Short Trade on MORPHO 17 Nov 2025 at 19:10:32
Take profit at 1.8006 (1.02 %) and Stop Loss at 1.8283 (0.51 %)
Short Trade on MORPHO 17 Nov 2025 at 19:10:32
Take profit at 1.8006 (1.02 %) and Stop Loss at 1.8283 (0.51 %)
Position size of 1577.2757 $
Take profit at 1.8006 (1.02 %) and Stop Loss at 1.8283 (0.51 %)
That's a 2.01 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.98 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.7 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.95 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.572625 15m : 0.088043 1H : 0.165643 |
2 |
Indicators:
92441.3
-0.00120103
92330.3
0.572625
93619.6
-0.0137718
92330.3
0.088043
95424.4
-0.032425
92330.3
0.165643
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 04:00:00
[1] => 1.9928
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 14:00:00
[1] => 2.0262
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 16:00:00
[1] => 1.9939
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 01:00:00
[1] => 2.0767
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 10:00:00
[1] => 1.9867
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
[1] => 2.0293
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 19:00:00
[1] => 2.0297
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 21:00:00
[1] => 1.9614
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 1.7667
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 19:00:00
[1] => 1.8191
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.021988895607716
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9433406916851
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.9659817739288
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 01:00:00
[1] => 1.9874
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 02:15:00
[1] => 2.0113
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 02:45:00
[1] => 2.0113
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 04:00:00
[1] => 1.9873
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 05:30:00
[1] => 1.9728
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 06:30:00
[1] => 1.9948
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 08:45:00
[1] => 1.85
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:15:00
[1] => 1.7667
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 17:15:00
[1] => 1.81
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 19:00:00
[1] => 1.8191
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.021988895607716
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.9433406916851
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 15
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.50276243093922
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 13:15:00
[1] => 1.7978
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 13:45:00
[1] => 1.8171
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:15:00
[1] => 1.7667
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
[1] => 1.8073
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:45:00
[1] => 1.7777
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 17:20:00
[1] => 1.81
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 17:45:00
[1] => 1.7909
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 18:05:00
[1] => 1.809
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 18:15:00
[1] => 1.7905
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 19:05:00
[1] => 1.8191
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.021988895607716
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5749790561296
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 11
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.5973191845853
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 13:15:00 | 1.7978 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 13:45:00 | 1.8171 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 15:15:00 | 1.7667 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 16:00:00 | 1.8073 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 16:45:00 | 1.7777 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 17:20:00 | 1.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 17:45:00 | 1.7909 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 18:05:00 | 1.809 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 18:15:00 | 1.7905 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 19:05:00 | 1.8191 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 01:00:00 | 1.9874 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 02:15:00 | 2.0113 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 02:45:00 | 2.0113 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 04:00:00 | 1.9873 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 05:30:00 | 1.9728 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 06:30:00 | 1.9948 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 08:45:00 | 1.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 15:15:00 | 1.7667 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 17:15:00 | 1.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 19:00:00 | 1.8191 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 04:00:00 | 1.9928 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 14:00:00 | 2.0262 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-15 16:00:00 | 1.9939 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 01:00:00 | 2.0767 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 10:00:00 | 1.9867 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 13:00:00 | 2.0293 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 19:00:00 | 2.0297 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 21:00:00 | 1.9614 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 1.7667 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 19:00:00 | 1.8191 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov 2025 19:10:32 |
17 Nov 2025 19:30:00 |
19 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8191 | 1.8283 | 1.8006 | 2.01 | 1.8281 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.8283 - 1.8191 = 0.0092000000000001
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8191 - 1.8006 = 0.0185
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0185 / 0.0092000000000001 = 2.0109
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1577.2757 | 100 | 867.0638 | 15.77 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0092000000000001 = 869.57
Taille de position USD = 869.57 x 1.8191 = 1581.83
Donc, tu peux acheter 869.57 avec un stoploss a 1.8283
Avec un position size USD de 1581.83$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 869.57 x 0.0092000000000001 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 869.57 x 0.0185 = 16.09
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.09$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.02 % | 16.04 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.51 % | 7.98 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16.04 $ | 1.02 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| 0 % | 0 % | 0 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.8007
[stop_loss] => 1.8283
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:30:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7961
[stop_loss] => 1.8283
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:30:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7915
[stop_loss] => 1.8283
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:40:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7869
[stop_loss] => 1.8283
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:40:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7823
[stop_loss] => 1.8283
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:45:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7777
[stop_loss] => 1.8283
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 19:45:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7731
[stop_loss] => 1.8283
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7685
[stop_loss] => 1.8283
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7639
[stop_loss] => 1.8283
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7593
[stop_loss] => 1.8283
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.7547
[stop_loss] => 1.8283
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 20:05:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0437
[max_drawdown] => 0.0181
[rr_ratio] => 2.41
[high] => 1.83720000
[low] => 1.77540000
[mfe_pct] => 2.4
[mae_pct] => 0.99
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.41
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T19:10:32-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-17T21:10:32-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0437
[max_drawdown] => 0.0397
[rr_ratio] => 1.1
[high] => 1.85880000
[low] => 1.77540000
[mfe_pct] => 2.4
[mae_pct] => 2.18
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.1
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T19:10:32-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-18T02:10:32-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.81910000
[high_after] => 1.85880000
[low_before] => 1.76670000
[low_after] => 1.77540000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)