Short Trade on COIN 14 Nov 2025 at 04:06:12
Take profit at 278.9925 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 281.6738 (0.32 %)
Short Trade on COIN 14 Nov 2025 at 04:06:12
Take profit at 278.9925 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 281.6738 (0.32 %)
Position size of 2513.2669 $
Take profit at 278.9925 (0.64 %) and Stop Loss at 281.6738 (0.32 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.58 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.71 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.91 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.577679 15m : -0.111647 1H : -0.001475 |
3 |
Indicators:
97811.4
-0.00340968
97477.9
0.577679
99654.5
-0.0218417
97477.9
-0.111647
102331
-0.0474288
97477.9
-0.001475
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-10 20:00:00
[1] => 322.6
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 09:00:00
[1] => 316.79
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 15:00:00
[1] => 303.97
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 20:00:00
[1] => 307.61
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
[1] => 313.33
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 11:00:00
[1] => 301.74
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
[1] => 303.14
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 02:00:00
[1] => 310
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 15:00:00
[1] => 280.89
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 01:00:00
[1] => 277.46
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -9.5032258064516
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1100699199885
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 26
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.2362142290781
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 03:45:00
[1] => 309.35
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 06:30:00
[1] => 304.01
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 07:45:00
[1] => 306.44
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 15:15:00
[1] => 280.89
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 16:00:00
[1] => 285.17
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 18:30:00
[1] => 287.41
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 20:15:00
[1] => 283.6
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 21:45:00
[1] => 286.98
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 01:45:00
[1] => 277.46
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 04:00:00
[1] => 280.78
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.085476173516615
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1100699199885
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 9
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.1965688747928
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:05:00
[1] => 286.26
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:50:00
[1] => 280.48
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 00:35:00
[1] => 279.23
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 01:10:00
[1] => 280.34
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 01:45:00
[1] => 277.46
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 02:00:00
[1] => 279.65
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 02:35:00
[1] => 277.78
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 03:15:00
[1] => 280.04
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 03:50:00
[1] => 278
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 04:05:00
[1] => 280.78
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.085476173516615
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.91366906474821
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.99999999999999
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 23:05:00 | 286.26 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 23:50:00 | 280.48 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 00:35:00 | 279.23 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 01:10:00 | 280.34 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 01:45:00 | 277.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 02:00:00 | 279.65 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 02:35:00 | 277.78 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 03:15:00 | 280.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 03:50:00 | 278 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 04:05:00 | 280.78 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 03:45:00 | 309.35 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 06:30:00 | 304.01 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 07:45:00 | 306.44 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 15:15:00 | 280.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 16:00:00 | 285.17 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 18:30:00 | 287.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 20:15:00 | 283.6 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 21:45:00 | 286.98 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 01:45:00 | 277.46 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 04:00:00 | 280.78 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-10 20:00:00 | 322.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 09:00:00 | 316.79 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 15:00:00 | 303.97 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 20:00:00 | 307.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 06:00:00 | 313.33 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 11:00:00 | 301.74 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 22:00:00 | 303.14 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 02:00:00 | 310 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 15:00:00 | 280.89 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 01:00:00 | 277.46 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 04:06:12 |
14 Nov 2025 04:30:00 |
23 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 280.78 | 281.6738 | 278.9925 | 2 | 180.4 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 281.6738 - 280.78 = 0.89380000000006
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 280.78 - 278.9925 = 1.7875
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7875 / 0.89380000000006 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2513.2669 | 100 | 8.951 | 25.13 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.89380000000006 = 8.95
Taille de position USD = 8.95 x 280.78 = 2512.98
Donc, tu peux acheter 8.95 avec un stoploss a 281.6738
Avec un position size USD de 2512.98$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 8.95 x 0.89380000000006 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 8.95 x 1.7875 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.64 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.32 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.64 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0321 % | 10.08 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 278.9924
[stop_loss] => 281.6738
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 04:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 278.5455
[stop_loss] => 281.6738
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 04:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 278.0986
[stop_loss] => 281.6738
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 04:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 277.6517
[stop_loss] => 281.6738
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 06:00:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 277.2048
[stop_loss] => 281.6738
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 06:05:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 276.7579
[stop_loss] => 281.6738
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 06:10:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 276.311
[stop_loss] => 281.6738
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 06:10:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 275.8641
[stop_loss] => 281.6738
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 06:10:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 275.4172
[stop_loss] => 281.6738
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 06:15:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 274.9703
[stop_loss] => 281.6738
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 06:15:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 274.5234
[stop_loss] => 281.6738
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 06:25:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 3.78
[max_drawdown] => 0.090000000000032
[rr_ratio] => 42
[high] => 280.87000000
[low] => 277.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.35
[mae_pct] => 0.03
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 42
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T04:06:12-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T06:06:12-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 14.41
[max_drawdown] => 7.48
[rr_ratio] => 1.93
[high] => 288.26000000
[low] => 266.37000000
[mfe_pct] => 5.13
[mae_pct] => 2.66
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.93
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T04:06:12-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T11:06:12-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 281.26000000
[high_after] => 282.11000000
[low_before] => 277.46000000
[low_after] => 266.37000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)