Short Trade on META 17 Nov 2025 at 16:02:14
Take profit at 600.1501 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 603.3299 (0.18 %)
Short Trade on META 17 Nov 2025 at 16:02:14
Take profit at 600.1501 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 603.3299 (0.18 %)
Position size of 4545.7027 $
Take profit at 600.1501 (0.35 %) and Stop Loss at 603.3299 (0.18 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Strong Trade
|
0.61 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.65 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.55 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : bear_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.146296 15m : 0.068229 1H : -0.044527 |
3 |
Indicators:
93148.9
-0.0127145
91964.6
0.146296
94073
-0.0224128
91964.6
0.068229
95589.2
-0.0379193
91964.6
-0.044527
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 10:00:00
[1] => 610.03
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
[1] => 610.03
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 12:00:00
[1] => 610.03
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
[1] => 610.03
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 14:00:00
[1] => 610.03
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 16:00:00
[1] => 610.03
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 18:00:00
[1] => 610.03
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
[1] => 610.03
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 23:00:00
[1] => 614.38
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 596.64
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -1.9710928090107
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.94361759184768
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9733172432287
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 01:45:00
[1] => 611.33
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 02:15:00
[1] => 613.25
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 03:30:00
[1] => 611.91
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 04:15:00
[1] => 613.54
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 09:30:00
[1] => 604.04
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 09:45:00
[1] => 612.08
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 11:15:00
[1] => 604.79
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 12:00:00
[1] => 608.99
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 596.64
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
[1] => 602.27
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.94361759184768
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.94361759184768
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 09:50:00
[1] => 612.08
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 10:20:00
[1] => 605.61
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 10:55:00
[1] => 608.12
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 11:25:00
[1] => 604.79
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 12:00:00
[1] => 608.99
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 12:10:00
[1] => 608.99
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 13:05:00
[1] => 604.27
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 13:20:00
[1] => 605.81
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 596.64
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
[1] => 602.27
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.94361759184768
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.94361759184768
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 2
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 09:50:00 | 612.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 10:20:00 | 605.61 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 10:55:00 | 608.12 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 11:25:00 | 604.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 12:00:00 | 608.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 12:10:00 | 608.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 13:05:00 | 604.27 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 13:20:00 | 605.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 596.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 16:00:00 | 602.27 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 01:45:00 | 611.33 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 02:15:00 | 613.25 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 03:30:00 | 611.91 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 04:15:00 | 613.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 09:30:00 | 604.04 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 09:45:00 | 612.08 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 11:15:00 | 604.79 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 12:00:00 | 608.99 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 596.64 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 16:00:00 | 602.27 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 10:00:00 | 610.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 11:00:00 | 610.03 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 12:00:00 | 610.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 13:00:00 | 610.03 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 14:00:00 | 610.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 16:00:00 | 610.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 18:00:00 | 610.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 20:00:00 | 610.03 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 23:00:00 | 614.38 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 596.64 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov 2025 16:02:14 |
17 Nov 2025 19:45:00 |
3 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 602.27 | 603.3299 | 600.1501 | 2 | 643.68 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 603.3299 - 602.27 = 1.0599
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 602.27 - 600.1501 = 2.1199
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 2.1199 / 1.0599 = 2.0001
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4545.7027 | 100 | 7.5476 | 45.46 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 1.0599 = 7.55
Taille de position USD = 7.55 x 602.27 = 4547.14
Donc, tu peux acheter 7.55 avec un stoploss a 603.3299
Avec un position size USD de 4547.14$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 7.55 x 1.0599 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 7.55 x 2.1199 = 16.01
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.35 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.18 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.35 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0814 % | 46.25 % | 8 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 600.1502
[stop_loss] => 603.3299
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:45:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 599.62025
[stop_loss] => 603.3299
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 22:00:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 1.41
[max_drawdown] => 0.49000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 2.88
[high] => 602.76000000
[low] => 600.86000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.23
[mae_pct] => 0.08
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.88
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T16:02:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-17T18:02:14-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.74
[max_drawdown] => 0.73000000000002
[rr_ratio] => 6.49
[high] => 603.00000000
[low] => 597.53000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.79
[mae_pct] => 0.12
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.49
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T16:02:14-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-17T23:02:14-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 608.99000000
[high_after] => 603.00000000
[low_before] => 596.64000000
[low_after] => 599.17000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)