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Short Trade on MELANIA

Short Trade on MELANIA

The 14 Nov 2025 at 02:17:18

With 4270.8507 MELANIA at 0.1476$ per unit.

Position size of 630.3776 $

Take profit at 0.1439 (2.51 %) and Stop Loss at 0.1495 (1.29 %)

That's a 1.95 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 70
ML Pullback Score: 8
Prediction Score: 6
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.52
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.6
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bear_high
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.284244

15m : 0.053836

1H : -0.025007

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.25
  4. atr: 0.001248775407
Details
  1. score: 1.25
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 0.150106
  4. ema21 - 0.153934
  5. ema50 - 0.154133
  6. ema100 - 0.149435
  7. price_ema9_diff - -0.0167012
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0248619
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00129143
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0122826
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.420106
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.198735
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.0204688
  16. ema_slope_100 - 0.0698226
  17. rsi - 0.407973
  18. adx - 0.263161
  19. kc_percentage - 0.205271
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.142101
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.678751
  22. volume_ema1 - 249314.19781073
  23. volume_ema2 - 776080.15022192
  24. chop - 40.8585
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 0.14486
  28. ema21 - 0.147648
  29. ema50 - 0.152745
  30. ema100 - 0.156358
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0189087
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0188821
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0333692
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0560172
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - -0.412772
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.467635
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.307506
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.18668
  41. rsi - 0.457947
  42. adx - 0.338586
  43. kc_percentage - 0.522865
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0636658
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.14849
  46. volume_ema1 - 71934.724782179
  47. volume_ema2 - 84479.096454923
  48. chop - 54.6819
  49. regime - bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 0.145068
  52. ema21 - 0.143937
  53. ema50 - 0.146344
  54. ema100 - 0.150982
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.0174521
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00785759
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.016449
  58. price_ema100_diff - -0.0224023
  59. all_emas_in_trend - False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.178568
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0401479
  63. ema_slope_50 - -0.0895092
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.109281
  65. rsi - 0.688629
  66. adx - 0.42254
  67. kc_percentage - 1.25119
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0330167
  69. volume_ema_diff - 0.701307
  70. volume_ema1 - 44687.506482499
  71. volume_ema2 - 26266.563549055
  72. chop - 30.9861
  73. regime - bear_high
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 98331.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0092614
  78. 5m_price: 97421
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.284244
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 99990.6
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.025699
  83. 15m_price: 97421
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.053836
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 102530
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0498349
  88. 1H_price: 97421
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.025007
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
14 Nov 2025
02:17:18		 14 Nov 2025
04:10:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
0.1476 0.1495 0.1439 1.95 0.1047
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 0.1476
  • Stop Loss: 0.1495
  • Take Profit: 0.1439

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 0.1495 - 0.1476 = 0.0019

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 0.1476 - 0.1439 = 0.0037

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0037 / 0.0019 = 1.9474

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
630.3776 100 4270.8507 6.30
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0019

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0019 = 4210.53

Taille de position USD = 4210.53 x 0.1476 = 621.47

Donc, tu peux acheter 4210.53 avec un stoploss a 0.1495

Avec un position size USD de 621.47$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4210.53 x 0.0019 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4210.53 x 0.0037 = 15.58

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.58$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 4210.53
  • Taille de position USD 621.47
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 15.58
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9474

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.51 % 15.8 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.29 % 8.11 $
PNL PNL %
15.8 $ 2.51
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.4065 % 31.58 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1438
            [stop_loss] => 0.1495
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 04:10:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.14285
            [stop_loss] => 0.1495
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 04:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.1419
            [stop_loss] => 0.1495
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 04:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 0.14095
            [stop_loss] => 0.1495
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-14 04:55:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.004
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00059999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 6.67
            [high] => 0.14820000
            [low] => 0.14360000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.71
            [mae_pct] => 0.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.67
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-14T02:17:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-14T04:17:18-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.0067
            [max_drawdown] => 0.00059999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 11.17
            [high] => 0.14820000
            [low] => 0.14090000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.54
            [mae_pct] => 0.41
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 11.17
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-14T02:17:18-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-14T09:17:18-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 0.15720000
            [high_after] => 0.14820000
            [low_before] => 0.14020000
            [low_after] => 0.14090000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)