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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 17 Nov 2025 at 17:40:12

Take profit at 196.3385 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 197.8107 (0.25 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 17 Nov 2025 at 17:40:12

With 16.3023 MSTR at 197.32$ per unit.

Position size of 3216.7772 $

Take profit at 196.3385 (0.5 %) and Stop Loss at 197.8107 (0.25 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 140
ML Pullback Score: 10
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.62
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.91
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.67
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.095356

15m : -0.064934

1H : -0.112959

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.2
  4. atr: 0.3271514541
Details
  1. score: 1.2
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 196.273
  4. ema21 : 197.751
  5. ema50 : 199.477
  6. ema100 : 201.787
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00533412
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00747556
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00865373
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0221386
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.213926
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.132202
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.0748463
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0570099
  17. rsi : 0.477739
  18. adx : 0.28548
  19. kc_percentage : 0.475317
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0695421
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.656969
  22. volume_ema1 : 239455.42394084
  23. volume_ema2 : 698058.15640683
  24. chop : 25.2701
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 196.4
  28. ema21 : 195.731
  29. ema50 : 196.712
  30. ema100 : 198.06
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.0046801
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00342186
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00499064
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00373807
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.143275
  38. ema_slope_21 : 0.0357528
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0233292
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0268987
  41. rsi : 0.557204
  42. adx : 0.166114
  43. kc_percentage : 0.827016
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0246235
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.749407
  46. volume_ema1 : 20581.761659043
  47. volume_ema2 : 82132.42030835
  48. chop : 36.9244
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 197.116
  52. ema21 : 196.594
  53. ema50 : 195.672
  54. ema100 : 195.542
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00103316
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00265667
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.0047119
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00909173
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0133245
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0409865
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0349439
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.0166716
  65. rsi : 0.6417
  66. adx : 0.281306
  67. kc_percentage : 1.19661
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00491333
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.96318
  70. volume_ema1 : 734.26809016023
  71. volume_ema2 : 19942.578618914
  72. chop : 80.8243
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    92645.4
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00447933
  78. 5m_price: 
    92230.5
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.095356
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    93702
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0161806
  83. 15m_price: 
    92185.9
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.064934
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95533.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0345735
  88. 1H_price: 
    92230.5
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.112959
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 05:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 07:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.78938106491025
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.9949404448192
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8223885316749
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 23:00:00
                    [1] => 201.53
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 01:15:00
                    [1] => 199.89
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 03:15:00
                    [1] => 203.07
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 08:30:00
                    [1] => 193.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 09:45:00
                    [1] => 203.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 11:15:00
                    [1] => 191.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:00:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:30:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.78938106491025
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.9949404448192
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 6
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.8223885316749
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:05:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:15:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:45:00
                    [1] => 192.87
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 13:35:00
                    [1] => 191.4
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 13:50:00
                    [1] => 194.44
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:40:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:10:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:50:00
                    [1] => 196.49
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 17:25:00
                    [1] => 197.32
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 17:35:00
                    [1] => 197.32
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.42241335436917
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 10
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
0.00%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.42%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
10 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.00%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.0793
0.55%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.5985
3.36%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 12:05:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 12:15:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 12:45:00 192.87 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 13:35:00 191.4 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 13:50:00 194.44 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:40:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:10:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-17 16:50:00 196.49 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 17:25:00 197.32 ↑ High
2025-11-17 17:35:00 197.32 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.79%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.99%
Bars Since Swing High
6 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
12 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.82%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.3793
4.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.5985
3.36%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 23:00:00 201.53 ↑ High
2025-11-17 01:15:00 199.89 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 03:15:00 203.07 ↑ High
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 08:30:00 193.67 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 09:45:00 203.91 ↑ High
2025-11-17 11:15:00 191.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 12:00:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:30:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.79%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.99%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.82%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
9.3793
4.74%
TP to Pivot Distance
6.5985
3.36%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 05:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 07:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 09:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
17 Nov 2025
17:40:12		 17 Nov 2025
19:30:00		 1 hour

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
197.32 197.8107 196.3385 2 130.74
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 197.32
  • Stop Loss: 197.8107
  • Take Profit: 196.3385

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 197.8107 - 197.32 = 0.4907

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 197.32 - 196.3385 = 0.98149999999998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.98149999999998 / 0.4907 = 2.0002

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
3216.7772 100 16.3023 32.17
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.4907

Taille de position = 8 / 0.4907 = 16.3

Taille de position USD = 16.3 x 197.32 = 3216.32

Donc, tu peux acheter 16.3 avec un stoploss a 197.8107

Avec un position size USD de 3216.32$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 16.3 x 0.4907 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 16.3 x 0.98149999999998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 16.3
  • Taille de position USD 3216.32
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0002

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.5 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.25 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.50
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.2281 % 91.72 % 8

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 196.3386
            [stop_loss] => 197.8107
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:30:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 196.09325
            [stop_loss] => 197.8107
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 195.8479
            [stop_loss] => 197.8107
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 195.60255
            [stop_loss] => 197.8107
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 195.3572
            [stop_loss] => 197.8107
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 195.11185
            [stop_loss] => 197.8107
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.8665
            [stop_loss] => 197.8107
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.62115
            [stop_loss] => 197.8107
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.3758
            [stop_loss] => 197.8107
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 194.13045
            [stop_loss] => 197.8107
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:15:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 193.8851
            [stop_loss] => 197.8107
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:20:00
            [result] => win
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 2.46
            [max_drawdown] => 0.45000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 5.47
            [high] => 197.77000000
            [low] => 194.86000000
            [mfe_pct] => 1.25
            [mae_pct] => 0.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 5.47
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-17T17:40:12-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-17T19:40:12-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 8.82
            [max_drawdown] => 0.45000000000002
            [rr_ratio] => 19.6
            [high] => 197.77000000
            [low] => 188.50000000
            [mfe_pct] => 4.47
            [mae_pct] => 0.23
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 19.6
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-17T17:40:12-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T00:40:12-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 198.89000000
            [high_after] => 197.77000000
            [low_before] => 189.74000000
            [low_after] => 188.54000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)