Short Trade on AR 16 Nov 2025 at 17:56:25

Take profit at 4.2633 (1.77 %) and Stop Loss at 4.3783 (0.88 %)

Short Trade on AR

The 16 Nov 2025 at 17:56:25

With 208.7326 AR at 4.34$ per unit.

Position size of 905.8993 $

Take profit at 4.2633 (1.77 %) and Stop Loss at 4.3783 (0.88 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 50
ML Pullback Score: 1.89
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.85
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.76
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.51
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_medium

BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.756407

15m : 0.047721

1H : 0.128098

2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.05
  4. atr: 0.02555103804
Details
  1. score: 1.05
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 4.32868
  4. ema21 : 4.40227
  5. ema50 : 4.48755
  6. ema100 : 4.56737
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00261303
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0167155
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0190038
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0497829
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.420313
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.281591
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.163898
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.108213
  17. rsi : 0.405783
  18. adx : 0.272172
  19. kc_percentage : 0.341644
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0837546
  21. volume_ema_diff : 0.0285694
  22. volume_ema1 : 268425.68458447
  23. volume_ema2 : 260969.92273109
  24. chop : 40.4024
  25. regime : bear_high
  26. ¸
  27. 15m
  28. ema9 : 4.27933
  29. ema21 : 4.29498
  30. ema50 : 4.35479
  31. ema100 : 4.41241
  32. price_ema9_diff : 0.0141755
  33. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0036439
  34. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0137333
  35. price_ema100_diff : -0.0164117
  36. all_emas_in_trend : True
  37. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  38. ema_slope_9 : -0.0567807
  39. ema_slope_21 : -0.0861404
  40. ema_slope_50 : -0.0945723
  41. ema_slope_100 : -0.0704441
  42. rsi : 0.511648
  43. adx : 0.209281
  44. kc_percentage : 0.745425
  45. kc_width_percentage : 0.0441422
  46. volume_ema_diff : -0.384683
  47. volume_ema1 : 40412.796444077
  48. volume_ema2 : 65678.101697145
  49. chop : 61.111
  50. regime : bear_high
  51. ¸
  52. 5m
  53. ema9 : 4.29906
  54. ema21 : 4.28143
  55. ema50 : 4.28606
  56. ema100 : 4.31854
  57. price_ema9_diff : 0.00952184
  58. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00411792
  59. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00108122
  60. price_ema100_diff : 0.00496833
  61. all_emas_in_trend : False
  62. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  63. ema_slope_9 : 0.11098
  64. ema_slope_21 : 0.0498076
  65. ema_slope_50 : 0.00316658
  66. ema_slope_100 : -0.0164672
  67. rsi : 0.641249
  68. adx : 0.191551
  69. kc_percentage : 1.05194
  70. kc_width_percentage : 0.0242005
  71. volume_ema_diff : 0.390678
  72. volume_ema1 : 30415.151573818
  73. volume_ema2 : 21870.732164575
  74. chop : 38.3426
  75. regime : bull_medium
  76. ¸
  77. btc_indicators
  78. btc_indicators
  79. 5m_ema100:
    94289.9
  80. 5m_price_ema100_diff:
    0.000907561
  81. 5m_price:
    94375.5
  82. 5m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.756407
  83. btc_indicators
  84. 15m_ema100:
    94993.3
  85. 15m_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.00875936
  86. 15m_price:
    94161.3
  87. 15m_correlation_with_coin:
    0.047721
  88. btc_indicators
  89. 1H_ema100:
    97020.9
  90. 1H_price_ema100_diff:
    -0.0272664
  91. 1H_price:
    94375.5
  92. 1H_correlation_with_coin:
    0.128098
  93. ¸
  94. market_structures
  95. market_structures
  96. 1H_version: 1.1
  97. 1H_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 19:00:00
                        [1] => 4.66
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-13 23:00:00
                        [1] => 4.334
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 07:00:00
                        [1] => 4.37
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 10:00:00
                        [1] => 4.681
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
                        [1] => 4.358
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-14 22:00:00
                        [1] => 4.806
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-15 05:00:00
                        [1] => 4.477
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-15 20:00:00
                        [1] => 4.425
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 01:00:00
                        [1] => 4.613
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 16:00:00
                        [1] => 4.198
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.3732928679818
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.882324916627
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 16
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.8856598380181
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  98. market_structures
  99. 15m_version: 1.1
  100. 15m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 02:30:00
                        [1] => 4.526
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 03:00:00
                        [1] => 4.526
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 04:45:00
                        [1] => 4.596
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 07:30:00
                        [1] => 4.428
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 09:15:00
                        [1] => 4.415
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 09:45:00
                        [1] => 4.498
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 12:45:00
                        [1] => 4.211
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                        [1] => 4.384
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 16:15:00
                        [1] => 4.198
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 17:45:00
                        [1] => 4.34
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => downtrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => -1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.48387096774193
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.882324916627
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.3825631252977
                [ms_bos_up] => 0
                [ms_bos_down] => 1
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  101. market_structures
  102. 5m_version: 1.1
  103. 5m_market_structure:
    Array
    (
        [left_window] => 5
        [right_window] => 5
        [recent_pivots] => Array
            (
                [0] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 12:55:00
                        [1] => 4.211
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [1] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 13:10:00
                        [1] => 4.384
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [2] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 13:45:00
                        [1] => 4.252
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [3] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 14:15:00
                        [1] => 4.355
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [4] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                        [1] => 4.276
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [5] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 15:25:00
                        [1] => 4.333
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
                [6] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 16:25:00
                        [1] => 4.198
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [7] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 17:10:00
                        [1] => 4.219
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [8] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 17:45:00
                        [1] => 4.253
                        [2] => L
                    )
    
