Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 03:54:19

With 9.0368 MSTR at 194.18$ per unit.

Position size of 1754.7622 $

Take profit at 192.4095 (0.91 %) and Stop Loss at 195.0653 (0.46 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:

loss

Trade Type:

sell

ML Trade Score: -100

ML Pullback Score: 2.02

Prediction Score: 2

Prediction 1	Probability
Weak Trade	0.97

Prediction 2	Probability
0	0.86

Prediction 3	Probability
0	0.94

BTC Market Regime	Coin Market Regime
ml_regime : bear_low_vol rules_regime : bear_high rules_regime_5m : bull_low	1H_regime : bear_high 15m_regime : range_medium 5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Market Regime

Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low

BTC Correlation	Score
5m : 0.45553 15m : -0.060249 1H : -0.055884	2

BTC Correlation

Score

5m : 0.45553

15m : -0.060249

1H : -0.055884

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

long_trend: -1
short_kc: True
short_kc_percentage: 0.11
atr: 0.5901806487

Details

score: 1.11
1H
ema9 - 192.432
ema21 - 194.39
ema50 - 197.058
ema100 - 199.21
price_ema9_diff - 0.00908191
ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0100739
ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0135394
price_ema100_diff - -0.0252534
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
ema_slope_9 - -0.146115
ema_slope_21 - -0.14834
ema_slope_50 - -0.101918
ema_slope_100 - -0.0671987
rsi - 0.477826
adx - 0.28557
kc_percentage - 0.494492
kc_width_percentage - 0.0637454
volume_ema_diff - -0.381888
volume_ema1 - 364139.21716833
volume_ema2 - 589116.20540891
chop - 48.6664
regime - bear_high
15m
ema9 - 192.404
ema21 - 191.87
ema50 - 193.044
ema100 - 195.072
price_ema9_diff - 0.0092276
ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00278514
ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00608378
price_ema100_diff - -0.00457472
all_emas_in_trend - False
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
ema_slope_9 - 0.060537
ema_slope_21 - -0.0124975
ema_slope_50 - -0.0439741
ema_slope_100 - -0.0439709
rsi - 0.586249
adx - 0.244747
kc_percentage - 0.986805
kc_width_percentage - 0.0245729
volume_ema_diff - -0.297075
volume_ema1 - 62604.950212031
volume_ema2 - 89063.588469741
chop - 21.9583
regime - range_medium
5m
ema9 - 193.834
ema21 - 192.59
ema50 - 191.709
ema100 - 192.167
price_ema9_diff - 0.00178246
ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00645956
ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00459647
price_ema100_diff - 0.010472
all_emas_in_trend - True
all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
ema_slope_9 - 0.157201
ema_slope_21 - 0.115858
ema_slope_50 - 0.0524224
ema_slope_100 - 0.0167106
rsi - 0.677616
adx - 0.412828
kc_percentage - 1.11097
kc_width_percentage - 0.0127416
volume_ema_diff - -0.543171
volume_ema1 - 13779.629077253
volume_ema2 - 30163.682517533
chop - 15.7968
regime - bull_low
btc_indicators
btc_indicators
5m_ema100: 90647.2
5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00657882
5m_price: 91243.6
5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.45553
btc_indicators
15m_ema100: 92240.9
15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00946348
15m_price: 91368
15m_correlation_with_coin: -0.060249
btc_indicators
1H_ema100: 94528.8
1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0347536
1H_price: 91243.6
1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.055884

📌 Time Data

Start at	Closed at	Duration
18 Nov 2025 03:54:19	18 Nov 2025 05:55:00	2 hours

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry	Stop Loss	Take Profit	RR	Current Price
194.18	195.0653	192.4095	2	203.75

Details

Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

Entry 194.18
Stop Loss: 195.0653
Take Profit: 192.4095

Calcul:

Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

SL - E = 195.0653 - 194.18 = 0.8853
Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

E - TP = 194.18 - 192.4095 = 1.7705
Risk-Reward Ratio:

RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7705 / 0.8853 = 1.9999

📌 Position Size

Amount	Margin	Quantity	Leverage
1754.7622	100	9.0368	17.55

Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

Account Size 100
Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

Risk Amount 8
Distance Stop Loss 0.8853

Taille de position = 8 / 0.8853 = 9.04

Taille de position USD = 9.04 x 194.18 = 1755.39

Donc, tu peux acheter 9.04 avec un stoploss a 195.0653

Avec un position size USD de 1755.39$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 9.04 x 0.8853 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 9.04 x 1.7705 = 16.01

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16.01$

Résumé

Taille de position 9.04
Taille de position USD 1755.39
Perte potentielle 8
Gain potentiel 16.01
Risk-Reward Ratio 1.9999

📌 Peformances

TP % Target	TP $ Target
0.91 %	16 $

SL % Target	SL $ Target
0.46 %	8 $

PNL	PNL %
-8 $	-0.46

Max Drawdown	Max Drawdown / SL Ratio	Candles in Entry
-0.4686 %	102.79 %	10

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data


                              Array
(
)

Extra SL data


                              Array
(
    [1.1] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.4095
            [entry_price] => 194.18
            [stop_loss] => 195.15383
            [rr_ratio] => 1.82
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.1
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.4095
            [entry_price] => 194.18
            [stop_loss] => 195.24236
            [rr_ratio] => 1.67
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.4095
            [entry_price] => 194.18
            [stop_loss] => 195.33089
            [rr_ratio] => 1.54
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [1.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.4095
            [entry_price] => 194.18
            [stop_loss] => 195.50795
            [rr_ratio] => 1.33
            [sl_change_percentage] => 1.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)

Extra Pullback data


                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.7
            [max_drawdown] => 0.69999999999999
            [rr_ratio] => 2.43
            [high] => 194.88000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.88
            [mae_pct] => 0.36
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.43
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:54:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T05:54:19-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.7
            [max_drawdown] => 13.23
            [rr_ratio] => 0.13
            [high] => 207.41000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.88
            [mae_pct] => 6.81
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:54:19-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T10:54:19-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 195.48000000
            [high_after] => 202.66000000
            [low_before] => 187.61000000
            [low_after] => 192.48000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)