Short Trade on AAVE 16 Nov 2025 at 13:12:10

Take profit at 170.1559 (2.1 %) and Stop Loss at 175.6371 (1.05 %)

Short Trade on AAVE

The 16 Nov 2025 at 13:12:10

With 4.3786 AAVE at 173.81$ per unit.

Position size of 761.0422 $

Take profit at 170.1559 (2.1 %) and Stop Loss at 175.6371 (1.05 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 3.77
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.82
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.54
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.74
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_medium_confirmed

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.848283

15m : 0.115019

1H : -0.125655

3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 1.218048928
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 174.309
  4. ema21 : 176.542
  5. ema50 : 180.004
  6. ema100 : 186.208
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00286471
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0126469
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.019235
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0665854
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.234086
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.133517
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.116898
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.121035
  17. rsi : 0.420924
  18. adx : 0.324852
  19. kc_percentage : 0.283371
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.069283
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.290547
  22. volume_ema1 : 675221.38844808
  23. volume_ema2 : 523205.1932846
  24. chop : 32.4291
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 171.544
  29. ema21 : 173.313
  30. ema50 : 175.786
  31. ema100 : 177.472
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0132053
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0102056
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0140698
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0206372
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.243082
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.191096
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.119762
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0726252
  42. rsi : 0.490926
  43. adx : 0.398065
  44. kc_percentage : 0.584175
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0430546
  46. volume_ema_diff : 0.694803
  47. volume_ema1 : 274530.84416342
  48. volume_ema2 : 161983.83783054
  49. chop : 23.3265
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 171.06
  54. ema21 : 170.969
  55. ema50 : 172.635
  56. ema100 : 174.876
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.0160726
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000531852
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00964887
  60. price_ema100_diff : -0.00609888
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.036274
  64. ema_slope_21 : -0.0404492
  65. ema_slope_50 : -0.0670094
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.058847
  67. rsi : 0.659342
  68. adx : 0.40524
  69. kc_percentage : 1.04965
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0301637
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.0885449
  72. volume_ema1 : 85989.646982882
  73. volume_ema2 : 78995.037356105
  74. chop : 31.4772
  75. regime : range_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    95198.8
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00121478
  81. 5m_price:
    95083.2
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.848283
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    95530.9
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00468679
  86. 15m_price:
    95083.2
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.115019
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    97416
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.023947
  91. 1H_price:
    95083.2
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    -0.125655
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 01:00:00
                        [1] => 216.49
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 15:00:00
                        [1] => 190.56
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 18:00:00
                        [1] => 201.96
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 173
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 172.65
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-15 03:00:00
                        [1] => 175.85
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-15 12:00:00
                        [1] => 182.68
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-15 20:00:00
                        [1] => 175.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 05:00:00
                        [1] => 182.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 12:00:00
                        [1] => 167.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.7556287753981
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4474531790528
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 8.6126684957652
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-15 20:30:00
                        [1] => 175.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 01:00:00
                        [1] => 181.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 02:15:00
                        [1] => 179.51
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 181.52
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 04:15:00
                        [1] => 179.2
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 05:15:00
                        [1] => 182.1
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 07:30:00
                        [1] => 175.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 08:15:00
                        [1] => 177.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 12:45:00
                        [1] => 167.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                        [1] => 174.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.3733700959274
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4474531790528
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8351425503996
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 07:35:00
                        [1] => 175.24
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 08:15:00
                        [1] => 177.69
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 08:45:00
                        [1] => 175.32
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
                        [1] => 176.89
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 09:15:00
                        [1] => 175.58
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 09:40:00
                        [1] => 177.61
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 11:55:00
                        [1] => 168.68
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 12:15:00
                        [1] => 170.99
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 12:55:00
                        [1] => 167.66
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 13:10:00
                        [1] => 174.09
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => range
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 0
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.3733700959274
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.4474531790528
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.8351425503996
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.37%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.45%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.84%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.0529
1.17%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4959
1.47%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 07:35:00 175.24 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 08:15:00 177.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 08:45:00 175.32 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 09:00:00 176.89 ↑ High
2025-11-16 09:15:00 175.58 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 09:40:00 177.61 ↑ High
2025-11-16 11:55:00 168.68 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 12:15:00 170.99 ↑ High
2025-11-16 12:55:00 167.66 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 13:10:00 174.09 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.37%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.45%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.84%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.4629
3.68%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4959
1.47%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-15 20:30:00 175.2 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 01:00:00 181.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 02:15:00 179.51 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 03:00:00 181.52 ↑ High
2025-11-16 04:15:00 179.2 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 05:15:00 182.1 ↑ High
2025-11-16 07:30:00 175.24 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 08:15:00 177.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 12:45:00 167.66 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 13:00:00 174.09 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.76%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.45%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
8.61%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
40.8529
23.26%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.4959
1.47%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-13 01:00:00 216.49 ↑ High
2025-11-13 15:00:00 190.56 ↓ Low
2025-11-13 18:00:00 201.96 ↑ High
2025-11-14 07:00:00 173 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 18:00:00 172.65 ↓ Low
2025-11-15 03:00:00 175.85 ↓ Low
2025-11-15 12:00:00 182.68 ↑ High
2025-11-15 20:00:00 175.2 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 05:00:00 182.1 ↑ High
2025-11-16 12:00:00 167.66 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Nov 2025
13:12:10
16 Nov 2025
17:00:00
3 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
173.81 175.6371 170.1559 2 112.29
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 173.81
  • Stop Loss: 175.6371
  • Take Profit: 170.1559

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 175.6371 - 173.81 = 1.8271

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 173.81 - 170.1559 = 3.6541

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 3.6541 / 1.8271 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
761.0422 100 4.3786 7.61
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 1.8271

Taille de position = 8 / 1.8271 = 4.38

Taille de position USD = 4.38 x 173.81 = 761.29

Donc, tu peux acheter 4.38 avec un stoploss a 175.6371

Avec un position size USD de 761.29$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 4.38 x 1.8271 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 4.38 x 3.6541 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 4.38
  • Taille de position USD 761.29
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
2.1 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
1.05 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 2.10
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.6847 % 65.14 % 11

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 170.1558
            [stop_loss] => 175.6371
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-16 17:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 169.24225
            [stop_loss] => 175.6371
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.04
            [max_drawdown] => 1.19
            [rr_ratio] => 2.55
            [high] => 175.00000000
            [low] => 170.77000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.75
            [mae_pct] => 0.68
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.55
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-16T13:12:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-16T15:12:10-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 5.17
            [max_drawdown] => 1.79
            [rr_ratio] => 2.89
            [high] => 175.60000000
            [low] => 168.64000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.97
            [mae_pct] => 1.03
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.89
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-16T13:12:10-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-16T20:12:10-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 177.61000000
            [high_after] => 175.00000000
            [low_before] => 167.66000000
            [low_after] => 168.64000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)