Short Trade on AVAX 14 Nov 2025 at 14:26:39
Take profit at 15.4409 (1.34 %) and Stop Loss at 15.7545 (0.67 %)
Short Trade on AVAX 14 Nov 2025 at 14:26:39
Take profit at 15.4409 (1.34 %) and Stop Loss at 15.7545 (0.67 %)
Position size of 1197.6719 $
Take profit at 15.4409 (1.34 %) and Stop Loss at 15.7545 (0.67 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.96 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.56 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.94 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.851688 15m : -0.05349 1H : -0.026163 |
3 |
Indicators:
96117.8
-0.00414561
95719.4
0.851688
97133.8
-0.0163511
95545.6
-0.05349
101054
-0.0527907
95719.4
-0.026163
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 07:00:00
[1] => 17.884
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
[1] => 16.905
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 09:00:00
[1] => 17.759
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 12:00:00
[1] => 16.625
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 01:00:00
[1] => 17.681
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 16:00:00
[1] => 15.745
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:00:00
[1] => 15.348
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 02:00:00
[1] => 16.075
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 07:00:00
[1] => 15.068
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 12:00:00
[1] => 15.718
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.46443567883955
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.829307140961
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 2
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.3137775418105
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 21:15:00
[1] => 16.071
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:30:00
[1] => 15.348
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 01:45:00
[1] => 15.619
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 02:00:00
[1] => 16.075
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 07:30:00
[1] => 15.068
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 08:00:00
[1] => 15.51
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 09:30:00
[1] => 15.135
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 12:00:00
[1] => 15.718
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 12:45:00
[1] => 15.312
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 14:15:00
[1] => 15.701
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.35666518056175
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.1747648902821
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.5404911180773
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 09:45:00
[1] => 15.545
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 10:15:00
[1] => 15.221
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 10:45:00
[1] => 15.65
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 11:15:00
[1] => 15.391
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 11:40:00
[1] => 15.681
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 12:10:00
[1] => 15.718
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 12:50:00
[1] => 15.312
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 13:15:00
[1] => 15.553
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 13:45:00
[1] => 15.361
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 14:20:00
[1] => 15.701
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.35666518056175
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.8488379662782
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.2133975652627
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 09:45:00 | 15.545 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 10:15:00 | 15.221 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 10:45:00 | 15.65 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 11:15:00 | 15.391 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 11:40:00 | 15.681 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 12:10:00 | 15.718 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 12:50:00 | 15.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 13:15:00 | 15.553 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 13:45:00 | 15.361 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 14:20:00 | 15.701 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 21:15:00 | 16.071 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 23:30:00 | 15.348 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 01:45:00 | 15.619 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 02:00:00 | 16.075 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 07:30:00 | 15.068 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 08:00:00 | 15.51 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 09:30:00 | 15.135 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 12:00:00 | 15.718 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 12:45:00 | 15.312 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 14:15:00 | 15.701 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 07:00:00 | 17.884 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 19:00:00 | 16.905 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 09:00:00 | 17.759 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 12:00:00 | 16.625 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 01:00:00 | 17.681 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 16:00:00 | 15.745 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 23:00:00 | 15.348 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 02:00:00 | 16.075 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 07:00:00 | 15.068 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 12:00:00 | 15.718 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 14:26:39 |
14 Nov 2025 15:25:00 |
58 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15.65 | 15.7545 | 15.4409 | 2 | 9.327 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 15.7545 - 15.65 = 0.1045
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 15.65 - 15.4409 = 0.2091
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.2091 / 0.1045 = 2.001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1197.6719 | 100 | 76.5286 | 11.98 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.1045 = 76.56
Taille de position USD = 76.56 x 15.65 = 1198.16
Donc, tu peux acheter 76.56 avec un stoploss a 15.7545
Avec un position size USD de 1198.16$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 76.56 x 0.1045 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 76.56 x 0.2091 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.34 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.67 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.34 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.1597 % | 23.92 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 15.441
[stop_loss] => 15.7545
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 15:25:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 15.38875
[stop_loss] => 15.7545
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 15:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 15.3365
[stop_loss] => 15.7545
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 15:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 15.28425
[stop_loss] => 15.7545
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 15:40:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 15.232
[stop_loss] => 15.7545
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 15:40:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 15.17975
[stop_loss] => 15.7545
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 15:40:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 15.1275
[stop_loss] => 15.7545
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 15.07525
[stop_loss] => 15.7545
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 15.023
[stop_loss] => 15.7545
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.97075
[stop_loss] => 15.7545
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 14.9185
[stop_loss] => 15.7545
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 18:05:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.521
[max_drawdown] => 0.025
[rr_ratio] => 20.84
[high] => 15.67500000
[low] => 15.12900000
[mfe_pct] => 3.33
[mae_pct] => 0.16
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 20.84
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T14:26:39-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T16:26:39-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.828
[max_drawdown] => 0.025
[rr_ratio] => 33.12
[high] => 15.67500000
[low] => 14.82200000
[mfe_pct] => 5.29
[mae_pct] => 0.16
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 33.12
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T14:26:39-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T21:26:39-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 15.71800000
[high_after] => 15.67500000
[low_before] => 15.31200000
[low_after] => 14.82200000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)