                [9] => Array
                    (
                        [0] => 2025-11-16 17:55:00
                        [1] => 4.34
                        [2] => H
                    )
    
            )
    
        [detected_trend] => uptrend
        [features] => Array
            (
                [ms_trend_state] => 1
                [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.48387096774193
                [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.551845755937
                [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
                [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
                [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0456148600987
                [ms_bos_up] => 1
                [ms_bos_down] => 0
                [ms_choch_up] => 0
                [ms_choch_down] => 0
            )
    
    )
    
  104. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.48%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.55%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.05%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.0057
0.13%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0653
1.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 12:55:00 4.211 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 13:10:00 4.384 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:45:00 4.252 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 14:15:00 4.355 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 4.276 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 15:25:00 4.333 ↑ High
2025-11-16 16:25:00 4.198 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 17:10:00 4.219 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 17:45:00 4.253 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 17:55:00 4.34 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.48%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.88%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
3.38%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.2177
4.97%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0653
1.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 02:30:00 4.526 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 03:00:00 4.526 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 04:45:00 4.596 ↑ High
2025-11-16 07:30:00 4.428 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 09:15:00 4.415 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 09:45:00 4.498 ↑ High
2025-11-16 12:45:00 4.211 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 13:00:00 4.384 ↑ High
2025-11-16 16:15:00 4.198 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 17:45:00 4.34 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.37%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.88%
Bars Since Swing High
16 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.89%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.4277
9.77%
TP to Pivot Distance
0.0653
1.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-13 19:00:00 4.66 ↑ High
2025-11-13 23:00:00 4.334 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 07:00:00 4.37 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 10:00:00 4.681 ↑ High
2025-11-14 18:00:00 4.358 ↓ Low
2025-11-14 22:00:00 4.806 ↑ High
2025-11-15 05:00:00 4.477 ↓ Low
2025-11-15 20:00:00 4.425 ↓ Low
2025-11-16 01:00:00 4.613 ↑ High
2025-11-16 16:00:00 4.198 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
16 Nov 2025
17:56:25
16 Nov 2025
18:00:00
3 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
4.34 4.3783 4.2633 2 1.683
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 4.34
  • Stop Loss: 4.3783
  • Take Profit: 4.2633

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 4.3783 - 4.34 = 0.0383

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 4.34 - 4.2633 = 0.0767

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0767 / 0.0383 = 2.0026

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
905.8993 100 208.7326 9.06
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.0383

Taille de position = 8 / 0.0383 = 208.88

Taille de position USD = 208.88 x 4.34 = 906.54

Donc, tu peux acheter 208.88 avec un stoploss a 4.3783

Avec un position size USD de 906.54$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 208.88 x 0.0383 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 208.88 x 0.0767 = 16.02

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.02$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 208.88
  • Taille de position USD 906.54
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.02
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0026

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
1.77 % 16.01 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.88 % 7.99 $
PNL PNL %
16.01 $ 1.77
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.2634
            [stop_loss] => 4.3783
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.24425
            [stop_loss] => 4.3783
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.2251
            [stop_loss] => 4.3783
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.20595
            [stop_loss] => 4.3783
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1868
            [stop_loss] => 4.3783
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.16765
            [stop_loss] => 4.3783
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1485
            [stop_loss] => 4.3783
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.12935
            [stop_loss] => 4.3783
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.1102
            [stop_loss] => 4.3783
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.09105
            [stop_loss] => 4.3783
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 4.0719
            [stop_loss] => 4.3783
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.107
            [max_drawdown] => 0.079
            [rr_ratio] => 1.35
            [high] => 4.41900000
            [low] => 4.23300000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.47
            [mae_pct] => 1.82
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-16T17:56:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-16T19:56:25-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.107
            [max_drawdown] => 0.079
            [rr_ratio] => 1.35
            [high] => 4.41900000
            [low] => 4.23300000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.47
            [mae_pct] => 1.82
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.35
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-16T17:56:25-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-17T00:56:25-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 4.35500000
            [high_after] => 4.41900000
            [low_before] => 4.19800000
            [low_after] => 4.23300000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)