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Short Trade on MSTR

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 03:59:14

With 8.8897 MSTR at 194.28$ per unit.

Position size of 1727.0998 $

Take profit at 192.4802 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 195.1799 (0.46 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 1.85
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.87
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.93
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.434732

15m : 0.093059

1H : -0.118759

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.5999421595
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 - 192.452
  4. ema21 - 194.399
  5. ema50 - 197.062
  6. ema100 - 199.212
  7. price_ema9_diff - 0.00949665
  8. ema9_ema21_diff - -0.0100173
  9. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.0135129
  10. price_ema100_diff - -0.0247611
  11. all_emas_in_trend - True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  13. ema_slope_9 - -0.145264
  14. ema_slope_21 - -0.147957
  15. ema_slope_50 - -0.101754
  16. ema_slope_100 - -0.0671166
  17. rsi - 0.480034
  18. adx - 0.28557
  19. kc_percentage - 0.501801
  20. kc_width_percentage - 0.0637126
  21. volume_ema_diff - -0.358386
  22. volume_ema1 - 379115.19406833
  23. volume_ema2 - 590878.0850442
  24. chop - 48.6664
  25. regime - bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 - 192.404
  28. ema21 - 191.87
  29. ema50 - 193.044
  30. ema100 - 195.072
  31. price_ema9_diff - 0.00974733
  32. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00278514
  33. ema21_ema50_diff - -0.00608378
  34. price_ema100_diff - -0.00406209
  35. all_emas_in_trend - False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - False
  37. ema_slope_9 - 0.060537
  38. ema_slope_21 - -0.0124975
  39. ema_slope_50 - -0.0439741
  40. ema_slope_100 - -0.0439709
  41. rsi - 0.586249
  42. adx - 0.244747
  43. kc_percentage - 1.00776
  44. kc_width_percentage - 0.0245603
  45. volume_ema_diff - -0.297075
  46. volume_ema1 - 62604.950212031
  47. volume_ema2 - 89063.588469741
  48. chop - 21.9583
  49. regime - range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 - 193.989
  52. ema21 - 192.777
  53. ema50 - 191.804
  54. ema100 - 192.06
  55. price_ema9_diff - 0.00149906
  56. ema9_ema21_diff - 0.00628368
  57. ema21_ema50_diff - 0.00507578
  58. price_ema100_diff - 0.0115567
  59. all_emas_in_trend - True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend - True
  61. ema_slope_9 - 0.159207
  62. ema_slope_21 - 0.120731
  63. ema_slope_50 - 0.0576257
  64. ema_slope_100 - 0.021612
  65. rsi - 0.663659
  66. adx - 0.416082
  67. kc_percentage - 1.06608
  68. kc_width_percentage - 0.0129379
  69. volume_ema_diff - -0.283032
  70. volume_ema1 - 22000.600718169
  71. volume_ema2 - 30685.647266931
  72. chop - 16.5422
  73. regime - bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 90619.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 0.00649486
  78. 5m_price: 91208.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 0.434732
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 92240.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: -0.00946348
  83. 15m_price: 91368
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 0.093059
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 94528.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: -0.0351199
  88. 1H_price: 91208.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: -0.118759
    90. ¸

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
03:59:14		 18 Nov 2025
04:35:00		 35 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
194.28 195.1799 192.4802 2 203.75
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 194.28
  • Stop Loss: 195.1799
  • Take Profit: 192.4802

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 195.1799 - 194.28 = 0.8999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 194.28 - 192.4802 = 1.7998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7998 / 0.8999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1727.0998 100 8.8897 17.27
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.8999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.8999 = 8.89

Taille de position USD = 8.89 x 194.28 = 1727.15

Donc, tu peux acheter 8.89 avec un stoploss a 195.1799

Avec un position size USD de 1727.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 8.89 x 0.8999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 8.89 x 1.7998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 8.89
  • Taille de position USD 1727.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.93 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.46 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.93
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3088 % 66.67 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.4802
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 04:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.03025
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.5803
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.13035
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.6804
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.23045
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.7805
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.33055
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.8806
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.43065
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 187.9807
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.8
            [max_drawdown] => 0.81
            [rr_ratio] => 2.22
            [high] => 195.09000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.93
            [mae_pct] => 0.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.22
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:59:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T05:59:14-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.8
            [max_drawdown] => 14.01
            [rr_ratio] => 0.13
            [high] => 208.29000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.93
            [mae_pct] => 7.21
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:59:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T10:59:14-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 195.48000000
            [high_after] => 203.44000000
            [low_before] => 187.61000000
            [low_after] => 192.48000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)