Short Trade on MSTR 14 Nov 2025 at 17:33:20
Take profit at 200.044 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 201.898 (0.31 %)
Short Trade on MSTR 14 Nov 2025 at 17:33:20
Take profit at 200.044 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 201.898 (0.31 %)
Position size of 2605.6702 $
Take profit at 200.044 (0.61 %) and Stop Loss at 201.898 (0.31 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.71 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.67 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.75 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.468454 15m : 0.041657 1H : 0.050397 |
2 |
Indicators:
95482.4
-0.00233567
95259.4
0.468454
96666.8
-0.0145596
95259.4
0.041657
100771
-0.0546993
95259.4
0.050397
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Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 12:10:00 | 208.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 13:00:00 | 201.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 14:05:00 | 197.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 14:20:00 | 200.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 14:40:00 | 198.75 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 15:05:00 | 201.95 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 15:20:00 | 199.05 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 16:15:00 | 200.8 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 16:55:00 | 199.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 17:30:00 | 201.28 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 21:30:00 | 212 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 01:45:00 | 203.41 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 02:00:00 | 206.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 04:00:00 | 206.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 07:30:00 | 193.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 10:15:00 | 195.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 12:00:00 | 208.29 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 14:00:00 | 197.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 15:00:00 | 201.95 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 17:30:00 | 201.28 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 11:00:00 | 238.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-11 17:00:00 | 230.22 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 06:00:00 | 236.55 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 15:00:00 | 220.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 22:00:00 | 223.53 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 02:00:00 | 229.21 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 15:00:00 | 207.52 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 21:00:00 | 212 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 07:00:00 | 193.93 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 12:00:00 | 208.29 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 17:33:20 |
14 Nov 2025 18:05:00 |
31 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 201.28 | 201.898 | 200.044 | 2 | 133.56 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 201.898 - 201.28 = 0.61799999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 201.28 - 200.044 = 1.236
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.236 / 0.61799999999999 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2605.6702 | 100 | 12.9455 | 26.06 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.61799999999999 = 12.94
Taille de position USD = 12.94 x 201.28 = 2604.56
Donc, tu peux acheter 12.94 avec un stoploss a 201.898
Avec un position size USD de 2604.56$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 12.94 x 0.61799999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 12.94 x 1.236 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.61 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.31 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0248 % | 8.08 % | 1 |
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