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Short Trade on MSTR

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Short Trade on MSTR 18 Nov 2025 at 03:59:14

Take profit at 192.4802 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 195.1799 (0.46 %)

Short Trade on MSTR

The 18 Nov 2025 at 03:59:14

With 8.8897 MSTR at 194.28$ per unit.

Position size of 1727.0998 $

Take profit at 192.4802 (0.93 %) and Stop Loss at 195.1799 (0.46 %)

That's a 2 RR Trade

Results

Status:
win
Trade Type:
sell
ML Trade Score: 40
ML Pullback Score: 1.85
Prediction Score: 2
Prediction 1 Probability
Weak Trade
0.93
Prediction 2 Probability
0 0.87
Prediction 3 Probability
0 0.93
BTC Market Regime Coin Market Regime

ml_regime : bear_low_vol

rules_regime : bear_high

rules_regime_5m : bull_low

1H_regime : bear_high

15m_regime : range_medium

5m_regime : bull_low
BTC Correlation Score

5m : 0.434732

15m : 0.093059

1H : -0.118759

 2

Signal

CatchTheWave Signal - sell

Indicators:

  1. long_trend: -1
  2. short_kc: True
  3. short_kc_percentage: 0.07
  4. atr: 0.5999421595
Details
  1. score: 1.07
  2. 1H
  3. ema9 : 192.452
  4. ema21 : 194.399
  5. ema50 : 197.062
  6. ema100 : 199.212
  7. price_ema9_diff : 0.00949665
  8. ema9_ema21_diff : -0.0100173
  9. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.0135129
  10. price_ema100_diff : -0.0247611
  11. all_emas_in_trend : True
  12. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  13. ema_slope_9 : -0.145264
  14. ema_slope_21 : -0.147957
  15. ema_slope_50 : -0.101754
  16. ema_slope_100 : -0.0671166
  17. rsi : 0.480034
  18. adx : 0.28557
  19. kc_percentage : 0.501801
  20. kc_width_percentage : 0.0637126
  21. volume_ema_diff : -0.358386
  22. volume_ema1 : 379115.19406833
  23. volume_ema2 : 590878.0850442
  24. chop : 48.6664
  25. regime : bear_high
    26. ¸
  26. 15m
  27. ema9 : 192.404
  28. ema21 : 191.87
  29. ema50 : 193.044
  30. ema100 : 195.072
  31. price_ema9_diff : 0.00974733
  32. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00278514
  33. ema21_ema50_diff : -0.00608378
  34. price_ema100_diff : -0.00406209
  35. all_emas_in_trend : False
  36. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : False
  37. ema_slope_9 : 0.060537
  38. ema_slope_21 : -0.0124975
  39. ema_slope_50 : -0.0439741
  40. ema_slope_100 : -0.0439709
  41. rsi : 0.586249
  42. adx : 0.244747
  43. kc_percentage : 1.00776
  44. kc_width_percentage : 0.0245603
  45. volume_ema_diff : -0.297075
  46. volume_ema1 : 62604.950212031
  47. volume_ema2 : 89063.588469741
  48. chop : 21.9583
  49. regime : range_medium
    50. ¸
  50. 5m
  51. ema9 : 193.989
  52. ema21 : 192.777
  53. ema50 : 191.804
  54. ema100 : 192.06
  55. price_ema9_diff : 0.00149906
  56. ema9_ema21_diff : 0.00628368
  57. ema21_ema50_diff : 0.00507578
  58. price_ema100_diff : 0.0115567
  59. all_emas_in_trend : True
  60. all_emas_and_price_in_trend : True
  61. ema_slope_9 : 0.159207
  62. ema_slope_21 : 0.120731
  63. ema_slope_50 : 0.0576257
  64. ema_slope_100 : 0.021612
  65. rsi : 0.663659
  66. adx : 0.416082
  67. kc_percentage : 1.06608
  68. kc_width_percentage : 0.0129379
  69. volume_ema_diff : -0.283032
  70. volume_ema1 : 22000.600718169
  71. volume_ema2 : 30685.647266931
  72. chop : 16.5422
  73. regime : bull_low
    74. ¸
  74. btc_indicators
  75. btc_indicators
  76. 5m_ema100: 
    90619.7
  77. 5m_price_ema100_diff: 
    0.00649486
  78. 5m_price: 
    91208.3
  79. 5m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.434732
  80. btc_indicators
  81. 15m_ema100: 
    92240.9
  82. 15m_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.00946348
  83. 15m_price: 
    91368
  84. 15m_correlation_with_coin: 
    0.093059
  85. btc_indicators
  86. 1H_ema100: 
    94528.1
  87. 1H_price_ema100_diff: 
    -0.0351199
  88. 1H_price: 
    91208.3
  89. 1H_correlation_with_coin: 
    -0.118759
    90. ¸
  90. market_structures
  91. market_structures
  92. 1H_version: 1.1
  93. 1H_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 09:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 11:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 13:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 15:00:00
                    [1] => 200.69
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-16 20:00:00
                    [1] => 190
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 05:00:00
                    [1] => 207.19
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:00:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 03:00:00
                    [1] => 195.48
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => downtrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => -1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56783302639655
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6032194445925
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 0
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.1948723415596
            [ms_bos_up] => 0
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  94. market_structures
  95. 15m_version: 1.1
  96. 15m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 09:45:00
                    [1] => 203.91
                    [2] => H
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 11:15:00
                    [1] => 191.69
                    [2] => L
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 12:00:00
                    [1] => 198.5
                    [2] => H
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 14:30:00
                    [1] => 189.74
                    [2] => L
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 16:00:00
                    [1] => 198.89
                    [2] => H
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 19:00:00
                    [1] => 197.77
                    [2] => H
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 23:45:00
                    [1] => 188.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 00:15:00
                    [1] => 191.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:00:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 03:30:00
                    [1] => 195.48
                    [2] => H
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => range
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 0
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56783302639655
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 3.6032194445925
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 1
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 7
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 4.1948723415596
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 1
            [ms_choch_up] => 0
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
  97. market_structures
  98. 5m_version: 1.1
  99. 5m_market_structure: 
    Array
(
    [left_window] => 5
    [right_window] => 5
    [recent_pivots] => Array
        (
            [0] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 20:15:00
                    [1] => 194.81
                    [2] => L
                )

