Short Trade on 1000000MOG 17 Nov 2025 at 18:08:31
Take profit at 0.3302 (1.61 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3383 (0.8 %)
Short Trade on 1000000MOG 17 Nov 2025 at 18:08:31
Take profit at 0.3302 (1.61 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3383 (0.8 %)
Position size of 995.8048 $
Take profit at 0.3302 (1.61 %) and Stop Loss at 0.3383 (0.8 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.9 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.56 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.78 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : range_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.733657 15m : 0.110889 1H : -0.03531 |
3 |
Indicators:
92688
-0.00726125
92015
0.733657
93666.4
-0.017631
92015
0.110889
95393.6
-0.0354179
92015
-0.03531
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-14 18:00:00
[1] => 0.3596
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 03:00:00
[1] => 0.3717
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 04:00:00
[1] => 0.3861
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 13:00:00
[1] => 0.3845
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 20:00:00
[1] => 0.3598
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 00:00:00
[1] => 0.3798
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 12:00:00
[1] => 0.3429
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 19:00:00
[1] => 0.3626
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 09:00:00
[1] => 0.3662
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 0.3216
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.192244675041
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5398009950249
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 9
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 13.86815920398
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 02:15:00
[1] => 0.3623
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 04:15:00
[1] => 0.3638
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 06:00:00
[1] => 0.3593
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 06:30:00
[1] => 0.3645
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 08:45:00
[1] => 0.3414
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 09:30:00
[1] => 0.3662
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 11:45:00
[1] => 0.354
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 0.3216
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
[1] => 0.3349
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 18:00:00
[1] => 0.3373
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.32611918173732
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 4.5398009950249
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 12
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.71663183039714
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 11:15:00
[1] => 0.3405
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 11:55:00
[1] => 0.354
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 13:35:00
[1] => 0.3311
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 13:45:00
[1] => 0.3393
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 14:35:00
[1] => 0.3364
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:10:00
[1] => 0.3216
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
[1] => 0.3349
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:35:00
[1] => 0.3255
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 17:50:00
[1] => 0.3323
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 18:05:00
[1] => 0.3373
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.32611918173732
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.1736382786639
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5046644598255
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 11:15:00 | 0.3405 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 11:55:00 | 0.354 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 13:35:00 | 0.3311 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 13:45:00 | 0.3393 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 14:35:00 | 0.3364 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 15:10:00 | 0.3216 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 16:00:00 | 0.3349 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 16:35:00 | 0.3255 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 17:50:00 | 0.3323 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 18:05:00 | 0.3373 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 02:15:00 | 0.3623 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 04:15:00 | 0.3638 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 06:00:00 | 0.3593 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 06:30:00 | 0.3645 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 08:45:00 | 0.3414 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 09:30:00 | 0.3662 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 11:45:00 | 0.354 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 0.3216 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 16:00:00 | 0.3349 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 18:00:00 | 0.3373 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-14 18:00:00 | 0.3596 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 03:00:00 | 0.3717 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 04:00:00 | 0.3861 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-15 13:00:00 | 0.3845 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-15 20:00:00 | 0.3598 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 00:00:00 | 0.3798 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 12:00:00 | 0.3429 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 19:00:00 | 0.3626 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 09:00:00 | 0.3662 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 0.3216 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov 2025 18:08:31 |
17 Nov 2025 19:30:00 |
1 hour |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.3356 | 0.3383 | 0.3302 | 2 | 0.169 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 0.3383 - 0.3356 = 0.0027
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 0.3356 - 0.3302 = 0.0054
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0054 / 0.0027 = 2
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 995.8048 | 100 | 2967.2373 | 9.96 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0027 = 2962.96
Taille de position USD = 2962.96 x 0.3356 = 994.37
Donc, tu peux acheter 2962.96 avec un stoploss a 0.3383
Avec un position size USD de 994.37$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 2962.96 x 0.0027 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 2962.96 x 0.0054 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.61 % | 16.02 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.8 % | 8.01 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.02 $ | 1.61 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.6555 % | 81.48 % | 7 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3302
[stop_loss] => 0.3383
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.32885
[stop_loss] => 0.3383
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:45:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3275
[stop_loss] => 0.3383
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.32615
[stop_loss] => 0.3383
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3248
[stop_loss] => 0.3383
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.32345
[stop_loss] => 0.3383
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3221
[stop_loss] => 0.3383
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.32075
[stop_loss] => 0.3383
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3194
[stop_loss] => 0.3383
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.31805
[stop_loss] => 0.3383
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:50:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 0.3167
[stop_loss] => 0.3383
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:50:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.008
[max_drawdown] => 0.0033
[rr_ratio] => 2.42
[high] => 0.33890000
[low] => 0.32760000
[mfe_pct] => 2.38
[mae_pct] => 0.98
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.42
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T18:08:31-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-17T20:08:31-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0084
[max_drawdown] => 0.0059
[rr_ratio] => 1.42
[high] => 0.34150000
[low] => 0.32720000
[mfe_pct] => 2.5
[mae_pct] => 1.76
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.42
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T18:08:31-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-18T01:08:31-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 0.33730000
[high_after] => 0.34000000
[low_before] => 0.32160000
[low_after] => 0.32720000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)