Short Trade on COIN 17 Nov 2025 at 20:29:24
Take profit at 262.7187 (0.43 %) and Stop Loss at 264.4157 (0.21 %)
Short Trade on COIN 17 Nov 2025 at 20:29:24
Take profit at 262.7187 (0.43 %) and Stop Loss at 264.4157 (0.21 %)
Position size of 3731.5581 $
Take profit at 262.7187 (0.43 %) and Stop Loss at 264.4157 (0.21 %)
That's a 2 RR Trade| Prediction 1 | Probability |
|---|---|
|
Weak Trade
|
0.92 |
| Prediction 2 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1 | 0.58 |
| Prediction 3 | Probability |
|---|---|
| 0 | 0.86 |
| BTC Market Regime | Coin Market Regime |
|---|---|
|
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low |
1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low |
| BTC Correlation | Score |
|---|---|
|
5m : 0.104022 15m : -0.05955 1H : -0.081607 |
2 |
Indicators:
92310.3
-0.00608105
91749
0.104022
93518.5
-0.0146593
92147.6
-0.05955
95490.3
-0.0391803
91749
-0.081607
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 03:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 05:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 07:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
[1] => 285.04
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
[1] => 286.71
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 21:00:00
[1] => 283.4
[2] => L
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 03:00:00
[1] => 287.87
[2] => H
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
[1] => 258.7
[2] => L
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -8.3996248306527
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.9288751449556
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 17
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 6
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 11.275608813297
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-16 23:30:00
[1] => 285.5
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 01:00:00
[1] => 285.47
[2] => H
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 01:30:00
[1] => 285.06
[2] => L
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 03:45:00
[1] => 287.87
[2] => H
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 05:45:00
[1] => 284.98
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 11:15:00
[1] => 264.67
[2] => L
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 14:15:00
[1] => 258.7
[2] => L
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
[1] => 265.81
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 19:45:00
[1] => 261.57
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 20:15:00
[1] => 264.1
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1552442256721
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.81049049967504
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.96723630385749
[ms_bos_up] => 0
[ms_bos_down] => 0
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Array
(
[left_window] => 5
[right_window] => 5
[recent_pivots] => Array
(
[0] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:10:00
[1] => 265.81
[2] => H
)
[1] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 16:50:00
[1] => 262.98
[2] => L
)
[2] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 17:20:00
[1] => 264.65
[2] => H
)
[3] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 18:00:00
[1] => 263.45
[2] => L
)
[4] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 18:55:00
[1] => 263.39
[2] => L
)
[5] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 19:05:00
[1] => 264.04
[2] => H
)
[6] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 19:15:00
[1] => 264.04
[2] => H
)
[7] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 19:25:00
[1] => 264.04
[2] => H
)
[8] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 19:45:00
[1] => 261.57
[2] => L
)
[9] => Array
(
[0] => 2025-11-17 20:25:00
[1] => 264.1
[2] => H
)
)
[detected_trend] => range
[features] => Array
(
[ms_trend_state] => 0
[ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.1552442256721
[ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.81049049967504
[ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
[ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
[ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.96723630385749
[ms_bos_up] => 1
[ms_bos_down] => 1
[ms_choch_up] => 0
[ms_choch_down] => 0
)
)
Market Structure Score: 0
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 16:10:00 | 265.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 16:50:00 | 262.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 17:20:00 | 264.65 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 18:00:00 | 263.45 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 18:55:00 | 263.39 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 19:05:00 | 264.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 19:15:00 | 264.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 19:25:00 | 264.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 19:45:00 | 261.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 20:25:00 | 264.1 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 23:30:00 | 285.5 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 01:00:00 | 285.47 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 01:30:00 | 285.06 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 03:45:00 | 287.87 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 05:45:00 | 284.98 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 11:15:00 | 264.67 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 14:15:00 | 258.7 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 16:00:00 | 265.81 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 19:45:00 | 261.57 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 20:15:00 | 264.1 | ↑ High |
Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5
Market Structure Features:
SL & TP Pivot Distance:
| DateTime | Price | Type |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-16 03:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 05:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 07:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 09:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 11:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 13:00:00 | 285.04 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 20:00:00 | 286.71 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-16 21:00:00 | 283.4 | ↓ Low |
| 2025-11-17 03:00:00 | 287.87 | ↑ High |
| 2025-11-17 14:00:00 | 258.7 | ↓ Low |
| Start at | Closed at | Duration |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov 2025 20:29:24 |
17 Nov 2025 21:15:00 |
45 minutes |
| Entry | Stop Loss | Take Profit | RR | Current Price |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 263.85 | 264.4157 | 262.7187 | 2 | 178.65 |
Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :
RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss
Détails du trade:
Calcul:
Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :
SL - E = 264.4157 - 263.85 = 0.56569999999999
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):
E - TP = 263.85 - 262.7187 = 1.1313
Risk-Reward Ratio:
RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.1313 / 0.56569999999999 = 1.9998
| Amount | Margin | Quantity | Leverage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3731.5581 | 100 | 14.1427 | 37.32 |
1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade
Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade
Paramètres:
Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8
Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade
2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter
Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss
Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price
Paramètres:
Taille de position = 8 / 0.56569999999999 = 14.14
Taille de position USD = 14.14 x 263.85 = 3730.84
Donc, tu peux acheter 14.14 avec un stoploss a 264.4157
Avec un position size USD de 3730.84$
3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle
Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss
Perte = 14.14 x 0.56569999999999 = 8
Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$
4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle
Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit
Perte = 14.14 x 1.1313 = 16
Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$
Résumé
| TP % Target | TP $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.43 % | 16 $ |
| SL % Target | SL $ Target |
|---|---|
| 0.21 % | 8 $ |
| PNL | PNL % |
|---|---|
| 16 $ | 0.43 |
| Max Drawdown | Max Drawdown / SL Ratio | Candles in Entry |
|---|---|---|
| -0.072 % | 33.58 % | 3 |
Array
(
[2] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 262.7186
[stop_loss] => 264.4157
[rr_ratio] => 2
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[2.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 262.43575
[stop_loss] => 264.4157
[rr_ratio] => 2.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 262.1529
[stop_loss] => 264.4157
[rr_ratio] => 3
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:15:00
[result] => win
)
[3.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 261.87005
[stop_loss] => 264.4157
[rr_ratio] => 3.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:55:00
[result] => win
)
[4] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 261.5872
[stop_loss] => 264.4157
[rr_ratio] => 4
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:55:00
[result] => win
)
[4.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 261.30435
[stop_loss] => 264.4157
[rr_ratio] => 4.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 21:55:00
[result] => win
)
[5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 261.0215
[stop_loss] => 264.4157
[rr_ratio] => 5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 22:00:00
[result] => win
)
[5.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 260.73865
[stop_loss] => 264.4157
[rr_ratio] => 5.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 22:00:00
[result] => win
)
[6] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 260.4558
[stop_loss] => 264.4157
[rr_ratio] => 6
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 22:00:00
[result] => win
)
[6.5] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 260.17295
[stop_loss] => 264.4157
[rr_ratio] => 6.5
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 22:00:00
[result] => win
)
[7] => Array
(
[take_profit] => 259.8901
[stop_loss] => 264.4157
[rr_ratio] => 7
[closed_at] => 2025-11-17 22:05:00
[result] => win
)
)
Array
(
)
Array
(
[short_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 4.71
[max_drawdown] => 0.19
[rr_ratio] => 24.79
[high] => 264.04000000
[low] => 259.14000000
[mfe_pct] => 1.79
[mae_pct] => 0.07
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 24.79
[candles_analyzed] => 24
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T20:29:24-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-17T22:29:24-05:00
)
[long_term] => Array
(
[max_gain] => 8.76
[max_drawdown] => 0.19
[rr_ratio] => 46.11
[high] => 264.04000000
[low] => 255.09000000
[mfe_pct] => 3.32
[mae_pct] => 0.07
[mfe_mae_ratio] => 46.11
[candles_analyzed] => 84
[start_at] => 2025-11-17T20:29:24-05:00
[end_at] => 2025-11-18T03:29:24-05:00
)
[breakout] => Array
(
[high_before] => 264.65000000
[high_after] => 264.04000000
[low_before] => 261.57000000
[low_after] => 255.09000000
[is_new_high] =>
[is_new_low] => 1
)
)