            [1] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 20:45:00
                    [1] => 194.81
                    [2] => H
                )

            [2] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 21:20:00
                    [1] => 193.7
                    [2] => L
                )

            [3] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 21:55:00
                    [1] => 194.57
                    [2] => H
                )

            [4] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 22:35:00
                    [1] => 190.05
                    [2] => L
                )

            [5] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-17 23:50:00
                    [1] => 188.5
                    [2] => L
                )

            [6] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 00:25:00
                    [1] => 191.79
                    [2] => H
                )

            [7] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 02:05:00
                    [1] => 187.61
                    [2] => L
                )

            [8] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 03:40:00
                    [1] => 195.48
                    [2] => H
                )

            [9] => Array
                (
                    [0] => 2025-11-18 03:50:00
                    [1] => 193.86
                    [2] => L
                )

        )

    [detected_trend] => uptrend
    [features] => Array
        (
            [ms_trend_state] => 1
            [ms_dist_from_last_high_pct] => -0.56783302639655
            [ms_dist_from_last_low_pct] => 0.26307644692045
            [ms_bars_since_swing_high] => 3
            [ms_bars_since_swing_low] => 1
            [ms_last_swing_amplitude_pct] => 0.83565459610027
            [ms_bos_up] => 1
            [ms_bos_down] => 0
            [ms_choch_up] => 1
            [ms_choch_down] => 0
        )

)
    100. ¸

Market Structure

Market Structure Score: 1

5M - uptrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.57%
Dist From Last Low Pct
0.26%
Bars Since Swing High
3 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
0.84%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
0
Choch Up
1
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
0.3001
0.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.8702
2.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 20:15:00 194.81 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 20:45:00 194.81 ↑ High
2025-11-17 21:20:00 193.7 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 21:55:00 194.57 ↑ High
2025-11-17 22:35:00 190.05 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 23:50:00 188.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 00:25:00 191.79 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:05:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 03:40:00 195.48 ↑ High
2025-11-18 03:50:00 193.86 ↓ Low
15M - range

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
0
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.57%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.60%
Bars Since Swing High
1 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
7 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.19%
Bos Up
1
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
8.7301
4.47%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.8702
2.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-17 09:45:00 203.91 ↑ High
2025-11-17 11:15:00 191.69 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 12:00:00 198.5 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:30:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-17 19:00:00 197.77 ↑ High
2025-11-17 23:45:00 188.5 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 00:15:00 191.79 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 03:30:00 195.48 ↑ High
1H - downtrend

Windows: Left: 5 | Right: 5

Market Structure Features:

Trend State
-1
Dist From Last High Pct
-0.57%
Dist From Last Low Pct
3.60%
Bars Since Swing High
0 bars
Bars Since Swing Low
1 bars
Last Swing Amplitude Pct
4.19%
Bos Up
0
Bos Down
1
Choch Up
0
Choch Down
0

SL & TP Pivot Distance:

SL to Pivot Distance
12.0101
6.15%
TP to Pivot Distance
4.8702
2.53%
DateTime Price Type
2025-11-16 09:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 11:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 13:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 15:00:00 200.69 ↑ High
2025-11-16 20:00:00 190 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 05:00:00 207.19 ↑ High
2025-11-17 14:00:00 189.74 ↓ Low
2025-11-17 16:00:00 198.89 ↑ High
2025-11-18 02:00:00 187.61 ↓ Low
2025-11-18 03:00:00 195.48 ↑ High

📌 Time Data

Start at Closed at Duration
18 Nov 2025
03:59:14		 18 Nov 2025
04:35:00		 35 minutes

📌 Entry & Exit

Entry Stop Loss Take Profit RR Current Price
194.28 195.1799 192.4802 2 133.41
Details
Click the "Sign Up" button in the top right corner and follow the registration process.

