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Short Trade on MSTR

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 03:17:31

With 10.1199 MSTR at 192.98$ per unit.

Position size of 1952.9303 $

Take profit at 191.399 (0.82 %) and Stop Loss at 193.7705 (0.41 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.18
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.96
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.63
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.81
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low_confirmed
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.437069

15m : -0.079726

1H : 0.07177

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.46
  4. atr: 0.5270166022
Details
  1. score: 1.46
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 192.192
  4. ema21 - 194.281
  5. ema50 - 197.011
  6. ema100 - 199.186
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00409825
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0107534
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0138575
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0311616
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.156326
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.152933
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.103884
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0681847
  17. rsi - 0.449794
  18. adx - 0.296304
  19. kc_percentage - 0.398622
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0589806
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.475522
  22. volume_ema1 - 305350.92410167
  23. volume_ema2 - 582199.93563636
  24. chop - 48.5007
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 191.126
  28. ema21 - 191.256
  29. ema50 - 192.894
  30. ema100 - 195.08
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00969902
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.000680727
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00849146
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.0107684
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.00503564
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0494401
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.061273
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0523991
  41. rsi - 0.568695
  42. adx - 0.234891
  43. kc_percentage - 0.910364
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0223802
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.267113
  46. volume_ema1 - 65644.588635404
  47. volume_ema2 - 89569.875769489
  48. chop - 35.2064
  49. regime - range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 191.657
  52. ema21 - 190.809
  53. ema50 - 190.827
  54. ema100 - 191.931
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00690158
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00444544
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - -9.57949E-5
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00546358
  59. all_emas_in_trend - False
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.13384
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0638634
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0127156
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.00825249
  65. rsi - 0.732189
  66. adx - 0.307927
  67. kc_percentage - 1.46176
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0115096
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.21831
  70. volume_ema1 - 25107.33880926
  71. volume_ema2 - 32119.327216249
  72. chop - 10.0789
  73. regime - bull_low_confirmed
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90644
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00159489
  78. 5m_price: 90788.6
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.437069
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 92288.8
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0162557
  83. 15m_price: 90788.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.079726
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 94519.8
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0394754
  88. 1H_price: 90788.6
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 0.07177
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
03:17:31		 18 Nov 2025
03:20:00		 2 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
192.98 193.7705 191.399 2 204.04
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 192.98
  • Stop Loss: 193.7705
  • Take Profit: 191.399

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 193.7705 - 192.98 = 0.79050000000001

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 192.98 - 191.399 = 1.581

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.581 / 0.79050000000001 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1952.9303 100 10.1199 19.53
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.79050000000001

Taille de position = 8 / 0.79050000000001 = 10.12

Taille de position USD = 10.12 x 192.98 = 1952.96

Donc, tu peux acheter 10.12 avec un stoploss a 193.7705

Avec un position size USD de 1952.96$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 10.12 x 0.79050000000001 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 10.12 x 1.581 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 10.12
  • Taille de position USD 1952.96
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.82 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.41 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.41
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.57 % 139.16 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.399
            [entry_price] => 192.98
            [stop_loss] => 193.84955
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.399
            [entry_price] => 192.98
            [stop_loss] => 193.9286
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.399
            [entry_price] => 192.98
            [stop_loss] => 194.00765
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:20:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.399
            [entry_price] => 192.98
            [stop_loss] => 194.16575
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:25:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.5
            [max_drawdown] => 2.5
            [rr_ratio] => 0.2
            [high] => 195.48000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.26
            [mae_pct] => 1.3
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.2
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:17:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T05:17:31-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 0.5
            [max_drawdown] => 11.66
            [rr_ratio] => 0.04
            [high] => 204.64000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.26
            [mae_pct] => 6.04
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.04
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:17:31-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T10:17:31-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 193.87000000
            [high_after] => 197.59000000
            [low_before] => 187.61000000
            [low_after] => 192.48000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)