Short Trade on TRUMP 16 Nov 2025 at 10:08:02
Take profit at 7.0765 (1.04 %) and Stop Loss at 7.1882 (0.52 %)
Short Trade on TRUMP 16 Nov 2025 at 10:08:02
Take profit at 7.0765 (1.04 %) and Stop Loss at 7.1882 (0.52 %)
Position size of 1535.9474 $
Take profit at 7.0765 (1.04 %) and Stop Loss at 7.1882 (0.52 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.99 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.78 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.57 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : neutral rules_regime : bear_medium rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.765534 15m : -0.137241 1H : -0.002921 |
1 |
Indicators:
95752.3
-0.00364384
95403.4
0.765534
95818.9
-0.00433699
95403.4
-0.137241
98010.6
-0.0266021
95403.4
-0.002921
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-13 23:00:00
[1] => 6.938
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 07:00:00
[1] => 7.019
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 14:00:00
[1] => 7.402
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
[1] => 7.127
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 01:00:00
[1] => 7.362
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 07:00:00
[1] => 7.119
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 12:00:00
[1] => 7.25
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 20:00:00
[1] => 7.069
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 22:00:00
[1] => 7.221
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 08:00:00
[1] => 6.977
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.1355767899183
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3219148631217
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.4972051024796
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 20:45:00
[1] => 7.069
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 22:15:00
[1] => 7.221
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 23:30:00
[1] => 7.16
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 00:00:00
[1] => 7.22
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 01:45:00
[1] => 7.165
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 03:00:00
[1] => 7.22
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 04:15:00
[1] => 7.145
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 04:45:00
[1] => 7.212
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 08:30:00
[1] => 6.977
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 10:00:00
[1] => 7.165
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.36287508722959
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3219148631217
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6945678658449
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 03:00:00
[1] => 7.22
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 03:55:00
[1] => 7.192
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 04:25:00
[1] => 7.145
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 04:50:00
[1] => 7.212
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 06:50:00
[1] => 7.028
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 07:05:00
[1] => 7.068
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 07:35:00
[1] => 6.991
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 08:15:00
[1] => 7.068
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 08:40:00
[1] => 6.977
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 10:05:00
[1] => 7.165
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.36287508722959
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.3219148631217
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 17
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.6945678658449
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 03:00:00 | 7.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 03:55:00 | 7.192 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 04:25:00 | 7.145 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 04:50:00 | 7.212 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 06:50:00 | 7.028 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 07:05:00 | 7.068 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 07:35:00 | 6.991 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 08:15:00 | 7.068 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 08:40:00 | 6.977 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 10:05:00 | 7.165 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 20:45:00 | 7.069 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 22:15:00 | 7.221 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-15 23:30:00 | 7.16 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 00:00:00 | 7.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 01:45:00 | 7.165 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 03:00:00 | 7.22 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 04:15:00 | 7.145 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 04:45:00 | 7.212 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 08:30:00 | 6.977 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 10:00:00 | 7.165 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 23:00:00 | 6.938 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 07:00:00 | 7.019 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 14:00:00 | 7.402 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 18:00:00 | 7.127 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 01:00:00 | 7.362 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-15 07:00:00 | 7.119 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 12:00:00 | 7.25 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-15 20:00:00 | 7.069 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 22:00:00 | 7.221 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 08:00:00 | 6.977 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2025 10:08:02 |
16 Nov 2025 10:35:00 |
26 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.151 | 7.1882 | 7.0765 | 2 | 3.423 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 7.1882 - 7.151 = 0.0372
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 7.151 - 7.0765 = 0.0745
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0745 / 0.0372 = 2.0027
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1535.9474 | 100 | 214.7878 | 15.36 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0372 = 215.05
Taille de position USD = 215.05 x 7.151 = 1537.82
Donc, tu peux acheter 215.05 avec un stoploss a 7.1882
Avec un position size USD de 1537.82$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 215.05 x 0.0372 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 215.05 x 0.0745 = 16.02
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.04 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.52 % | 7.99 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 1.04 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.0766
[stop_loss] => 7.1882
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-16 10:35:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.058
[stop_loss] => 7.1882
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-16 10:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.0394
[stop_loss] => 7.1882
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-16 10:50:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.0208
[stop_loss] => 7.1882
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-16 10:50:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 7.0022
[stop_loss] => 7.1882
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-16 11:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.9836
[stop_loss] => 7.1882
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-16 11:45:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.965
[stop_loss] => 7.1882
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-16 12:00:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.9464
[stop_loss] => 7.1882
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-16 12:15:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 6.9278
[stop_loss] => 7.1882
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-16 12:55:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.192
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 7.13900000
[low] => 6.95900000
[mfe_pct] => 2.68
[mae_pct] => -0.17
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-16T10:08:02-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-16T12:08:02-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.227
[max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
[rr_ratio] => 100
[high] => 7.13900000
[low] => 6.92400000
[mfe_pct] => 3.17
[mae_pct] => -0.17
[mfe_mae_ratio] =>
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-16T10:08:02-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-16T17:08:02-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 7.16500000
[high_after] => 7.13900000
[low_before] => 6.97700000
[low_after] => 6.92400000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)