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Short Trade on MSTR

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 03:27:34

With 9.7227 MSTR at 194.03$ per unit.

Position size of 1886.5051 $

Take profit at 192.3844 (0.85 %) and Stop Loss at 194.8528 (0.42 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
loss
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: -100
ML Pullback Score: 0.93
Prediction Score: 3
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.98
Prediction 2 Probability
1 0.6
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.55
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : range_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.471241

15m : 0.374613

1H : -0.022646

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.6
  4. atr: 0.5485416818
Details
  1. score: 1.6
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 192.402
  4. ema21 - 194.376
  5. ema50 - 197.052
  6. ema100 - 199.207
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00845963
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0101588
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0135792
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0259918
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.147392
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.148914
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.102164
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.067322
  17. rsi - 0.474479
  18. adx - 0.290379
  19. kc_percentage - 0.482869
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0613415
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.432984
  22. volume_ema1 - 331886.81200167
  23. volume_ema2 - 585321.80480107
  24. chop - 48.5873
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 191.286
  28. ema21 - 191.329
  29. ema50 - 192.925
  30. ema100 - 195.096
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.0143436
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.000224329
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00827572
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00546681
  35. all_emas_in_trend - True
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.012016
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0462901
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0599276
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0517267
  41. rsi - 0.598087
  42. adx - 0.240396
  43. kc_percentage - 1.08792
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0240733
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.236265
  46. volume_ema1 - 68680.420968737
  47. volume_ema2 - 89927.032514587
  48. chop - 29.6405
  49. regime - range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 192.623
  52. ema21 - 191.433
  53. ema50 - 191.123
  54. ema100 - 192.168
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00730208
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00621766
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00162047
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.00968904
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.161752
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.0899845
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.027749
  64. ema_slope_100 - -0.00118173
  65. rsi - 0.770791
  66. adx - 0.350425
  67. kc_percentage - 1.60295
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0118716
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.0846459
  70. volume_ema1 - 29918.365885597
  71. volume_ema2 - 32685.020829654
  72. chop - 5.63148
  73. regime - bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90657.3
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00196299
  78. 5m_price: 90835.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.471241
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 92294.3
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.0132811
  83. 15m_price: 91068.6
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.374613
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 94520.7
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0389908
  88. 1H_price: 90835.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.022646
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
03:27:34		 18 Nov 2025
03:35:00		 7 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
194.03 194.8528 192.3844 2 203.75
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 194.03
  • Stop Loss: 194.8528
  • Take Profit: 192.3844

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 194.8528 - 194.03 = 0.8228

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 194.03 - 192.3844 = 1.6456

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.6456 / 0.8228 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1886.5051 100 9.7227 18.87
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.8228

Taille de position = 8 / 0.8228 = 9.72

Taille de position USD = 9.72 x 194.03 = 1885.97

Donc, tu peux acheter 9.72 avec un stoploss a 194.8528

Avec un position size USD de 1885.97$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9.72 x 0.8228 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9.72 x 1.6456 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 9.72
  • Taille de position USD 1885.97
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.85 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.42 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
-8 $ -0.42
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.5721 % 134.9 % 0

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.3844
            [entry_price] => 194.03
            [stop_loss] => 194.93508
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.3844
            [entry_price] => 194.03
            [stop_loss] => 195.01736
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.3844
            [entry_price] => 194.03
            [stop_loss] => 195.09964
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:35:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.3844
            [entry_price] => 194.03
            [stop_loss] => 195.2642
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 03:40:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.55
            [max_drawdown] => 1.45
            [rr_ratio] => 1.07
            [high] => 195.48000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.8
            [mae_pct] => 0.75
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 1.07
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:27:34-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T05:27:34-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.55
            [max_drawdown] => 13.38
            [rr_ratio] => 0.12
            [high] => 207.41000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.8
            [mae_pct] => 6.9
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.12
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:27:34-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T10:27:34-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 194.29000000
            [high_after] => 197.59000000
            [low_before] => 187.61000000
            [low_after] => 192.48000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)