Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 03:11:40

With 10.3412 MSTR at 192.35$ per unit.

Position size of 1989.1233 $

Take profit at 190.8028 (0.8 %) and Stop Loss at 193.1236 (0.4 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: -0.04

Prediction Score: 2

Prediction 1	Probability
Weak Trade	0.98

Prediction 2	Probability
0	0.83

Prediction 3	Probability
0	0.96

BTC Market Regime	Coin Market Regime
ml_regime : bear rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : range_low	1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : bear_medium 5m_regime : range_low

BTC Market Regime

Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low

BTC Correlation	Score
5m : 0.436136 15m : -0.089839 1H : 0.008482	2

BTC Correlation

Score

5m : 0.436136

15m : -0.089839

1H : 0.008482

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
short_kc: True
short_kc_percentage: 0.31
atr: 0.5157380887

Details

score: 1.31
1H
ema9 - 192.066
ema21 - 194.224
ema50 - 196.986
ema100 - 199.174
price_ema9_diff - 0.00147685
ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0111104
ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0140246
price_ema100_diff - -0.0342639
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
ema_slope_9 - -0.161687
ema_slope_21 - -0.155345
ema_slope_50 - -0.104916
ema_slope_100 - -0.0687024
rsi - 0.433837
adx - 0.297386
kc_percentage - 0.347363
kc_width_percentage - 0.0587163
volume_ema_diff - -0.503463
volume_ema1 - 288074.513335
volume_ema2 - 580167.41672263
chop - 48.486
regime - bear_high
15m
ema9 - 190.584
ema21 - 191.048
ema50 - 192.871
ema100 - 195.085
price_ema9_diff - 0.00926187
ema9_ema21_diff - -0.00242766
ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00945087
price_ema100_diff - -0.0140198
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
ema_slope_9 - -0.0150021
ema_slope_21 - -0.0629869
ema_slope_50 - -0.0671499
ema_slope_100 - -0.0548249
rsi - 0.543578
adx - 0.247086
kc_percentage - 0.797562
kc_width_percentage - 0.023867
volume_ema_diff - -0.197658
volume_ema1 - 73111.203253105
volume_ema2 - 91122.250193628
chop - 36.5226
regime - bear_medium
5m
ema9 - 191.248
ema21 - 190.556
ema50 - 190.724
ema100 - 191.902
price_ema9_diff - 0.00575912
ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00363197
ema21_ema50_diff - -0.000879137
price_ema100_diff - 0.00233212
all_emas_in_trend - False
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
ema_slope_9 - 0.11234
ema_slope_21 - 0.0481551
ema_slope_50 - 0.00424492
ema_slope_100 - -0.0128324
rsi - 0.693588
adx - 0.296565
kc_percentage - 1.31412
kc_width_percentage - 0.0112914
volume_ema_diff - -0.607136
volume_ema1 - 12305.328513889
volume_ema2 - 31322.158549023
chop - 8.06556
regime - range_low
btc_indicators
btc_indicators
5m_ema100: 90639.6
5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.000886099
5m_price: 90720
5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.436136
btc_indicators
15m_ema100: 92277.2
15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0168762
15m_price: 90720
15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.089839
btc_indicators
1H_ema100: 94518.4
1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0401874
1H_price: 90720
1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.008482

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
18 Nov 2025 03:11:40	18 Nov 2025 03:15:00	3 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
192.35	193.1236	190.8028	2	204.04

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 192.35
Stop Loss: 193.1236
Take Profit: 190.8028

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 193.1236 - 192.35 = 0.77360000000002
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 192.35 - 190.8028 = 1.5472
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5472 / 0.77360000000002 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
1989.1233	100	10.3412	19.89

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.77360000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.77360000000002 = 10.34

Taille de position USD = 10.34 x 192.35 = 1988.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.34 avec un stoploss a 193.1236

Avec un position size USD de 1988.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.34 x 0.77360000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.34 x 1.5472 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

Taille de position 10.34
Taille de position USD 1988.9
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 16
Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
0.8 %	16 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.4 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-0.40

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.7902 %	196.47 %	0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.8028
            [entry_price] => 192.35
            [stop_loss] => 193.20096
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.8028
            [entry_price] => 192.35
            [stop_loss] => 193.27832
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.8028
            [entry_price] => 192.35
            [stop_loss] => 193.35568
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.8028
            [entry_price] => 192.35
            [stop_loss] => 193.5104
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.13
            [max_drawdown] => 3.13
            [rr_ratio] => -0.04
            [high] => 195.48000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.07
            [mae_pct] => 1.63
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:11:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T05:11:40-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.13
            [max_drawdown] => 12.29
            [rr_ratio] => -0.01
            [high] => 204.64000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.07
            [mae_pct] => 6.39
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.01
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:11:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T10:11:40-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 192.79000000
            [high_after] => 197.59000000
            [low_before] => 187.61000000
            [low_after] => 192.48000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)