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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Nov 2025 at 15:50:54

Take profit at 192.2936 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 194.8232 (0.43 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Nov 2025 at 15:50:54

With 9.4877 MSTR at 193.98$ per unit.

Position size of 1840.4161 $

Take profit at 192.2936 (0.87 %) and Stop Loss at 194.8232 (0.43 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.46
Prediction Score: 6
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.55
Prediction 2 Probability
2 0.51
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.68
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.653894

15m : 0.055225

1H : 0.107036

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.01
  4. atr: 0.5621337344
Details
  1. score: 1.01
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 195.686
  4. ema21 : 197.833
  5. ema50 : 199.702
  6. ema100 : 202.337
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00872133
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0108509
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00935968
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0413068
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.2141
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.115521
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0648096
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0548258
  17. rsi : 0.391483
  18. adx : 0.325396
  19. kc_percentage : 0.241407
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0746586
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.48532
  22. volume_ema1 : 386914.87798355
  23. volume_ema2 : 751758.51834293
  24. chop : 20.3821
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 193.204
  28. ema21 : 194.219
  29. ema50 : 196.499
  30. ema100 : 198.16
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00401237
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00522369
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0116047
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0210981
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.11783
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.126647
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0965833
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0613382
  41. rsi : 0.473214
  42. adx : 0.163578
  43. kc_percentage : 0.476867
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.030679
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.400199
  46. volume_ema1 : 57292.822962966
  47. volume_ema2 : 95519.733174754
  48. chop : 45.7581
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 193.362
  52. ema21 : 192.997
  53. ema50 : 193.755
  54. ema100 : 195.36
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0031957
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00189051
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00391207
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0070661
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0674267
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0169095
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0193079
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0276111
  65. rsi : 0.576584
  66. adx : 0.186024
  67. kc_percentage : 1.007
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00999819
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.647867
  70. volume_ema1 : 10921.895286492
  71. volume_ema2 : 31016.465382896
  72. chop : 47.8376
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    93212.8
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0132516
  78. 5m_price: 
    91977.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.653894
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    94083.4
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0229678
  83. 15m_price: 
    91922.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.055225
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95806.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0399646
  88. 1H_price: 
    91977.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.107036
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 07:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -6.3130459964284
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.303151681248
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.1967956150522
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 23:00:00
                    [1] => 201.53
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 01:15:00
                    [1] => 199.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 03:15:00
                    [1] => 203.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 08:30:00
                    [1] => 193.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 09:45:00
                    [1] => 203.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 11:15:00
                    [1] => 191.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:00:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:30:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 15:45:00
                    [1] => 194.11
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.303151681248
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.303151681248
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 08:40:00
                    [1] => 193.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 09:50:00
                    [1] => 203.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 11:20:00
                    [1] => 191.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:05:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:15:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:45:00
                    [1] => 192.87
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 13:35:00
                    [1] => 191.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 13:50:00
                    [1] => 194.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:40:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 15:50:00
                    [1] => 194.11
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.303151681248
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 14
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.303151681248
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 2

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.30%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
14 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.30%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.0868
4.66%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5536
1.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 08:40:00 193.67 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 09:50:00 203.91 ↑ High
2025-11-17 11:20:00 191.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 12:05:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 12:15:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 12:45:00 192.87 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 13:35:00 191.4 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 13:50:00 194.44 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:40:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 15:50:00 194.11 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.30%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
5 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.30%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.3668
6.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5536
1.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 23:00:00 201.53 ↑ High
2025-11-17 01:15:00 199.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 03:15:00 203.07 ↑ High
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 08:30:00 193.67 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 09:45:00 203.91 ↑ High
2025-11-17 11:15:00 191.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 12:00:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:30:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 15:45:00 194.11 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-6.31%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.30%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.20%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.3668
6.35%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.5536
1.33%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 03:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 05:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 07:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 09:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Nov 2025
15:50:54		 17 Nov 2025
15:55:00		 4 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
193.98 194.8232 192.2936 2 130.23
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 193.98
  • Stop Loss: 194.8232
  • Take Profit: 192.2936

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 194.8232 - 193.98 = 0.84320000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 193.98 - 192.2936 = 1.6864

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.6864 / 0.84320000000002 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1840.4161 100 9.4877 18.40
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.84320000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.84320000000002 = 9.49

Taille de position USD = 9.49 x 193.98 = 1840.87

Donc, tu peux acheter 9.49 avec un stoploss a 194.8232

Avec un position size USD de 1840.87$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9.49 x 0.84320000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9.49 x 1.6864 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 9.49
  • Taille de position USD 1840.87
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.87 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.43 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.43
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.464 % 106.74 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.2936
            [entry_price] => 193.98
            [stop_loss] => 194.90752
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.2936
            [entry_price] => 193.98
            [stop_loss] => 194.99184
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.2936
            [entry_price] => 193.98
            [stop_loss] => 195.07616
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.2936
            [entry_price] => 193.98
            [stop_loss] => 195.2448
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.13000000000002
            [max_drawdown] => 4.91
            [rr_ratio] => -0.03
            [high] => 198.89000000
            [low] => 194.11000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.07
            [mae_pct] => 2.53
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.03
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-17T15:50:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-17T17:50:54-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 3.93
            [max_drawdown] => 4.91
            [rr_ratio] => 0.8
            [high] => 198.89000000
            [low] => 190.05000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.03
            [mae_pct] => 2.53
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.8
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-17T15:50:54-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-17T22:50:54-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 198.50000000
            [high_after] => 198.89000000
            [low_before] => 189.74000000
            [low_after] => 193.70000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)