Short Trade on MORPHO 17 Nov 2025 at 20:21:35
Take profit at 1.804 (1.47 %) and Stop Loss at 1.8444 (0.74 %)
Short Trade on MORPHO 17 Nov 2025 at 20:21:35
Take profit at 1.804 (1.47 %) and Stop Loss at 1.8444 (0.74 %)
Position size of 1088.2276 $
Take profit at 1.804 (1.47 %) and Stop Loss at 1.8444 (0.74 %)
That's a 1.99 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.93 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.66 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.71 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bear_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_high 5m_regime : bull_medium |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.590868 15m : -0.149935 1H : -0.001534 |
3 |
Indicators:
92368
-0.00238622
92147.6
0.590868
93518.5
-0.0146593
92147.6
-0.149935
95498.2
-0.0350858
92147.6
-0.001534
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 04:00:00
[1] => 1.9928
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 14:00:00
[1] => 2.0262
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-15 16:00:00
[1] => 1.9939
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 01:00:00
[1] => 2.0767
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 10:00:00
[1] => 1.9867
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
[1] => 2.0293
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 19:00:00
[1] => 2.0297
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 21:00:00
[1] => 1.9614
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:00:00
[1] => 1.7667
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 20:00:00
[1] => 1.8338
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => downtrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => -1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15814156396554
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6338937001189
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 5
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.7980415463859
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 02:15:00
[1] => 2.0113
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 02:45:00
[1] => 2.0113
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 04:00:00
[1] => 1.9873
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 05:30:00
[1] => 1.9728
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 06:30:00
[1] => 1.9948
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 08:45:00
[1] => 1.85
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:15:00
[1] => 1.7667
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 17:15:00
[1] => 1.81
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 19:45:00
[1] => 1.7754
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 20:00:00
[1] => 1.8338
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => uptrend
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 1
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15814156396554
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1260561000338
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2893995719275
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 1
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 15:15:00
[1] => 1.7667
[2] => L
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
[1] => 1.8073
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:45:00
[1] => 1.7777
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 17:20:00
[1] => 1.81
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 17:45:00
[1] => 1.7909
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 18:05:00
[1] => 1.809
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 18:15:00
[1] => 1.7905
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 19:05:00
[1] => 1.8191
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 19:45:00
[1] => 1.7754
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 20:05:00
[1] => 1.8338
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.15814156396554
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.1260561000338
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 3.2893995719275
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 1
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 15:15:00 | 1.7667 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 16:00:00 | 1.8073 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 16:45:00 | 1.7777 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 17:20:00 | 1.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 17:45:00 | 1.7909 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 18:05:00 | 1.809 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 18:15:00 | 1.7905 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 19:05:00 | 1.8191 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 19:45:00 | 1.7754 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 20:05:00 | 1.8338 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 02:15:00 | 2.0113 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 02:45:00 | 2.0113 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 04:00:00 | 1.9873 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 05:30:00 | 1.9728 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 06:30:00 | 1.9948 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 08:45:00 | 1.85 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 15:15:00 | 1.7667 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 17:15:00 | 1.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 19:45:00 | 1.7754 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 20:00:00 | 1.8338 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-15 04:00:00 | 1.9928 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-15 14:00:00 | 2.0262 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-15 16:00:00 | 1.9939 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 01:00:00 | 2.0767 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 10:00:00 | 1.9867 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-16 13:00:00 | 2.0293 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 19:00:00 | 2.0297 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 21:00:00 | 1.9614 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 15:00:00 | 1.7667 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 20:00:00 | 1.8338 | ↑ High |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov 2025 20:21:35 |
17 Nov 2025 21:20:00 |
58 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.8309 | 1.8444 | 1.804 | 1.99 | 1.8477 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 1.8444 - 1.8309 = 0.0135
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 1.8309 - 1.804 = 0.0269
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 0.0269 / 0.0135 = 1.9926
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1088.2276 | 100 | 594.3676 | 10.88 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.0135 = 592.59
Taille de position USD = 592.59 x 1.8309 = 1084.97
Donc, tu peux acheter 592.59 avec un stoploss a 1.8444
Avec un position size USD de 1084.97$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 592.59 x 0.0135 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 592.59 x 0.0269 = 15.94
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 15.94$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 1.47 % | 15.99 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.74 % | 8.02 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| -8.02 $ | -0.74 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -1.0432 % | 141.49 % | 5 |
Array
(
)
Array
(
[1.1] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.804
[entry_price] => 1.8309
[stop_loss] => 1.84575
[rr_ratio] => 1.81
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.804
[entry_price] => 1.8309
[stop_loss] => 1.8471
[rr_ratio] => 1.66
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.804
[entry_price] => 1.8309
[stop_loss] => 1.84845
[rr_ratio] => 1.53
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:20:00
[result] => loss
)
[1.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 1.804
[entry_price] => 1.8309
[stop_loss] => 1.85115
[rr_ratio] => 1.33
[sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:25:00
[result] => loss
)
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0314
[max_drawdown] => 0.0279
[rr_ratio] => 1.13
[high] => 1.85880000
[low] => 1.79950000
[mfe_pct] => 1.72
[mae_pct] => 1.52
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.13
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T20:21:35-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-17T22:21:35-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 0.0395
[max_drawdown] => 0.0279
[rr_ratio] => 1.42
[high] => 1.85880000
[low] => 1.79140000
[mfe_pct] => 2.16
[mae_pct] => 1.52
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.42
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T20:21:35-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-18T03:21:35-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 1.83380000
[high_after] => 1.85880000
[low_before] => 1.77540000
[low_after] => 1.79140000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] =>
)
)