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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 03:11:40

Take profit at 190.8028 (0.8 %) and Stop Loss at 193.1236 (0.4 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 03:11:40

With 10.3412 MSTR at 192.35$ per unit.

Position size of 1989.1233 $

Take profit at 190.8028 (0.8 %) and Stop Loss at 193.1236 (0.4 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: -0.04
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.98
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.83
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.96
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : bear_medium

5m_regime : range_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.436136

15m : -0.089839

1H : 0.008482

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.31
  4. atr: 0.5157380887
Details
  1. score: 1.31
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 192.066
  4. ema21 : 194.224
  5. ema50 : 196.986
  6. ema100 : 199.174
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00147685
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0111104
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0140246
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0342639
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.161687
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.155345
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.104916
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0687024
  17. rsi : 0.433837
  18. adx : 0.297386
  19. kc_percentage : 0.347363
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0587163
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.503463
  22. volume_ema1 : 288074.513335
  23. volume_ema2 : 580167.41672263
  24. chop : 48.486
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 190.584
  28. ema21 : 191.048
  29. ema50 : 192.871
  30. ema100 : 195.085
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00926187
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.00242766
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00945087
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.0140198
  35. all_emas_in_trend : True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : -0.0150021
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0629869
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0671499
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0548249
  41. rsi : 0.543578
  42. adx : 0.247086
  43. kc_percentage : 0.797562
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.023867
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.197658
  46. volume_ema1 : 73111.203253105
  47. volume_ema2 : 91122.250193628
  48. chop : 36.5226
  49. regime : bear_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 191.248
  52. ema21 : 190.556
  53. ema50 : 190.724
  54. ema100 : 191.902
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00575912
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00363197
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.000879137
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.00233212
  59. all_emas_in_trend : False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.11234
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.0481551
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.00424492
  64. ema_slope_100 : -0.0128324
  65. rsi : 0.693588
  66. adx : 0.296565
  67. kc_percentage : 1.31412
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0112914
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.607136
  70. volume_ema1 : 12305.328513889
  71. volume_ema2 : 31322.158549023
  72. chop : 8.06556
  73. regime : range_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    90639.6
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.000886099
  78. 5m_price: 
    90720
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.436136
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    92277.2
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0168762
  83. 15m_price: 
    90720
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.089839
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94518.4
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0401874
  88. 1H_price: 
    90720
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.008482
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 07:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -3.0921614963045
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7343958211183
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 11
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 6.0124726826928
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 09:45:00
                    [1] => 203.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 11:15:00
                    [1] => 191.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:00:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:30:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 197.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 23:45:00
                    [1] => 188.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 00:15:00
                    [1] => 191.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 03:00:00
                    [1] => 192.79
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.025934955132519
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7343958211183
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 4
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7610468525132
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 19:45:00
                    [1] => 194.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 20:15:00
                    [1] => 194.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 20:45:00
                    [1] => 194.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 21:20:00
                    [1] => 193.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 21:55:00
                    [1] => 194.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 22:35:00
                    [1] => 190.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 23:50:00
                    [1] => 188.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 00:25:00
                    [1] => 191.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:05:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 03:10:00
                    [1] => 192.79
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.025934955132519
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 2.7343958211183
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 13
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 2.7610468525132
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
13 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.76%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
1.6864
0.87%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.1928
1.67%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 19:45:00 194.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 20:15:00 194.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 20:45:00 194.81 ↑ High
2025-11-17 21:20:00 193.7 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 21:55:00 194.57 ↑ High
2025-11-17 22:35:00 190.05 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 23:50:00 188.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 00:25:00 191.79 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:05:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 03:10:00 192.79 ↑ High
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.03%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.73%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
4 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
2.76%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
10.7864
5.59%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.1928
1.67%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 09:45:00 203.91 ↑ High
2025-11-17 11:15:00 191.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 12:00:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:30:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-17 19:00:00 197.77 ↑ High
2025-11-17 23:45:00 188.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 00:15:00 191.79 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 03:00:00 192.79 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-3.09%
Dist From Last Low Pct
2.73%
Bars Since Swing High
11 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
6.01%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
14.0664
7.28%
TP to Pivot Distance
3.1928
1.67%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 07:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 09:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
03:11:40		 18 Nov 2025
03:15:00		 3 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
192.35 193.1236 190.8028 2 133.09
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 192.35
  • Stop Loss: 193.1236
  • Take Profit: 190.8028

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 193.1236 - 192.35 = 0.77360000000002

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 192.35 - 190.8028 = 1.5472

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.5472 / 0.77360000000002 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1989.1233 100 10.3412 19.89
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.77360000000002

Taille de position = 8 / 0.77360000000002 = 10.34

Taille de position USD = 10.34 x 192.35 = 1988.9

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.34 avec un stoploss a 193.1236

Avec un position size USD de 1988.9$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.34 x 0.77360000000002 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.34 x 1.5472 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.34
  • Taille de position USD 1988.9
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.8 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.4 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.40
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.7902 % 196.47 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.8028
            [entry_price] => 192.35
            [stop_loss] => 193.20096
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.8028
            [entry_price] => 192.35
            [stop_loss] => 193.27832
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.8028
            [entry_price] => 192.35
            [stop_loss] => 193.35568
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.8028
            [entry_price] => 192.35
            [stop_loss] => 193.5104
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:15:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.13
            [max_drawdown] => 3.13
            [rr_ratio] => -0.04
            [high] => 195.48000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.07
            [mae_pct] => 1.63
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:11:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T05:11:40-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => -0.13
            [max_drawdown] => 12.29
            [rr_ratio] => -0.01
            [high] => 204.64000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => -0.07
            [mae_pct] => 6.39
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => -0.01
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:11:40-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T10:11:40-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 192.79000000
            [high_after] => 197.59000000
            [low_before] => 187.61000000
            [low_after] => 192.48000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)