Short Trade on HOOD 14 Nov 2025 at 00:33:44
Take profit at 119.5729 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 120.5135 (0.26 %)
Short Trade on HOOD 14 Nov 2025 at 00:33:44
Take profit at 119.5729 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 120.5135 (0.26 %)
Position size of 3067.027 $
Take profit at 119.5729 (0.52 %) and Stop Loss at 120.5135 (0.26 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.84 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.51 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.73 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 8.5E-5 15m : -0.078158 1H : -0.220091 |
3 |
Indicators:
98766.2
-0.0155615
97229.3
8.5E-5
100207
-0.0297213
97229.3
-0.078158
102710
-0.0533639
97229.3
-0.220091
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-10 15:00:00
[1] => 137.15
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 11:00:00
[1] => 131.22
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
[1] => 133.67
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 11:00:00
[1] => 128.45
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 15:00:00
[1] => 133.49
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 19:00:00
[1] => 131.57
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 02:00:00
[1] => 133.98
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 13:00:00
[1] => 119.6
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 18:00:00
[1] => 123.19
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:00:00
[1] => 118.44
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.4271450604757
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4859844647079
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.0104694360014
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 06:45:00
[1] => 132.19
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 11:15:00
[1] => 122.24
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 13:30:00
[1] => 119.6
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 16:15:00
[1] => 122.4
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 17:30:00
[1] => 121.76
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 18:30:00
[1] => 123.19
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 21:00:00
[1] => 120.51
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 21:45:00
[1] => 121.41
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 22:15:00
[1] => 121.41
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:45:00
[1] => 118.44
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.99662301293138
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4859844647079
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5075987841945
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 19:50:00
[1] => 122.59
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 20:00:00
[1] => 122.59
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 21:00:00
[1] => 120.51
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 21:50:00
[1] => 121.41
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 22:00:00
[1] => 121.41
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 22:10:00
[1] => 121.41
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 22:20:00
[1] => 121.41
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 22:30:00
[1] => 121.41
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:55:00
[1] => 118.44
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 00:30:00
[1] => 120.2
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.4859844647079
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.4859844647079
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 19:50:00 | 122.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 20:00:00 | 122.59 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 21:00:00 | 120.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 21:50:00 | 121.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 22:00:00 | 121.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 22:10:00 | 121.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 22:20:00 | 121.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 22:30:00 | 121.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 23:55:00 | 118.44 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 00:30:00 | 120.2 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 06:45:00 | 132.19 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 11:15:00 | 122.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 13:30:00 | 119.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 16:15:00 | 122.4 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 17:30:00 | 121.76 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 18:30:00 | 123.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 21:00:00 | 120.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 21:45:00 | 121.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 22:15:00 | 121.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 23:45:00 | 118.44 | ↓ Low |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 15:00:00 | 137.15 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 11:00:00 | 131.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 06:00:00 | 133.67 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 11:00:00 | 128.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 15:00:00 | 133.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 19:00:00 | 131.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 02:00:00 | 133.98 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 13:00:00 | 119.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 18:00:00 | 123.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 23:00:00 | 118.44 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 00:33:44 |
14 Nov 2025 02:05:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 120.2 | 120.5135 | 119.5729 | 2 | 79.22 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 120.5135 - 120.2 = 0.31349999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 120.2 - 119.5729 = 0.6271
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.6271 / 0.31349999999999 = 2.0003
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3067.027 | 100 | 25.516 | 30.67 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.31349999999999 = 25.52
Taille de position USD = 25.52 x 120.2 = 3067.5
Donc, tu peux acheter 25.52 avec un stoploss a 120.5135
Avec un position size USD de 3067.5$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 25.52 x 0.31349999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 25.52 x 0.6271 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.26 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.26 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3161 % | 121.2 % | 4 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 119.5729
[entry_price] => 120.2
[stop_loss] => 120.54485
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 02:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 119.5729
[entry_price] => 120.2
[stop_loss] => 120.5762
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 02:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 119.5729
[entry_price] => 120.2
[stop_loss] => 120.60755
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 03:15:00
[result] => win
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 119.5729
[entry_price] => 120.2
[stop_loss] => 120.67025
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 03:15:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.43000000000001
[max_drawdown] => 0.38
[rr_ratio] => 1.13
[high] => 120.58000000
[low] => 119.77000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.36
[mae_pct] => 0.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.13
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T00:33:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T02:33:44-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 5.79
[max_drawdown] => 0.38
[rr_ratio] => 15.24
[high] => 120.58000000
[low] => 114.41000000
[mfe_pct] => 4.82
[mae_pct] => 0.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 15.24
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T00:33:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T07:33:44-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 121.41000000
[high_after] => 120.58000000
[low_before] => 118.44000000
[low_after] => 118.26000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)