Short Trade on HYPE 14 Nov 2025 at 05:39:45
Take profit at 37.0757 (1.4 %) and Stop Loss at 37.8637 (0.7 %)
Short Trade on HYPE 14 Nov 2025 at 05:39:45
Take profit at 37.0757 (1.4 %) and Stop Loss at 37.8637 (0.7 %)
Position size of 1145.2244 $
Take profit at 37.0757 (1.4 %) and Stop Loss at 37.8637 (0.7 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.67 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.76 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.56 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium_confirmed |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.80126 15m : -0.042422 1H : -0.057594 |
3 |
Indicators:
97652.7
-0.00425658
97237.1
0.80126
99239.5
-0.0210719
97148.4
-0.042422
102251
-0.0490418
97237.1
-0.057594
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 03:00:00
[1] => 39.67
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 06:00:00
[1] => 40.46
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
[1] => 38.38
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 06:00:00
[1] => 40.81
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 11:00:00
[1] => 37.45
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
[1] => 37.893
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 02:00:00
[1] => 39.836
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 13:00:00
[1] => 36.574
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 18:00:00
[1] => 39.077
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 01:00:00
[1] => 36.356
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.7157407170458
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4904830014303
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.4843217075586
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 14:00:00
[1] => 38.05
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 15:15:00
[1] => 37.122
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 18:30:00
[1] => 39.077
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 20:30:00
[1] => 37.67
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 21:30:00
[1] => 38.34
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:30:00
[1] => 36.579
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 01:45:00
[1] => 36.356
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 02:45:00
[1] => 37.881
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 04:30:00
[1] => 36.875
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 05:30:00
[1] => 37.656
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.082324198002971
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0338983050847
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1179661016949
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 00:15:00
[1] => 37.328
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 00:35:00
[1] => 36.937
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 00:45:00
[1] => 37.359
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 01:45:00
[1] => 36.356
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 02:00:00
[1] => 37.78
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 02:45:00
[1] => 37.881
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 03:45:00
[1] => 36.988
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 04:05:00
[1] => 37.494
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 04:30:00
[1] => 36.875
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 05:35:00
[1] => 37.656
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.082324198002971
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.0338983050847
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.1179661016949
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 00:15:00 | 37.328 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 00:35:00 | 36.937 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 00:45:00 | 37.359 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 01:45:00 | 36.356 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 02:00:00 | 37.78 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 02:45:00 | 37.881 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 03:45:00 | 36.988 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 04:05:00 | 37.494 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 04:30:00 | 36.875 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 05:35:00 | 37.656 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 14:00:00 | 38.05 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 15:15:00 | 37.122 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 18:30:00 | 39.077 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 20:30:00 | 37.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 21:30:00 | 38.34 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 23:30:00 | 36.579 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 01:45:00 | 36.356 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 02:45:00 | 37.881 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 04:30:00 | 36.875 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 05:30:00 | 37.656 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 03:00:00 | 39.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-11 06:00:00 | 40.46 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 19:00:00 | 38.38 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 06:00:00 | 40.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 11:00:00 | 37.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 22:00:00 | 37.893 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 02:00:00 | 39.836 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 13:00:00 | 36.574 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 18:00:00 | 39.077 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 01:00:00 | 36.356 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 05:39:45 |
14 Nov 2025 06:05:00 |
25 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.601 | 37.8637 | 37.0757 | 2 | 28.205 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 37.8637 - 37.601 = 0.2627
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 37.601 - 37.0757 = 0.5253
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.5253 / 0.2627 = 1.9996
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1145.2244 | 100 | 30.4573 | 11.45 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.2627 = 30.45
Taille de position USD = 30.45 x 37.601 = 1144.95
Donc, tu peux acheter 30.45 avec un stoploss a 37.8637
Avec un position size USD de 1144.95$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 30.45 x 0.2627 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 30.45 x 0.5253 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.4 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.7 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.40 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.2553 % | 36.54 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 37.0756
[stop_loss] => 37.8637
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 06:05:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 36.94425
[stop_loss] => 37.8637
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 06:25:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 36.8129
[stop_loss] => 37.8637
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 06:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 36.68155
[stop_loss] => 37.8637
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 06:50:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 36.5502
[stop_loss] => 37.8637
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 07:10:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 36.41885
[stop_loss] => 37.8637
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 07:30:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 36.2875
[stop_loss] => 37.8637
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 07:35:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 36.15615
[stop_loss] => 37.8637
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 07:35:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 36.0248
[stop_loss] => 37.8637
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 07:40:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 35.89345
[stop_loss] => 37.8637
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 09:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 35.7621
[stop_loss] => 37.8637
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 09:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.489
[max_drawdown] => 0.096000000000004
[rr_ratio] => 15.51
[high] => 37.69700000
[low] => 36.11200000
[mfe_pct] => 3.96
[mae_pct] => 0.26
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 15.51
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T05:39:45-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T07:39:45-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.601
[max_drawdown] => 0.659
[rr_ratio] => 2.43
[high] => 38.26000000
[low] => 36.00000000
[mfe_pct] => 4.26
[mae_pct] => 1.75
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.43
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T05:39:45-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T12:39:45-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 37.88100000
[high_after] => 38.26000000
[low_before] => 36.35600000
[low_after] => 36.00000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)