444 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 16:15:00 4.413 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 18:15:00 4.62 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.17%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.51%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.69%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.3998
30.10%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1286
2.83%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 15:00:00 6.05 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 5.27 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 15:00:00 5.767 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:00:00 4.674 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 02:00:00 5.303 ↑ High
2025-11-12 12:00:00 4.751 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 22:00:00 4.767 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 16:00:00 4.413 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 18:00:00 4.62 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
13 Nov 2025
18:36:43		 13 Nov 2025
19:30:00		 53 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.614 4.6502 4.5416 2 1.71
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.614
  • Stop Loss: 4.6502
  • Take Profit: 4.5416

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.6502 - 4.614 = 0.0362

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.614 - 4.5416 = 0.0724

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0724 / 0.0362 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1019.8789 100 221.0401 10.20
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0362

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0362 = 220.99

Taille de position USD = 220.99 x 4.614 = 1019.65

Donc, tu peux acheter 220.99 avec un stoploss a 4.6502

Avec un position size USD de 1019.65$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 220.99 x 0.0362 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 220.99 x 0.0724 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 220.99
  • Taille de position USD 1019.65
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.57 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.78 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.78
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.997 % 127.07 % 6

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.5416
            [entry_price] => 4.614
            [stop_loss] => 4.65382
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.5416
            [entry_price] => 4.614
            [stop_loss] => 4.65744
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 19:30:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.5416
            [entry_price] => 4.614
            [stop_loss] => 4.66106
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.5416
            [entry_price] => 4.614
            [stop_loss] => 4.6683
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-13 20:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.062
            [max_drawdown] => 0.046
            [rr_ratio] => 1.35
            [high] => 4.66000000
            [low] => 4.55200000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.34
            [mae_pct] => 1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-13T18:36:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-13T20:36:43-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.28
            [max_drawdown] => 0.046
            [rr_ratio] => 6.09
            [high] => 4.66000000
            [low] => 4.33400000
            [mfe_pct] => 6.07
            [mae_pct] => 1
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.09
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-13T18:36:43-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-14T01:36:43-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.62000000
            [high_after] => 4.66000000
            [low_before] => 4.41300000
            [low_after] => 4.33400000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)