Pour calculer le Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR) sur un trade short, on utilise la formule :

RRR = Distance jusqu'au Take Profit ÷ Distance jusqu'au Stop Loss

Détails du trade:

  • Entry 194.28
  • Stop Loss: 195.1799
  • Take Profit: 192.4802

Calcul:

  • Risque (distance jusqu'au stop loss) :

    SL - E = 195.1799 - 194.28 = 0.8999

  • Récompense (distance jusqu'au take profit):

    E - TP = 194.28 - 192.4802 = 1.7998

  • Risk-Reward Ratio:

    RRR = TP_DIST / SL_DIST = 1.7998 / 0.8999 = 2

📌 Position Size

Amount Margin Quantity Leverage
1727.0998 100 8.8897 17.27
Details

1. Déterminer le montant risqué sur ce trade

Risk Amount = Capital x Risk per trade

Paramètres:

  • Account Size 100
  • Risk per trade 8 %

Risk Amount = 100 x 0.08 = 8

Donc, tu es prêt à perdre 8$ maximum sur ce trade

2. Calcul Risk per Share / Nombre d'unité à acheter

Taille de position = Risk Amount / Distance Stop Loss

Taille de position USD = Taille de position x Entry Price

Paramètres:

  • Risk Amount 8
  • Distance Stop Loss 0.8999

Taille de position = 8 / 0.8999 = 8.89

Taille de position USD = 8.89 x 194.28 = 1727.15

Donc, tu peux acheter 8.89 avec un stoploss a 195.1799

Avec un position size USD de 1727.15$

3. Calcul de la PERTE potentielle

Perte = Taille de position x Distance Stop Loss

Perte = 8.89 x 0.8999 = 8

Si Stop Loss atteint, tu perdras 8$

4. Calcul du GAIN potentielle

Gain = Taille de position x Distance Take Profit

Perte = 8.89 x 1.7998 = 16

Si Take Profit atteint, tu gagneras 16$

Résumé

  • Taille de position 8.89
  • Taille de position USD 1727.15
  • Perte potentielle 8
  • Gain potentiel 16
  • Risk-Reward Ratio 2

📌 Peformances

TP % Target TP $ Target
0.93 % 16 $
SL % Target SL $ Target
0.46 % 8 $
PNL PNL %
16 $ 0.93
Max Drawdown Max Drawdown / SL Ratio Candles in Entry
-0.3088 % 66.67 % 3

📌 ML Extra Data

Extra TP Data

                              Array
(
    [2] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.4802
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 2
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 04:35:00
            [result] => win
        )

    [2.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 192.03025
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 2.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.5803
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 3
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [3.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 191.13035
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 3.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.6804
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 4
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [4.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 190.23045
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 4.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.7805
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [5.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 189.33055
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 5.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.8806
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 6
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [6.5] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 188.43065
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 6.5
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

    [7] => Array
        (
            [take_profit] => 187.9807
            [stop_loss] => 195.1799
            [rr_ratio] => 7
            [closed_at] => 2025-11-18 08:00:00
            [result] => loss
        )

)
Extra SL data

                              Array
(
)
Extra Pullback data

                              Array
(
    [short_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.8
            [max_drawdown] => 0.81
            [rr_ratio] => 2.22
            [high] => 195.09000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.93
            [mae_pct] => 0.42
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 2.22
            [candles_analyzed] => 24
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:59:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T05:59:14-05:00
        )

    [long_term] => Array
        (
            [max_gain] => 1.8
            [max_drawdown] => 14.01
            [rr_ratio] => 0.13
            [high] => 208.29000000
            [low] => 192.48000000
            [mfe_pct] => 0.93
            [mae_pct] => 7.21
            [mfe_mae_ratio] => 0.13
            [candles_analyzed] => 84
            [start_at] => 2025-11-18T03:59:14-05:00
            [end_at] => 2025-11-18T10:59:14-05:00
        )

    [breakout] => Array
        (
            [high_before] => 195.48000000
            [high_after] => 203.44000000
            [low_before] => 187.61000000
            [low_after] => 192.48000000
            [is_new_high] => 
            [is_new_low] => 
        )

)