Short Trade on XPL 16 Nov 2025 at 18:12:12
Take profit at 0.2197 (2.53 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2282 (1.24 %)
Short Trade on XPL 16 Nov 2025 at 18:12:12
Take profit at 0.2197 (2.53 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2282 (1.24 %)
Position size of 635.2406 $
Take profit at 0.2197 (2.53 %) and Stop Loss at 0.2282 (1.24 %)
That's a 2.04 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.79 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.74 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.52 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_high 5m_regime : bull_high |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.802748 15m : 0.008567 1H : -0.032681 |
3 |
Indicators:
94217.5
-0.00868219
93399.5
0.802748
94969.5
-0.0165323
93399.5
0.008567
96976.3
-0.0368834
93399.5
-0.032681
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 07:00:00
[1] => 0.2223
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 15:00:00
[1] => 0.2369
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
[1] => 0.2247
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 01:00:00
[1] => 0.2446
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 05:00:00
[1] => 0.2279
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 13:00:00
[1] => 0.2383
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 20:00:00
[1] => 0.2246
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 05:00:00
[1] => 0.2413
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 12:00:00
[1] => 0.2156
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 18:00:00
[1] => 0.2262
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.48629531388153
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.4063079777365
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.9165120593692
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 05:45:00
[1] => 0.2413
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 06:45:00
[1] => 0.2292
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 08:00:00
[1] => 0.2359
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
[1] => 0.2287
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 09:45:00
[1] => 0.2352
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 12:15:00
[1] => 0.2156
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 13:15:00
[1] => 0.2251
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 15:15:00
[1] => 0.2239
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 17:00:00
[1] => 0.2165
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 18:00:00
[1] => 0.2262
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.48629531388153
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.9722863741339
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4803695150116
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 10:50:00
[1] => 0.2227
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 12:20:00
[1] => 0.2156
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 13:15:00
[1] => 0.2251
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 13:45:00
[1] => 0.2183
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 14:30:00
[1] => 0.2239
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
[1] => 0.2201
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 15:25:00
[1] => 0.2239
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 16:35:00
[1] => 0.2169
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 17:10:00
[1] => 0.2165
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 18:10:00
[1] => 0.2262
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.48629531388153
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.9722863741339
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.4803695150116
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 10:50:00 | 0.2227 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 12:20:00 | 0.2156 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 13:15:00 | 0.2251 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 13:45:00 | 0.2183 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 14:30:00 | 0.2239 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 15:00:00 | 0.2201 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 15:25:00 | 0.2239 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 16:35:00 | 0.2169 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 17:10:00 | 0.2165 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 18:10:00 | 0.2262 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 05:45:00 | 0.2413 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 06:45:00 | 0.2292 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 08:00:00 | 0.2359 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 09:00:00 | 0.2287 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 09:45:00 | 0.2352 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 12:15:00 | 0.2156 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 13:15:00 | 0.2251 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 15:15:00 | 0.2239 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 17:00:00 | 0.2165 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 18:00:00 | 0.2262 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 07:00:00 | 0.2223 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-14 15:00:00 | 0.2369 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-14 18:00:00 | 0.2247 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 01:00:00 | 0.2446 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-15 05:00:00 | 0.2279 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 13:00:00 | 0.2383 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-15 20:00:00 | 0.2246 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 05:00:00 | 0.2413 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 12:00:00 | 0.2156 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 18:00:00 | 0.2262 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov 2025 18:12:12 |
16 Nov 2025 18:20:00 |
7 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.2254 | 0.2282 | 0.2197 | 2.04 | 0.0918 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.2282 - 0.2254 = 0.0028
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.2254 - 0.2197 = 0.0057
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0057 / 0.0028 = 2.0357
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 635.2406 | 100 | 2818.2812 | 6.35 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0028 = 2857.14
Taille de position USD = 2857.14 x 0.2254 = 644
Donc, tu peux acheter 2857.14 avec un stoploss a 0.2282
Avec un position size USD de 644$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2857.14 x 0.0028 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2857.14 x 0.0057 = 16.29
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.29$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 2.53 % | 16.06 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.24 % | 7.89 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -7.89 $ | -1.24 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.2422 % | 100 % | 2 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2197
[entry_price] => 0.2254
[stop_loss] => 0.22848
[rr_ratio] => 1.85
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2197
[entry_price] => 0.2254
[stop_loss] => 0.22876
[rr_ratio] => 1.7
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2197
[entry_price] => 0.2254
[stop_loss] => 0.22904
[rr_ratio] => 1.57
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:30:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.2197
[entry_price] => 0.2254
[stop_loss] => 0.2296
[rr_ratio] => 1.36
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-16 18:35:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.001
[max_drawdown] => 0.0085
[rr_ratio] => 0.12
[high] => 0.23390000
[low] => 0.22440000
[mfe_pct] => 0.44
[mae_pct] => 3.77
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.12
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-16T18:12:12-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-16T20:12:12-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.001
[max_drawdown] => 0.0085
[rr_ratio] => 0.12
[high] => 0.23390000
[low] => 0.22440000
[mfe_pct] => 0.44
[mae_pct] => 3.77
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.12
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-16T18:12:12-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-17T01:12:12-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.22620000
[high_after] => 0.23390000
[low_before] => 0.21650000
[low_after] => 0.22440000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)