Short Trade on JUP 14 Nov 2025 at 21:28:44
Take profit at 0.2857 (1.18 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2908 (0.59 %)
Short Trade on JUP 14 Nov 2025 at 21:28:44
Take profit at 0.2857 (1.18 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2908 (0.59 %)
Position size of 1368.9048 $
Take profit at 0.2857 (1.18 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2908 (0.59 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.89 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.62 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.9 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.832275 15m : 0.045691 1H : 0.12658 |
2 |
Indicators:
95279.3
0.00490155
95746.4
0.832275
96295.8
-0.00741359
95582
0.045691
100371
-0.0460809
95746.4
0.12658
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-11 19:00:00
[1] => 0.3323
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 09:00:00
[1] => 0.3525
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 14:00:00
[1] => 0.3264
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
[1] => 0.33
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 01:00:00
[1] => 0.3455
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 09:00:00
[1] => 0.3417
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 07:00:00
[1] => 0.2831
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 11:00:00
[1] => 0.2988
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
[1] => 0.2734
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 21:00:00
[1] => 0.2891
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.103770321688
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.6327724945135
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7425018288223
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 04:30:00
[1] => 0.289
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 05:30:00
[1] => 0.2947
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 07:30:00
[1] => 0.2831
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 08:00:00
[1] => 0.2909
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 11:30:00
[1] => 0.2988
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 14:00:00
[1] => 0.2861
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 16:00:00
[1] => 0.2804
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 17:30:00
[1] => 0.2866
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
[1] => 0.2734
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 21:15:00
[1] => 0.2891
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.103770321688
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 5.6327724945135
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.7425018288223
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 15:00:00
[1] => 0.2926
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 16:00:00
[1] => 0.2804
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 16:05:00
[1] => 0.2861
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 16:30:00
[1] => 0.2833
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 17:20:00
[1] => 0.2823
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 17:30:00
[1] => 0.2866
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 18:05:00
[1] => 0.2734
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 19:20:00
[1] => 0.2834
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 19:35:00
[1] => 0.2803
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 21:25:00
[1] => 0.2891
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.103770321688
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.0324652158402
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 22
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.1394933999287
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 15:00:00 | 0.2926 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 16:00:00 | 0.2804 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 16:05:00 | 0.2861 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 16:30:00 | 0.2833 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 17:20:00 | 0.2823 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 17:30:00 | 0.2866 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 18:05:00 | 0.2734 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 19:20:00 | 0.2834 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 19:35:00 | 0.2803 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 21:25:00 | 0.2891 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 04:30:00 | 0.289 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 05:30:00 | 0.2947 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 07:30:00 | 0.2831 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 08:00:00 | 0.2909 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 11:30:00 | 0.2988 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 14:00:00 | 0.2861 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 16:00:00 | 0.2804 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 17:30:00 | 0.2866 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 18:00:00 | 0.2734 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 21:15:00 | 0.2891 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-11 19:00:00 | 0.3323 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 09:00:00 | 0.3525 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 14:00:00 | 0.3264 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 22:00:00 | 0.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 01:00:00 | 0.3455 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 09:00:00 | 0.3417 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 07:00:00 | 0.2831 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 11:00:00 | 0.2988 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 18:00:00 | 0.2734 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 21:00:00 | 0.2891 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2025 21:28:44 |
14 Nov 2025 22:15:00 |
46 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2891 | 0.2908 | 0.2857 | 2 | 0.1496 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2908 - 0.2891 = 0.0017
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2891 - 0.2857 = 0.0034
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0034 / 0.0017 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1368.9048 | 100 | 4735.0565 | 13.69 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0017 = 4705.88
Taille de position USD = 4705.88 x 0.2891 = 1360.47
Donc, tu peux acheter 4705.88 avec un stoploss a 0.2908
Avec un position size USD de 1360.47$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4705.88 x 0.0017 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4705.88 x 0.0034 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.18 % | 16.1 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.59 % | 8.05 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.05 $ | -0.59 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6572 % | 111.77 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2857
[entry_price] => 0.2891
[stop_loss] => 0.29097
[rr_ratio] => 1.82
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-14 22:15:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2857
[entry_price] => 0.2891
[stop_loss] => 0.29114
[rr_ratio] => 1.67
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-15 00:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2857
[entry_price] => 0.2891
[stop_loss] => 0.29131
[rr_ratio] => 1.54
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-15 00:55:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2857
[entry_price] => 0.2891
[stop_loss] => 0.29165
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-15 01:10:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0011
[max_drawdown] => 0.002
[rr_ratio] => 0.55
[high] => 0.29110000
[low] => 0.28800000
[mfe_pct] => 0.38
[mae_pct] => 0.69
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.55
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T21:28:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-14T23:28:44-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.007
[max_drawdown] => 0.0049
[rr_ratio] => 1.43
[high] => 0.29400000
[low] => 0.28210000
[mfe_pct] => 2.42
[mae_pct] => 1.69
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.43
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-14T21:28:44-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-15T04:28:44-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.28910000
[high_after] => 0.29400000
[low_before] => 0.27340000
[low_after] => 0.28670000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)