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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 02:45:42

Take profit at 189.9747 (0.7 %) and Stop Loss at 191.9776 (0.35 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 02:45:42

With 11.9824 MSTR at 191.31$ per unit.

Position size of 2292.3532 $

Take profit at 189.9747 (0.7 %) and Stop Loss at 191.9776 (0.35 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.2
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Strong Trade
0.64
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.73
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.8
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.428502

15m : -0.059248

1H : -0.096743

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.27
  4. atr: 0.4450971989
Details
  1. score: 1.27
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 192.101
  4. ema21 : 194.459
  5. ema50 : 197.193
  6. ema100 : 199.299
  7. price_ema9_diff : -0.00411986
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.012128
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0138639
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0400874
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.170474
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.157955
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.103838
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0672396
  17. rsi : 0.404282
  18. adx : 0.294373
  19. kc_percentage : 0.242109
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0607215
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.329373
  22. volume_ema1 : 405439.30181916
  23. volume_ema2 : 604568.14185425
  24. chop : 48.759
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 190.249
  28. ema21 : 190.966
  29. ema50 : 192.905
  30. ema100 : 195.09
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00557407
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00375512
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0100488
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0193759
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0282069
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0727263
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0709898
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0558852
  41. rsi : 0.494145
  42. adx : 0.262919
  43. kc_percentage : 0.608414
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0202209
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.10053
  46. volume_ema1 : 82994.336696325
  47. volume_ema2 : 92270.33911077
  48. chop : 43.8336
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 190.204
  52. ema21 : 189.907
  53. ema50 : 190.541
  54. ema100 : 191.948
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00581175
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.0015641
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00332542
  58. price_ema100_diff : -0.00332855
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.0214234
  62. ema_slope_21 : -0.0126853
  63. ema_slope_50 : -0.0264967
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0290077
  65. rsi : 0.652816
  66. adx : 0.288864
  67. kc_percentage : 1.27021
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.00953901
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.3014
  70. volume_ema1 : 24751.638016931
  71. volume_ema2 : 35430.392826904
  72. chop : 15.6833
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    90608.5
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0017972
  78. 5m_price: 
    90445.7
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.428502
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    92292.5
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0200112
  83. 15m_price: 
    90445.7
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.059248
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94634
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0442585
  88. 1H_price: 
    90445.7
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.096743
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 07:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.9871285635276
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7856191034593
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 10
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 0
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.0124726826928
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 09:45:00
                    [1] => 203.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 11:15:00
                    [1] => 191.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:00:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:30:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 197.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 23:45:00
                    [1] => 188.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 00:15:00
                    [1] => 191.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:45:00
                    [1] => 191.51
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2871912693854
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7856191034593
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 3
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0787804488034
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 19:45:00
                    [1] => 194.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 20:15:00
                    [1] => 194.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 20:45:00
                    [1] => 194.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 21:20:00
                    [1] => 193.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 21:55:00
                    [1] => 194.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 22:35:00
                    [1] => 190.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 23:50:00
                    [1] => 188.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 00:25:00
                    [1] => 191.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:05:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:45:00
                    [1] => 191.51
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.2871912693854
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 1.7856191034593
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 8
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.0787804488034
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 3

5M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.79%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
8 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.08%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
2.8324
1.48%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3647
1.24%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 19:45:00 194.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 20:15:00 194.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 20:45:00 194.81 ↑ High
2025-11-17 21:20:00 193.7 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 21:55:00 194.57 ↑ High
2025-11-17 22:35:00 190.05 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 23:50:00 188.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 00:25:00 191.79 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:05:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 02:45:00 191.51 ↑ High
15M - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.29%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.79%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
3 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.08%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
11.9324
6.22%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3647
1.24%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 09:45:00 203.91 ↑ High
2025-11-17 11:15:00 191.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 12:00:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:30:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-17 19:00:00 197.77 ↑ High
2025-11-17 23:45:00 188.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 00:15:00 191.79 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 02:45:00 191.51 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.99%
Dist From Last Low Pct
1.79%
Bars Since Swing High
10 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
0 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.01%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
15.2124
7.92%
TP to Pivot Distance
2.3647
1.24%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 07:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 09:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
02:45:42		 18 Nov 2025
03:05:00		 19 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
191.31 191.9776 189.9747 2 133.09
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 191.31
  • Stop Loss: 191.9776
  • Take Profit: 189.9747

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 191.9776 - 191.31 = 0.66759999999999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 191.31 - 189.9747 = 1.3353

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.3353 / 0.66759999999999 = 2.0001

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
2292.3532 100 11.9824 22.92
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.66759999999999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.66759999999999 = 11.98

Taille de position USD = 11.98 x 191.31 = 2291.89

Donc, tu peux acheter 11.98 avec un stoploss a 191.9776

Avec un position size USD de 2291.89$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 11.98 x 0.66759999999999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 11.98 x 1.3353 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 11.98
  • Taille de position USD 2291.89
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2.0001

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.7 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.35 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.35
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7632 % 218.68 % 1

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.9747
            [entry_price] => 191.31
            [stop_loss] => 192.04436
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.9747
            [entry_price] => 191.31
            [stop_loss] => 192.11112
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.9747
            [entry_price] => 191.31
            [stop_loss] => 192.17788
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.9747
            [entry_price] => 191.31
            [stop_loss] => 192.3114
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:05:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.83000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 4.17
            [rr_ratio] => 0.2
            [high] => 195.48000000
            [low] => 190.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.43
            [mae_pct] => 2.18
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T02:45:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T04:45:42-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.83000000000001
            [max_drawdown] => 11.35
            [rr_ratio] => 0.07
            [high] => 202.66000000
            [low] => 190.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.43
            [mae_pct] => 5.93
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.07
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T02:45:42-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T09:45:42-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 191.79000000
            [high_after] => 197.59000000
            [low_before] => 187.61000000
            [low_after] => 190.48000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)