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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Nov 2025 at 16:02:50

Take profit at 194.29 (0.96 %) and Stop Loss at 197.125 (0.48 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Nov 2025 at 16:02:50

With 8.4657 MSTR at 196.18$ per unit.

Position size of 1660.7934 $

Take profit at 194.29 (0.96 %) and Stop Loss at 197.125 (0.48 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 1.27
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.95
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.74
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.94
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_high

5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.653432

15m : -0.039045

1H : 0.038481

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.64
  4. atr: 0.6299960691
Details
  1. score: 1.64
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 195.929
  4. ema21 : 197.757
  5. ema50 : 199.521
  6. ema100 : 201.665
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00127944
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00924256
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0088425
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.027199
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.21489
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.12451
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.068691
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0517778
  17. rsi : 0.449769
  18. adx : 0.308087
  19. kc_percentage : 0.393395
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0705392
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.618995
  22. volume_ema1 : 273146.01264459
  23. volume_ema2 : 716910.81220066
  24. chop : 22.8382
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 193.926
  28. ema21 : 194.462
  29. ema50 : 196.516
  30. ema100 : 198.136
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0116217
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00275955
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0104521
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00987665
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0693931
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.103661
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0878363
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.057607
  41. rsi : 0.542301
  42. adx : 0.15283
  43. kc_percentage : 0.791839
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0314017
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.427649
  46. volume_ema1 : 53635.062630866
  47. volume_ema2 : 93710.208674091
  48. chop : 53.9894
  49. regime : bear_high
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 194.185
  52. ema21 : 193.451
  53. ema50 : 193.892
  54. ema100 : 195.334
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.0102728
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00379041
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00227294
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0043278
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.109685
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0457365
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.00380306
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0191284
  65. rsi : 0.69887
  66. adx : 0.204927
  67. kc_percentage : 1.64026
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0121044
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.343203
  70. volume_ema1 : 20056.792553255
  71. volume_ema2 : 30537.296846952
  72. chop : 25.3655
  73. regime : bull_low_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    93148.9
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0127145
  78. 5m_price: 
    91964.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.653432
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    94073
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0224128
  83. 15m_price: 
    91964.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.039045
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95589.2
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0379193
  88. 1H_price: 
    91964.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.038481
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 03:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 07:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -4.7251315217916
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.037103404659
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 9.1967956150522
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 23:00:00
                    [1] => 201.53
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 01:15:00
                    [1] => 199.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 03:15:00
                    [1] => 203.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 08:30:00
                    [1] => 193.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 09:45:00
                    [1] => 203.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 11:15:00
                    [1] => 191.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:00:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:30:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 197.41
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0050655995136978
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.037103404659
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.042373774639
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 08:40:00
                    [1] => 193.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 09:50:00
                    [1] => 203.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 11:20:00
                    [1] => 191.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:05:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:15:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:45:00
                    [1] => 192.87
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 13:35:00
                    [1] => 191.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 13:50:00
                    [1] => 194.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:40:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 197.41
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.0050655995136978
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.037103404659
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 16
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.042373774639
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.04%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
16 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.04%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
6.7850
3.44%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5500
2.34%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 08:40:00 193.67 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 09:50:00 203.91 ↑ High
2025-11-17 11:20:00 191.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 12:05:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 12:15:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 12:45:00 192.87 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 13:35:00 191.4 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 13:50:00 194.44 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:40:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 197.41 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.01%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.04%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
6 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.04%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.0650
5.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5500
2.34%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 23:00:00 201.53 ↑ High
2025-11-17 01:15:00 199.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 03:15:00 203.07 ↑ High
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 08:30:00 193.67 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 09:45:00 203.91 ↑ High
2025-11-17 11:15:00 191.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 12:00:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:30:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 197.41 ↑ High
1H - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-4.73%
Dist From Last Low Pct
4.04%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
9.20%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.0650
5.11%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.5500
2.34%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 03:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 05:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 07:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 09:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Nov 2025
16:02:50		 17 Nov 2025
16:05:00		 2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
196.18 197.125 194.29 2 129.38
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 196.18
  • Stop Loss: 197.125
  • Take Profit: 194.29

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 197.125 - 196.18 = 0.94499999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 196.18 - 194.29 = 1.89

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.89 / 0.94499999999999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1660.7934 100 8.4657 16.61
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.94499999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.94499999999999 = 8.47

Taille de position USD = 8.47 x 196.18 = 1661.64

Donc, tu peux acheter 8.47 avec un stoploss a 197.125

Avec un position size USD de 1661.64$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 8.47 x 0.94499999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 8.47 x 1.89 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 8.47
  • Taille de position USD 1661.64
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16.01
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.96 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.48 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.48
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.9889 % 205.29 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.29
            [entry_price] => 196.18
            [stop_loss] => 197.2195
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.29
            [entry_price] => 196.18
            [stop_loss] => 197.314
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.29
            [entry_price] => 196.18
            [stop_loss] => 197.4085
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.29
            [entry_price] => 196.18
            [stop_loss] => 197.5975
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 16:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.31
            [max_drawdown] => 2.71
            [rr_ratio] => -0.11
            [high] => 198.89000000
            [low] => 196.49000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.16
            [mae_pct] => 1.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.11
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-17T16:02:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-17T18:02:50-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 6.13
            [max_drawdown] => 2.71
            [rr_ratio] => 2.26
            [high] => 198.89000000
            [low] => 190.05000000
            [mfe_pct] => 3.12
            [mae_pct] => 1.38
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.26
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-17T16:02:50-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-17T23:02:50-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 198.50000000
            [high_after] => 198.89000000
            [low_before] => 189.74000000
            [low_after] => 193.16000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)