Short Trade on AMZN 17 Nov 2025 at 16:37:48
Take profit at 232.4635 (0.2 %) and Stop Loss at 233.1483 (0.098 %)
Short Trade on AMZN 17 Nov 2025 at 16:37:48
Take profit at 232.4635 (0.2 %) and Stop Loss at 233.1483 (0.098 %)
Position size of 8163.6785 $
Take profit at 232.4635 (0.2 %) and Stop Loss at 233.1483 (0.098 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.5 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.76 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.7 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_low 15m_regime : range_low 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.063537 15m : 0.041791 1H : -0.022221 |
3 |
Indicators:
92920.6
-0.0141642
91604.5
0.063537
93914.5
-0.0230524
91749.6
0.041791
95582.1
-0.041615
91604.5
-0.022221
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 01:00:00
[1] => 235.61
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 03:00:00
[1] => 235.61
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 05:00:00
[1] => 235.61
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 07:00:00
[1] => 235.61
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
[1] => 235.61
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
[1] => 235.61
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
[1] => 235.61
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
[1] => 235.51
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 04:00:00
[1] => 238.19
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 10:00:00
[1] => 229.54
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -2.1495444812964
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5378583253463
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 12
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7684063779733
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 20:15:00
[1] => 235.51
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 20:45:00
[1] => 235.51
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 01:45:00
[1] => 236.28
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 03:45:00
[1] => 236.87
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 04:15:00
[1] => 238.19
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 10:45:00
[1] => 229.54
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 12:30:00
[1] => 233.6
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 230.58
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
[1] => 233.21
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:30:00
[1] => 233.21
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.060031731057851
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.079885506115
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 11:40:00
[1] => 233.52
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 12:10:00
[1] => 232.86
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 12:30:00
[1] => 233.6
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 14:15:00
[1] => 230.96
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 14:30:00
[1] => 231.54
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 230.58
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:05:00
[1] => 233.21
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:15:00
[1] => 233.21
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:25:00
[1] => 233.21
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:35:00
[1] => 233.21
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.060031731057851
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.12458114958329
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 11:40:00 | 233.52 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 12:10:00 | 232.86 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 12:30:00 | 233.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 14:15:00 | 230.96 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 14:30:00 | 231.54 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 230.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 16:05:00 | 233.21 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 16:15:00 | 233.21 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 16:25:00 | 233.21 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 16:35:00 | 233.21 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 20:15:00 | 235.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 20:45:00 | 235.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 01:45:00 | 236.28 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 03:45:00 | 236.87 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 04:15:00 | 238.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 10:45:00 | 229.54 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 12:30:00 | 233.6 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 230.58 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 16:00:00 | 233.21 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 16:30:00 | 233.21 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 01:00:00 | 235.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 03:00:00 | 235.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 05:00:00 | 235.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 07:00:00 | 235.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 09:00:00 | 235.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 11:00:00 | 235.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 13:00:00 | 235.61 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 20:00:00 | 235.51 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 04:00:00 | 238.19 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 10:00:00 | 229.54 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov 2025 16:37:48 |
17 Nov 2025 19:30:00 |
2 hours |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232.92 | 233.1483 | 232.4635 | 2 | 206.69 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 233.1483 - 232.92 = 0.22830000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 232.92 - 232.4635 = 0.45649999999998
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.45649999999998 / 0.22830000000002 = 1.9996
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8163.6785 | 100 | 35.0493 | 81.64 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.22830000000002 = 35.04
Taille de position USD = 35.04 x 232.92 = 8161.52
Donc, tu peux acheter 35.04 avec un stoploss a 233.1483
Avec un position size USD de 8161.52$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 35.04 x 0.22830000000002 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 35.04 x 0.45649999999998 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.2 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.098 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.20 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.0859 % | 87.65 % | 8 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 232.4634
[stop_loss] => 233.1483
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 232.34925
[stop_loss] => 233.1483
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 232.2351
[stop_loss] => 233.1483
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:35:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 232.12095
[stop_loss] => 233.1483
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:35:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 232.0068
[stop_loss] => 233.1483
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 20:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 231.89265
[stop_loss] => 233.1483
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 20:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 231.7785
[stop_loss] => 233.1483
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 20:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 231.66435
[stop_loss] => 233.1483
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 20:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 231.5502
[stop_loss] => 233.1483
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 20:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 231.43605
[stop_loss] => 233.1483
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 20:40:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 231.3219
[stop_loss] => 233.1483
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 20:40:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.29999999999998
[max_drawdown] => 0.15000000000001
[rr_ratio] => 2
[high] => 233.07000000
[low] => 232.62000000
[mfe_pct] => 0.13
[mae_pct] => 0.06
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T16:37:48-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-17T18:37:48-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 2.52
[max_drawdown] => 0.37
[rr_ratio] => 6.81
[high] => 233.29000000
[low] => 230.40000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.08
[mae_pct] => 0.16
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 6.81
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T16:37:48-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-17T23:37:48-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 233.44000000
[high_after] => 233.29000000
[low_before] => 230.58000000
[low_after] => 231.60000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)