Short Trade on SPX 15 Nov 2025 at 02:19:23
Take profit at 0.5285 (1.84 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5434 (0.93 %)
Short Trade on SPX 15 Nov 2025 at 02:19:23
Take profit at 0.5285 (1.84 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5434 (0.93 %)
Position size of 865.92 $
Take profit at 0.5285 (1.84 %) and Stop Loss at 0.5434 (0.93 %)
That's a 1.98 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.5 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.84 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.87 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bull_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.655969 15m : 0.140046 1H : -0.094333 |
2 |
Indicators:
95769.3
0.00312181
96068.3
0.655969
95968.7
0.0010375
96068.3
0.140046
99948.6
-0.0388238
96068.3
-0.094333
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 05:00:00
[1] => 0.7127
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 14:00:00
[1] => 0.6236
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-12 22:00:00
[1] => 0.6352
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 04:00:00
[1] => 0.672
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 15:00:00
[1] => 0.5828
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 18:00:00
[1] => 0.6238
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 07:00:00
[1] => 0.5187
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 11:00:00
[1] => 0.5596
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
[1] => 0.5044
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 02:00:00
[1] => 0.541
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.53604436229205
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 6.6812053925456
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 7.2561459159397
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 02:00:00
[1] => 0.5763
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 07:30:00
[1] => 0.5187
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 11:30:00
[1] => 0.5596
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 13:45:00
[1] => 0.5368
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 14:45:00
[1] => 0.5542
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 15:45:00
[1] => 0.5197
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
[1] => 0.5044
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 20:30:00
[1] => 0.5298
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 23:45:00
[1] => 0.5139
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 02:00:00
[1] => 0.541
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.53604436229205
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.7090873710839
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.273399494065
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 19:40:00
[1] => 0.5175
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 20:30:00
[1] => 0.5298
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 21:15:00
[1] => 0.5222
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 21:40:00
[1] => 0.5278
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 22:00:00
[1] => 0.5217
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 23:45:00
[1] => 0.5139
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 00:00:00
[1] => 0.5232
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 00:45:00
[1] => 0.5233
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 00:50:00
[1] => 0.5193
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 02:00:00
[1] => 0.541
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.53604436229205
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6202580396688
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.1787020989794
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 19:40:00 | 0.5175 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 20:30:00 | 0.5298 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 21:15:00 | 0.5222 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 21:40:00 | 0.5278 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 22:00:00 | 0.5217 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 23:45:00 | 0.5139 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 00:00:00 | 0.5232 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-15 00:45:00 | 0.5233 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-15 00:50:00 | 0.5193 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 02:00:00 | 0.541 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 02:00:00 | 0.5763 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 07:30:00 | 0.5187 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 11:30:00 | 0.5596 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 13:45:00 | 0.5368 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 14:45:00 | 0.5542 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 15:45:00 | 0.5197 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 18:00:00 | 0.5044 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 20:30:00 | 0.5298 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 23:45:00 | 0.5139 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 02:00:00 | 0.541 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 05:00:00 | 0.7127 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-12 14:00:00 | 0.6236 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-12 22:00:00 | 0.6352 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 04:00:00 | 0.672 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 15:00:00 | 0.5828 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 18:00:00 | 0.6238 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 07:00:00 | 0.5187 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 11:00:00 | 0.5596 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 18:00:00 | 0.5044 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 02:00:00 | 0.541 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 02:19:23 |
15 Nov 2025 03:00:00 |
40 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5384 | 0.5434 | 0.5285 | 1.98 | 0.3246 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.5434 - 0.5384 = 0.005
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.5384 - 0.5285 = 0.0099
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0099 / 0.005 = 1.98
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 865.92 | 100 | 1608.321 | 8.66 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.005 = 1600
Taille de position USD = 1600 x 0.5384 = 861.44
Donc, tu peux acheter 1600 avec un stoploss a 0.5434
Avec un position size USD de 861.44$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 1600 x 0.005 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 1600 x 0.0099 = 15.84
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.84$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.84 % | 15.92 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.93 % | 8.04 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 15.92 $ | 1.84 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.3158 % | 34 % | 2 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5284
[stop_loss] => 0.5434
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-15 03:00:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5259
[stop_loss] => 0.5434
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-15 03:25:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5234
[stop_loss] => 0.5434
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-15 03:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5209
[stop_loss] => 0.5434
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-15 03:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5184
[stop_loss] => 0.5434
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-15 03:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5159
[stop_loss] => 0.5434
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-15 04:00:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5134
[stop_loss] => 0.5434
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-15 06:45:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.5109
[stop_loss] => 0.5434
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-15 06:45:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0238
[max_drawdown] => 0.0017
[rr_ratio] => 14
[high] => 0.54010000
[low] => 0.51460000
[mfe_pct] => 4.42
[mae_pct] => 0.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 14
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-15T02:19:23-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-15T04:19:23-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0284
[max_drawdown] => 0.0017
[rr_ratio] => 16.71
[high] => 0.54010000
[low] => 0.51000000
[mfe_pct] => 5.27
[mae_pct] => 0.32
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 16.71
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-15T02:19:23-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-15T09:19:23-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.54100000
[high_after] => 0.54010000
[low_before] => 0.51390000
[low_after] => 0.51000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)