Short Trade on AAVE 16 Nov 2025 at 13:12:10
Take profit at 170.1559 (2.1 %) and Stop Loss at 175.6371 (1.05 %)
Short Trade on AAVE 16 Nov 2025 at 13:12:10
Take profit at 170.1559 (2.1 %) and Stop Loss at 175.6371 (1.05 %)
Position size of 761.0422 $
Take profit at 170.1559 (2.1 %) and Stop Loss at 175.6371 (1.05 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.82 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.54 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.74 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.848283 15m : 0.115019 1H : -0.125655 |
3 |
Indicators:
95198.8
-0.00121478
95083.2
0.848283
95530.9
-0.00468679
95083.2
0.115019
97416
-0.023947
95083.2
-0.125655
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Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 07:35:00 | 175.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 08:15:00 | 177.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 08:45:00 | 175.32 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 09:00:00 | 176.89 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 09:15:00 | 175.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 09:40:00 | 177.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 11:55:00 | 168.68 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 12:15:00 | 170.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 12:55:00 | 167.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 13:10:00 | 174.09 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 20:30:00 | 175.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 01:00:00 | 181.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 02:15:00 | 179.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 03:00:00 | 181.52 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 04:15:00 | 179.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 05:15:00 | 182.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 07:30:00 | 175.24 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 08:15:00 | 177.69 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 12:45:00 | 167.66 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 13:00:00 | 174.09 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-13 01:00:00 | 216.49 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-13 15:00:00 | 190.56 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-13 18:00:00 | 201.96 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 07:00:00 | 173 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 18:00:00 | 172.65 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 03:00:00 | 175.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 12:00:00 | 182.68 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-15 20:00:00 | 175.2 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 05:00:00 | 182.1 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 12:00:00 | 167.66 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2025 13:12:10 |
16 Nov 2025 17:00:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 173.81 | 175.6371 | 170.1559 | 2 | 112.29 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 175.6371 - 173.81 = 1.8271
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 173.81 - 170.1559 = 3.6541
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.6541 / 1.8271 = 1.9999
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 761.0422 | 100 | 4.3786 | 7.61 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.8271 = 4.38
Taille de position USD = 4.38 x 173.81 = 761.29
Donc, tu peux acheter 4.38 avec un stoploss a 175.6371
Avec un position size USD de 761.29$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 4.38 x 1.8271 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 4.38 x 3.6541 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.1 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.05 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 2.10 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6847 % | 65.14 % | 11 |
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