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Short Trade on AR

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Short Trade on AR 14 Nov 2025 at 01:59:29

Take profit at 4.5021 (2.3 %) and Stop Loss at 4.661 (1.15 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 14 Nov 2025 at 01:59:29

With 151.0548 AR at 4.608$ per unit.

Position size of 696.0605 $

Take profit at 4.5021 (2.3 %) and Stop Loss at 4.661 (1.15 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 80
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.67
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.66
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.70254

15m : -0.02892

1H : -0.053486

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.04
  4. atr: 0.03530727535
Details
  1. score: 1.04
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.5627
  4. ema21 : 4.62277
  5. ema50 : 4.78433
  6. ema100 : 5.01154
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00992723
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0129939
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0337683
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0805237
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.234567
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.289551
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.253588
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.207857
  17. rsi : 0.462618
  18. adx : 0.319941
  19. kc_percentage : 0.481678
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.105653
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0550426
  22. volume_ema1 : 468122.86792987
  23. volume_ema2 : 443700.41852007
  24. chop : 56.1286
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 4.52517
  28. ema21 : 4.53238
  29. ema50 : 4.56681
  30. ema100 : 4.64097
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0183023
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00159029
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00753842
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00710564
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0538012
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0546896
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.05709
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0610815
  41. rsi : 0.500712
  42. adx : 0.220014
  43. kc_percentage : 0.837704
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0490826
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.180445
  46. volume_ema1 : 85812.32432043
  47. volume_ema2 : 104706.04710876
  48. chop : 43.719
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 4.54102
  52. ema21 : 4.52956
  53. ema50 : 4.5295
  54. ema100 : 4.53861
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0147494
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00252865
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 1.47179E-5
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0152888
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.00756885
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0166239
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00219251
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.00391058
  65. rsi : 0.654001
  66. adx : 0.155041
  67. kc_percentage : 1.04109
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0312501
  69. volume_ema_diff : 0.638691
  70. volume_ema1 : 67527.181863021
  71. volume_ema2 : 41207.98595333
  72. chop : 46.6643
  73. regime : bull_medium_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    98426.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0120006
  78. 5m_price: 
    97245.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.70254
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    100040
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.034668
  83. 15m_price: 
    96572.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.02892
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    102609
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0522763
  88. 1H_price: 
    97245.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.053486
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-09 22:00:00
                    [1] => 5.97
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 09:00:00
                    [1] => 5.27
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-10 15:00:00
                    [1] => 5.767
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.674
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 02:00:00
                    [1] => 5.303
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 12:00:00
                    [1] => 4.751
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
                    [1] => 4.767
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 16:00:00
                    [1] => 4.413
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 19:00:00
                    [1] => 4.66
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 23:00:00
                    [1] => 4.334
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.9656652360515
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.4836179049377
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.5219197046608
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 06:30:00
                    [1] => 4.874
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 08:15:00
                    [1] => 4.875
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 09:45:00
                    [1] => 4.87
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 10:45:00
                    [1] => 4.65
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 13:30:00
                    [1] => 4.444
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 16:15:00
                    [1] => 4.413
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 19:30:00
                    [1] => 4.66
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 20:30:00
                    [1] => 4.533
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 23:30:00
                    [1] => 4.334
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-14 01:45:00
                    [1] => 4.622
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15144958892254
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0824212642394
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.645131518228
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 21:30:00
                    [1] => 4.596
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 21:45:00
                    [1] => 4.54
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 22:10:00
                    [1] => 4.585
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 22:35:00
                    [1] => 4.502
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 23:00:00
                    [1] => 4.543
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-13 23:35:00
                    [1] => 4.334
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-14 00:25:00
                    [1] => 4.568
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-14 00:55:00
                    [1] => 4.575
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-14 01:45:00
                    [1] => 4.477
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-14 01:55:00
                    [1] => 4.622
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15144958892254
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0824212642394
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2387759660487
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.08%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.24%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0390
0.84%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1681
3.73%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-13 21:30:00 4.596 ↑ High
2025-11-13 21:45:00 4.54 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 22:10:00 4.585 ↑ High
2025-11-13 22:35:00 4.502 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 23:00:00 4.543 ↑ High
2025-11-13 23:35:00 4.334 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 00:25:00 4.568 ↑ High
2025-11-14 00:55:00 4.575 ↑ High
2025-11-14 01:45:00 4.477 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 01:55:00 4.622 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.15%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.08%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.65%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2140
4.59%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1681
3.73%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-13 06:30:00 4.874 ↑ High
2025-11-13 08:15:00 4.875 ↑ High
2025-11-13 09:45:00 4.87 ↑ High
2025-11-13 10:45:00 4.65 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 13:30:00 4.444 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 16:15:00 4.413 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 19:30:00 4.66 ↑ High
2025-11-13 20:30:00 4.533 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 23:30:00 4.334 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 01:45:00 4.622 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.97%
Dist From Last Low Pct
6.48%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
7.52%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.3090
28.08%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.1681
3.73%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-09 22:00:00 5.97 ↑ High
2025-11-10 09:00:00 5.27 ↓ Low
2025-11-10 15:00:00 5.767 ↑ High
2025-11-11 19:00:00 4.674 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 02:00:00 5.303 ↑ High
2025-11-12 12:00:00 4.751 ↓ Low
2025-11-12 22:00:00 4.767 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 16:00:00 4.413 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 19:00:00 4.66 ↑ High
2025-11-13 23:00:00 4.334 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Nov 2025
01:59:29		 14 Nov 2025
04:15:00		 2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.608 4.661 4.5021 2 1.635
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.608
  • Stop Loss: 4.661
  • Take Profit: 4.5021

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.661 - 4.608 = 0.053

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.608 - 4.5021 = 0.1059

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1059 / 0.053 = 1.9981

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
696.0605 100 151.0548 6.96
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.053

Taille de position = 8 / 0.053 = 150.94

Taille de position USD = 150.94 x 4.608 = 695.53

Donc, tu peux acheter 150.94 avec un stoploss a 4.661

Avec un position size USD de 695.53$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 150.94 x 0.053 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 150.94 x 0.1059 = 15.98

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.98$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 150.94
  • Taille de position USD 695.53
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.98
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9981

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.3 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.15 % 8.01 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 2.30
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2604 % 22.64 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.502
            [stop_loss] => 4.661
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 04:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.4755
            [stop_loss] => 4.661
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 04:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.449
            [stop_loss] => 4.661
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 04:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.4225
            [stop_loss] => 4.661
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 06:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.396
            [stop_loss] => 4.661
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 07:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.090999999999999
            [max_drawdown] => 0.012
            [rr_ratio] => 7.58
            [high] => 4.62000000
            [low] => 4.51700000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.97
            [mae_pct] => 0.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 7.58
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-14T01:59:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-14T03:59:29-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.238
            [max_drawdown] => 0.012
            [rr_ratio] => 19.83
            [high] => 4.62000000
            [low] => 4.37000000
            [mfe_pct] => 5.16
            [mae_pct] => 0.26
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 19.83
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-14T01:59:29-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-14T08:59:29-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.62200000
            [high_after] => 4.62000000
            [low_before] => 4.33400000
            [low_after] => 4.37000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)