Short Trade on ORDI 14 Nov 2025 at 02:03:09
Take profit at 4.4729 (2.23 %) and Stop Loss at 4.626 (1.11 %)
Short Trade on ORDI 14 Nov 2025 at 02:03:09
Take profit at 4.4729 (2.23 %) and Stop Loss at 4.626 (1.11 %)
Position size of 717.2395 $
Take profit at 4.4729 (2.23 %) and Stop Loss at 4.626 (1.11 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.53 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.62 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.777039 15m : 0.021517 1H : -0.032944 |
3 |
Indicators:
98412.4
-0.00877728
97548.7
0.777039
100062
-0.0251198
97548.7
0.021517
102533
-0.0486129
97548.7
-0.032944
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 15:00:00
[1] => 4.872
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 08:00:00
[1] => 5.133
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 12:00:00
[1] => 4.642
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
[1] => 4.672
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 00:00:00
[1] => 4.89
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 09:00:00
[1] => 4.893
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 15:00:00
[1] => 4.449
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 19:00:00
[1] => 4.626
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:00:00
[1] => 4.287
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 02:00:00
[1] => 4.6
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0434782608696
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.1814788896664
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.3011429904362
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 08:15:00
[1] => 4.865
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 09:30:00
[1] => 4.725
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 09:45:00
[1] => 4.893
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 15:00:00
[1] => 4.449
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 19:30:00
[1] => 4.626
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 20:30:00
[1] => 4.526
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 21:15:00
[1] => 4.588
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:30:00
[1] => 4.287
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 01:45:00
[1] => 4.431
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 02:00:00
[1] => 4.6
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0434782608696
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7307605506658
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8140374633266
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 19:30:00
[1] => 4.626
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 20:00:00
[1] => 4.542
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 20:20:00
[1] => 4.587
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 20:40:00
[1] => 4.526
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 20:55:00
[1] => 4.526
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 21:15:00
[1] => 4.588
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:35:00
[1] => 4.287
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 00:50:00
[1] => 4.541
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 01:45:00
[1] => 4.431
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 02:00:00
[1] => 4.6
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.0434782608696
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7307605506658
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8140374633266
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 19:30:00 | 4.626 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 20:00:00 | 4.542 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 20:20:00 | 4.587 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 20:40:00 | 4.526 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 20:55:00 | 4.526 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 21:15:00 | 4.588 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 23:35:00 | 4.287 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 00:50:00 | 4.541 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 01:45:00 | 4.431 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 02:00:00 | 4.6 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 08:15:00 | 4.865 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 09:30:00 | 4.725 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 09:45:00 | 4.893 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 15:00:00 | 4.449 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 19:30:00 | 4.626 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 20:30:00 | 4.526 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 21:15:00 | 4.588 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 23:30:00 | 4.287 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 01:45:00 | 4.431 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 02:00:00 | 4.6 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 15:00:00 | 4.872 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 08:00:00 | 5.133 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 12:00:00 | 4.642 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 22:00:00 | 4.672 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 00:00:00 | 4.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 09:00:00 | 4.893 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 15:00:00 | 4.449 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 19:00:00 | 4.626 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 23:00:00 | 4.287 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 02:00:00 | 4.6 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 02:03:09 |
14 Nov 2025 07:10:00 |
5 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.575 | 4.626 | 4.4729 | 2 | 2.584 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 4.626 - 4.575 = 0.051
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 4.575 - 4.4729 = 0.1021
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1021 / 0.051 = 2.002
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 717.2395 | 100 | 156.7737 | 7.17 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.051 = 156.86
Taille de position USD = 156.86 x 4.575 = 717.63
Donc, tu peux acheter 156.86 avec un stoploss a 4.626
Avec un position size USD de 717.63$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 156.86 x 0.051 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 156.86 x 0.1021 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.23 % | 16.01 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.11 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.01 $ | 2.23 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6776 % | 60.78 % | 8 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 4.473
[stop_loss] => 4.626
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 07:10:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.044
[max_drawdown] => 0.031
[rr_ratio] => 1.42
[high] => 4.60600000
[low] => 4.53100000
[mfe_pct] => 0.96
[mae_pct] => 0.68
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.42
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T02:03:09-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T04:03:09-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.103
[max_drawdown] => 0.042
[rr_ratio] => 2.45
[high] => 4.61700000
[low] => 4.47200000
[mfe_pct] => 2.25
[mae_pct] => 0.92
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.45
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T02:03:09-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T09:03:09-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 4.60000000
[high_after] => 4.61700000
[low_before] => 4.28700000
[low_after] => 4.47200000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)