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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 00:25:52

Take profit at 190.482 (0.68 %) and Stop Loss at 192.444 (0.34 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 00:25:52

With 12.2322 MSTR at 191.79$ per unit.

Position size of 2346.0166 $

Take profit at 190.482 (0.68 %) and Stop Loss at 192.444 (0.34 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 120
ML Pullback Score: 6.68
Prediction Score: 5
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.74
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.53
Prediction 3 Probability
1 0.72
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bear_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.386784

15m : -0.114884

1H : -0.013866

 3

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.12
  4. atr: 0.4360071427
Details
  1. score: 1.12
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 193.31
  4. ema21 : 195.434
  5. ema50 : 197.945
  6. ema100 : 200.636
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00786616
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0108663
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0126863
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0440921
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.200991
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.164849
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.105154
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0749724
  17. rsi : 0.387592
  18. adx : 0.289034
  19. kc_percentage : 0.190639
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0591348
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.574793
  22. volume_ema1 : 255978.15601812
  23. volume_ema2 : 602008.5199096
  24. chop : 52.2062
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 190.986
  28. ema21 : 192.386
  29. ema50 : 194.287
  30. ema100 : 196.12
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00420532
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00727679
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00978287
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0220819
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.169365
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.13112
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0826387
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0562822
  41. rsi : 0.400361
  42. adx : 0.274365
  43. kc_percentage : 0.36297
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.019045
  45. volume_ema_diff : 0.145819
  46. volume_ema1 : 88909.292386171
  47. volume_ema2 : 77594.51387441
  48. chop : 27.6535
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 190.788
  52. ema21 : 190.718
  53. ema50 : 192.024
  54. ema100 : 193.814
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00524921
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.000364684
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00679961
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.0104438
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0237319
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0291529
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0484565
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.042778
  65. rsi : 0.585915
  66. adx : 0.362581
  67. kc_percentage : 1.1212
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00924144
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.347999
  70. volume_ema1 : 16435.189297081
  71. volume_ema2 : 25207.34123848
  72. chop : 23.0321
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    91110.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00836545
  78. 5m_price: 
    90348.4
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.386784
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    92792.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0274265
  83. 15m_price: 
    90247.3
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.114884
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    95079
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0497551
  88. 1H_price: 
    90348.4
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.013866
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 07:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 23:00:00
                    [1] => 188.5
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.7960681783901
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5066312997347
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 8
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 5.5119363395225
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 08:30:00
                    [1] => 193.67
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 09:45:00
                    [1] => 203.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 11:15:00
                    [1] => 191.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:00:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:30:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 197.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 23:45:00
                    [1] => 188.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 00:15:00
                    [1] => 191.79
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23463162834349
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5066312997347
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 2
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7453580901857
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 18:55:00
                    [1] => 196.75
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 19:10:00
                    [1] => 197.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 19:45:00
                    [1] => 194.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 20:15:00
                    [1] => 194.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 20:45:00
                    [1] => 194.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 21:20:00
                    [1] => 193.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 21:55:00
                    [1] => 194.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 22:35:00
                    [1] => 190.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 23:50:00
                    [1] => 188.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 00:25:00
                    [1] => 191.79
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.23463162834349
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.5066312997347
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 1.7453580901857
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.51%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.75%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
5.3260
2.77%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9820
1.04%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 18:55:00 196.75 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 19:10:00 197.77 ↑ High
2025-11-17 19:45:00 194.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 20:15:00 194.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 20:45:00 194.81 ↑ High
2025-11-17 21:20:00 193.7 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 21:55:00 194.57 ↑ High
2025-11-17 22:35:00 190.05 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 23:50:00 188.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 00:25:00 191.79 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.23%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.51%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
2 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
1.75%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.7460
7.66%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9820
1.04%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 08:30:00 193.67 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 09:45:00 203.91 ↑ High
2025-11-17 11:15:00 191.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 12:00:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:30:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-17 19:00:00 197.77 ↑ High
2025-11-17 23:45:00 188.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 00:15:00 191.79 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.80%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.51%
Bars Since Swing High
8 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
5.51%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.7460
7.66%
TP to Pivot Distance
1.9820
1.04%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 07:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 09:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-17 23:00:00 188.5 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
00:25:52		 18 Nov 2025
01:05:00		 39 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
191.79 192.444 190.482 2 133.41
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 191.79
  • Stop Loss: 192.444
  • Take Profit: 190.482

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 192.444 - 191.79 = 0.654

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 191.79 - 190.482 = 1.308

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.308 / 0.654 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2346.0166 100 12.2322 23.46
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.654

Taille de position = 8 / 0.654 = 12.23

Taille de position USD = 12.23 x 191.79 = 2345.59

Donc, tu peux acheter 12.23 avec un stoploss a 192.444

Avec un position size USD de 2345.59$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 12.23 x 0.654 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 12.23 x 1.308 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 12.23
  • Taille de position USD 2345.59
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.68 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.34 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.68
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
0 % 0 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.482
            [stop_loss] => 192.444
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 01:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.155
            [stop_loss] => 192.444
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 01:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.828
            [stop_loss] => 192.444
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 01:25:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.501
            [stop_loss] => 192.444
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 01:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.174
            [stop_loss] => 192.444
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 01:40:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.847
            [stop_loss] => 192.444
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 01:45:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.52
            [stop_loss] => 192.444
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.193
            [stop_loss] => 192.444
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 187.866
            [stop_loss] => 192.444
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 02:05:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 187.539
            [stop_loss] => 192.444
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 187.212
            [stop_loss] => 192.444
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.18
            [max_drawdown] => 1.0E-6
            [rr_ratio] => 100
            [high] => 191.43000000
            [low] => 187.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.18
            [mae_pct] => -0.19
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T00:25:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T02:25:52-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 4.18
            [max_drawdown] => 3.69
            [rr_ratio] => 1.13
            [high] => 195.48000000
            [low] => 187.61000000
            [mfe_pct] => 2.18
            [mae_pct] => 1.92
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T00:25:52-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T07:25:52-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 194.81000000
            [high_after] => 195.48000000
            [low_before] => 188.50000000
            [low_after] => 187.61000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 1
        )

)