Short Trade on NMR 14 Nov 2025 at 20:35:39
Take profit at 10.2571 (1.21 %) and Stop Loss at 10.446 (0.61 %)
Short Trade on NMR 14 Nov 2025 at 20:35:39
Take profit at 10.2571 (1.21 %) and Stop Loss at 10.446 (0.61 %)
Position size of 1319.1239 $
Take profit at 10.2571 (1.21 %) and Stop Loss at 10.446 (0.61 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.65 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.72 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.69 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.600971 15m : 0.184437 1H : 0.205841 |
2 |
Indicators:
95297.5
-0.00058274
95242
0.600971
96302.2
-0.0110099
95242
0.184437
100464
-0.0519808
95242
0.205841
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 05:00:00
[1] => 11.255
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 11:00:00
[1] => 10.642
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 13:00:00
[1] => 11.429
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
[1] => 10.981
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 07:00:00
[1] => 10.933
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 14:00:00
[1] => 9.914
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 22:00:00
[1] => 10.758
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 07:00:00
[1] => 10.279
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 09:00:00
[1] => 11.175
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
[1] => 9.983
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.9619686800895
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.1470499849745
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.940298507463
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 01:45:00
[1] => 10.279
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 03:00:00
[1] => 10.75
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 04:45:00
[1] => 10.369
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 07:30:00
[1] => 10.279
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 09:30:00
[1] => 11.175
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 12:15:00
[1] => 10.77
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 14:00:00
[1] => 10.4
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 15:45:00
[1] => 10.222
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
[1] => 9.983
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 20:30:00
[1] => 10.403
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.057675670479672
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.1470499849745
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.2071521586697
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 16:05:00
[1] => 10.41
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 16:30:00
[1] => 10.287
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 17:05:00
[1] => 10.399
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 17:15:00
[1] => 10.274
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 17:40:00
[1] => 10.331
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 18:05:00
[1] => 9.983
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 19:05:00
[1] => 10.277
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 19:35:00
[1] => 10.204
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 20:15:00
[1] => 10.268
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 20:35:00
[1] => 10.403
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.057675670479672
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.2563303467082
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.3147643163226
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 16:05:00 | 10.41 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 16:30:00 | 10.287 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 17:05:00 | 10.399 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 17:15:00 | 10.274 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 17:40:00 | 10.331 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 18:05:00 | 9.983 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 19:05:00 | 10.277 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 19:35:00 | 10.204 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 20:15:00 | 10.268 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 20:35:00 | 10.403 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 01:45:00 | 10.279 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 03:00:00 | 10.75 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 04:45:00 | 10.369 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 07:30:00 | 10.279 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 09:30:00 | 11.175 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 12:15:00 | 10.77 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 14:00:00 | 10.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 15:45:00 | 10.222 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 18:00:00 | 9.983 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 20:30:00 | 10.403 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 05:00:00 | 11.255 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 11:00:00 | 10.642 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 13:00:00 | 11.429 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 22:00:00 | 10.981 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 07:00:00 | 10.933 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 14:00:00 | 9.914 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 22:00:00 | 10.758 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 07:00:00 | 10.279 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 09:00:00 | 11.175 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 18:00:00 | 9.983 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 20:35:39 |
14 Nov 2025 22:45:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10.383 | 10.446 | 10.2571 | 2 | 7.9 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 10.446 - 10.383 = 0.063000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 10.383 - 10.2571 = 0.1259
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.1259 / 0.063000000000001 = 1.9984
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1319.1239 | 100 | 127.0465 | 13.19 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.063000000000001 = 126.98
Taille de position USD = 126.98 x 10.383 = 1318.43
Donc, tu peux acheter 126.98 avec un stoploss a 10.446
Avec un position size USD de 1318.43$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 126.98 x 0.063000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 126.98 x 0.1259 = 15.99
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.99$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.21 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.61 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8 $ | -0.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6549 % | 107.93 % | 11 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.2571
[entry_price] => 10.383
[stop_loss] => 10.4523
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 23:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 10.2571
[entry_price] => 10.383
[stop_loss] => 10.4586
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 23:15:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.036
[max_drawdown] => 0.055000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 0.65
[high] => 10.43800000
[low] => 10.34700000
[mfe_pct] => 0.35
[mae_pct] => 0.53
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.65
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T20:35:39-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T22:35:39-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.152
[max_drawdown] => 0.076000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 2
[high] => 10.45900000
[low] => 10.23100000
[mfe_pct] => 1.46
[mae_pct] => 0.73
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T20:35:39-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-15T03:35:39-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 10.40300000
[high_after] => 10.45900000
[low_before] => 9.98300000
[low_after] => 10.27600000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)